Weekend Winners Club

Oct 14 2017

Breeders’ Cup Early Odds October 2017

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Here are the latest odds for the 2017 Breeders’ Cup so far. Updated 10/14.
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Breeders’ Cup Classic:
Gun Runner 1/1
Arrogate 5/2
Always Dreaming 5/1
Classic Empire 6/1
Collected 10/1
Mubtaahij 10/1
West Coast 10/1
Cloud Computing 20/1
Irish War Cry 20/1
Keen Ice 20/1
Cupid 25/1
Mccracken 25/1
Mor Spirit 25/1
Shaman Ghost 25/1
Tapwrit 25/1
Battle of Midway 30/1
Churchill 35/1
Girvin 35/1
Epicharis 45/1
Hence 45/1
Hoppertunity 45/1
Practical Joke 45/1
Timeline 45/1
Send It In 55/1
Tu Brutus 55/1
Breaking Lucky 60/1
Gold Dream 60/1
Gunnevera 60/1
Impressive Edge 60/1
Midnight Storm 60/1

Breeders’ Cup Distaff
ABEL TASMAN 3-1
ACTRESS 35-1
DANZATRICE 100-1
ELATE 6-1
ESKENFORMONEY 50-1
EVER SO CLEVER 100-1
FLORA DORA 100-1
FOREVER UNBRIDLED 9-5
GOING FOR BROKE 100-1
HOLY HELENA 25-1
IT TIZ WELL 18-1
KIRIAKI 100-1
LOCKDOWN 75-1
MOANA 85-1
MOPOTISM 75-1
MY MISS TAPIT 85-1
NEW MONEY HONEY 75-1
PARADISE WOODS 10-1
SALTY 20-1
SHANE’S GIRLFRIEND 100-1
STELLAR WIND 8-5
SUNSET RIDGE 20-1
SWEET LORETTA 60-1
TERRA PROMESSA 45-1
TIGER MOTH 75-1
UNCHAINED MELODY 40-1
VALE DORI 7-1
VEXATIOUS 100-1

Oct 14 2017

Charles Town West Virginia Breeders’ Classic Day Grid- 9 Stakes Races Sat.Oct.14

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Saturday, October 14 is West Virginia’s day to have their own in-state Breeders’ Cup, and it’s called WV Breeders’ Classic Day. 9 Stakes races will feature horses, most of which have never raced outside of the confines of Charles Town race track, and most never will.
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Charles Town Hollywood Casino and Race Track

Charles Town Hollywood Casino and Race Track


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Most of the stakes races are under $100k purse, but there are several higher stakes races, including the $180k 7f Classic for 3up, and the featured race, the $350k Classic at 9f again for 3 and up.
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The night card will start at 7pm in what will be a fun and competitive night at Charles Town, with the last race scheduled for 11pm. Of course they have 2 juvenile races in there for 2yo and 2f that will bear watching.
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Enjoy the free Grid for Charles Town tonight by downloading here.
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Good luck.

Sep 30 2017

Santa Anita Sat.Sep.30 Grid: 5 G1’s including Frontrunner and 4 horse Zenyatta stakes

5 G1 graded stakes races are set for Saturday Sep.30 at Santa Anita, including the now 4-horse Zenyatta stakes, Chandler, Frontrunner, Rodeo Drive, and Awesome Again.
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Obsessive Kentucky Derby handicappers like me who try to figure it out at least 6 months early will have eyes on the Frontrunner G1.
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Yes Baffert has a pair in this 8.5f race, but Alvin Ruis has the ML favorite Bolt D’oro, who beat Baffert’s Zatter in the Del Mar Futurity, and Peter Miller has a live contender at 6-1 with the highest PF and LP.
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Bolt D'oro overtook Zatter in the Del Mar Futurity G1 Sept.4 2017

Bolt D’oro overtook Zatter in the Del Mar Futurity G1 Sept.4 2017


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Last year’s Frontrunner winner Gormley also won the Sham and Santa Anita Derby, and had a subpar 9th in the Kentucky Derby, and got 4th in the Belmont Stakes. This is a big race for west coast 2yo’s.
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OK the races are about to start so here is the Grid. Oh BTW there is a Pick 6 carryover of $50k going in. Should end up in the $300k range.

Santa Anita Grid post scratches

SA Grid pre-scratch

Sep 09 2017

Woodbine Sunday Sep.10- Large Hi5 Carryover and Grid

Sunday, September 10, Woodbine has another huge carryover of over $1 million for the Super High Five Jackpot. For this, you will have to pick the top 5 horses in order in the last race of the day.
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Woodbine Race Track

Woodbine Race Track


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It’s only 20 cent bet so usually not incredibly difficult to get a winning bet, but to have the only one with a winning ticket is nearly impossible.
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Saturday there was a great chance, as it paid over $3 grand for the 20 cent bet, but alas the multiple winners had to split the win pool, despite 4 of the top 5 being longshots.
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But it is possible, anything is possible, and with the Grid, you can get the needed long shots to win.
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Download the Woodbine Sunday Grid here to follow along free.
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Normally in this situation, I’m inclined to put some long shots on top and bottom and somewhere in the middle, keyed around some obvious horses that should theoretically run 1 2 3.
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The key horses I would use are most likely 2-3-4, as you can see according to the Grid. There’s not much front running speed but it does exist, so that EP5 is the best possible style for this race. #3 has the best LP without any doubt. At least 2 of those 3 should make the top 5, maybe all 3.
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But because there’s not a lot of front running speed, that means 1 or 2 of the E-type horses have a good chance of making that top 5. I’m drooling at 8, with the top EP rating, at 15-1. 9, 10, and 1 could also finish in there at great odds.
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In such a bet, you can’t well include everyone tho, unless you just wheel all at one slot, but then you’re severely limiting yourself at other positions, unless you single them, which I hate to do, with as many possibilities as this race has.
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7 is a big wild card, and it’s hard to tell what he’ll do, but his ROI numbers look good so I’ll put him in there somewhere. The others not mentioned I’ll just toss because like I said, you can’t include all of them realistically.
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The long shots I will use at the top are likely 1 8 9 10, and maybe key my 3 solid chalk horses at 2 and 3 or 2 and 4. It’s a strategy I use often in this type of arrangement, but do however you see fit. You have the long shots, put em where you want em.
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Good luck!

Sep 09 2017

Kentucky Downs Saturday Turf Cup- Review

Sunday, Sep.9 2017
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Kentucky Downs Saturday: How did we do?
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Yesterday we posted a Kentucky Downs preview and long shot special article. The point was to get some long shots sprinkled in to your exotics, and possibly even win.
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As it turned out, the only winner was in race 1, where you would have def had a nice trifecta using the Grid, even with the typo you would have seen the runner up stand out.
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After that, the long shots hitting the top 3 fizzled out for almost all of the races, but we had a few in there hitting 3rd and 4th, one more winner, and one runner up. Overall, not bad. We’re counting the winner of R4 since it def would have made the long shot report at >6-1 but only 5-1 ML and the odds normally go down after scratches for the single digit horses, not up.
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Results Kentucky Downs Sat. Sep. 9

R1: 2 11 12 15 (note: initial article said 1 instead of 2, with ML of 6-1 but that was a typo, as The Grid will corroborate, there was no reason to select 1. I apologize for the typo, and left it in the original article to not be accused of changing anything.)
Result:
11 5-1
2 4-1
12 7-1

6 25-1

R2: 9 14
Result:
12 3-1
4 7-1
9 5-1
8 17-1

R3: None
Result: Chalk top 3. 6 was top EP in Grid so a good one to wheel at 4th. Not a great betting race.
4 3-1
1 3-1
7 5-1
6 25-1

R4: 5 12
Result: 6 was 5-1 ML thus did not appear on the long shot report. Big overlay.
6 9-1
11 20-1
3 3-1
12 5-1

R5: 1 13
Result: 5 was 2nd in Grid LP and a good one to wheel at 3 and 4.
2 4-1
3 4-1
5 8-1
1 18-1

R6: 7
Result:
6 6-1
7 5-1
1 4-1
10 60-1

R7: None
Result: Chalk. 1 was 2nd in LP good to wheel underneath but not a good betting race as predicted.
5 4-5
4 3-1
2 3-1
1 10-1

R8: 3 7
Result: Chalk
5 3-1
6 3-1
2 4-1
10 20-1

R9: 3 6
Result: Chalk
10 3-1
1 3-1
7 4-1
2 45-1

R10: 8 9 10 12
Result:
4 7-2
1 5-2
3 5-1
10 40-1

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Sep 08 2017

Kentucky Downs Grid and Long Shot Specials Saturday September 8 Turf Cup, Sprint Cup

Kentucky Downs Grid and Long Shot Specials Saturday September 8 Turf Cup Sprint Cup
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Kentucky Downs
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Kentucky Downs has another big day Saturday with the G3 Turf Cup and G3 Turf Sprint, G3 Ladies Turf, and other assorted stakes races. Here we will point out the long shot specials and Grid for Saturday.
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Now, this doesn’t mean the chalk is no good, because in most races, they are solid, but in at least half the races, they are not unbeatable. The races where it says “none” means, don’t even bet it unless at least 1 or 2 of the chalk scratches.
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As you probably know, Downs only has a turf course and there is no dirt racing track. Saturday’s card has about 140 horses initially entered for the 10 races. The number actually running will be less since only 12 can exit the gate each race. Plenty of alternate entries here
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Download the Grid right here, no strings attached, no questions asked, and follow along.
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Long shot specials for Saturday at Kentucky Downs (only horses with a win chance at >5-1 morning line). Sprinkle your exotics with these and spice the day up a bit:
(scratched crossed off)
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R1: 1 11 12 15
R2: 9 14
R3: None
R4: 5 12
R5: 1 13
R6: 7
R7: None
R8: 3 7
R9: 3 6
R10: 8 9 10 12

Aug 31 2017

Saratoga Woodward G1 Day Saturday September 2, Gun Runner and other Graded Stakes

Saratoga Saturday September 2 Woodward G1 Day Picks including Glenns Falls G3, Spinaway G1, and Saranac G3.
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Thursday, August 31
Saratoga Springs, NY
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It’s another big day for Saratoga towards the end of their famous summer meet on Saturday, featuring the Woodward G1 and several other graded stakes races.
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Only connections for 4 horses have the courage to take on Gun Runner in the Woodward, and for good reason. In his past 5 races, he lost one, finishing a respectable 2nd to an unbeatable Arrogate in the Dubai World Cup.
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Go ahead and download the Saratoga Woodward Saturday Grid here free, no strings, to follow along.
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Now that Arrogate has become very beatable in his last 2 races, Gun Runner looks like he’s becoming unbeatable, destroying the field in 2 G1’s in Arrogate-like fashion.
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Gun Runner, geared down in the Foster G1 after destroying the field, stamped his BC Classic ticket in this race.

Gun Runner, geared down in the Foster G1 after destroying the field, stamped his BC Classic ticket in this race.


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On paper, Rally Cry looks like he could be the prime challenger, but flops every time in graded stakes company. Neolithic finished 3rd in the DWC and hasn’t improved since then. The other 2 are hoping for the best.
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Before that feature race, the Spinaway G1 for 2yo fillies is also a 5 horse race in which 3 of them have an actual shot at victory. Separationofpowers and Lady Ivanka won going away their first time out for Chad Brown and Rudy Rodriquez respectively.
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But Todd Pletcher doesn’t mess around when it comes to 2yo’s, and his current slight favorite Pure Silver is not only undefeated after 3 races, but won the Adirondack G2 in going away fashion right here at Saratoga last month.
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Lynnbrook winner Pure Silver takes on stablemate Stainless in Adirondack G2

Lynnbrook winner Pure Silver takes on stablemate Stainless in Adirondack G2


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Again backtracking to the race before that, the Saranac G3 on turf will be much more competitive. Favorites Bricks and Mortar and Yoshida are both very solid, have good numbers, and both will likely be factors in this race.
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I like some odds on a lot of the others. Pletcher’s Caviar Czar goes first on turf at 15-1 with competitive speed figures and 2nd best EP. Top EP and only true frontrunner Voodoo Song has odds of 12-1 on the ML. 2nd in EP rating is Mo Maverick at 10-1. Mr Havercamp also runs early and has done well in his 1st 2 outings.
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So what happens if those 4 provide enough speed for a good closer to win? Then you have to look at the top 2 LP horses, Rocketry at 6-1 and Makarios at 20-1. Literally, this race is wide open, with lots of longshot possibilities, and will depend on how they run it and how the track is playing.
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Capping with the last race of the day, the Glenns Falls G1, again we have solid favorites with War Flag and Harmonize. However, the top PF’s, all last out, belong to 4 other horses, and are virtually indistinguishable between them.
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Estrechada, Lottie, and Summersault finished 1-2-3 in a G3 last out, earning them top PF’s, all within 1 length of each other in that race. Grateful ran 2 days later at the same distance of 12f, winning an optional claimer in almost the exact same time.
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Of the entire field, it looks like only Summersault, 8-1 ML, and Grateful, 15-1 have any interest in going to the lead. The distance of the race really doesn’t matter, when you have a lack of any frontrunners, those who run earliest will have the best chance unless something changes.
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That makes Grateful the longshot pick of the day in his first graded stakes race.
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For all the Grids at Saratoga, Del Mar, and any other major track or race day, such as Kentucky Downs for the great 2yo races on Saturday, you can look at the subscription options here.
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Whatever you do, Good Luck!
Dalton.

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Aug 11 2017

Saratoga Saturday August 11- Coaches Corner and Grid

Pick some winners this week at Saratoga on 4stardave and Adirondack day. See the Grid posted free below to follow along and make your own picks.
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Download Saratoga Saturday Grid here now free and hassle free
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Saturday, August 12, 2017
Saratoga Race Track
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This is the pre-scratch synopsis analysis for Saratoga Saturday. See the Grid to see rationale.
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Race 1: Clm 20k
Status: Wide open
Picks: 7-6-5-1
Longshot specials: 7, 6, 3, 2
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Race 2: MSW2
Status: Pletcher
Picks: 2-9-8-4
Longshots: 1, 7
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Race 3: Alw 50k turf
Status: Lots of speed, not much value
Picks: 6-9-4-2-3
Longshots: none
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Race 4: Adirondack G2 2F
Status: Pletcher
Picks: 2-1-6-3-8
Longshots: 2 Stainless

Lynnbrook winner Pure Silver takes on stablemate Stainless in Adirondack G2

Lynnbrook winner Pure Silver takes on stablemate Stainless in Adirondack G2


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Race 5: Clm 25k turf
Status: Legit faves but not much speed
Picks: 4-9-10-2-11 if stays on turf
Longshots: 2, 11
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Race 6: MSW2 turf
Status: Low odds on legit contenders
Picks: 8-2-9-3-1 for turf
Longshots: 1 15-1
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Race 7: MSW2
Status: Pletcher
Picks: 9-2-1-4-7
Longshots: 4 , 7
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Race 8: Ocm 80k
Status: Open with beatable favorites
Picks: 3-4-2-5-6
Longshots: 6, 3
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Race 9: Ocm 62k
Status: Legit faves
Picks: 1-8-5-10-9
Longshots: 10, 5
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Race 10: 4stardave G1 turf
Status: No odds
Picks: 4-3-6-7
Longshots: none
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Race 11: Mdn 40k turf
Status: Legit favoritism but lots of choices
Picks: 8-2-12-4-1
Longshots: 1, 2, 4

For all the Grids, every major track and race, every day, click here.

Aug 07 2017

Mountaineer WV Derby Day Recap- Another Huge Day for the Grid

Monday, August 7, 2017
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It’s time again to look back on the previous weekend and see where we went wrong. We didn’t go wrong here, in fact, a lot went right as usual. If it didn’t for you, perhaps you need to get the Grid. And you should have got it beforehand.
Here’s how you get the Grid for every big track and race day.
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Let’s take a quick look at the late Pick 4 at Mountaineer. After a day in which the first 5 races were won by predictable top or high LP horses, at low odds, we had the Sen Robert “KKK” Byrd Memorial Stakes, in which once again, the top LP horse was favored at 2-1.
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What was different about this stakes was that the 2nd best LP contender, according to the Grid, won at 15-1, and the favorite oscillated again, finishing out of the money. The winner First Growth was also tied for top EP and 2nd in Power and Stamina. The 15-1 odds were too good to resist and I did WPS on that without hesitation.
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This was the breakthrough race of the day for us, netting over $2 grand on a 50 cent super that cost about $24. The public 2nd choice, which I never did quite figure out why was such, other than the trainer being Tom Amoss, also finished out of the money, paving the way for some great payouts.
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Next was Race 7, the WV Governors Stakes. At this point, you’d figure people learned their lesson about LP winning the day as it had in the previous 6 races. Nope, either that or they didn’t have the Grid. The winner was top LP in the Grid, at 8-1. He was also one of two S-type horses in a field with plenty of speed. We pointed this out in an article before the race last weekend.
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Here’s where it got even more interesting. Race 8, the West Virginia Derby G3 worth $750K. We made a point in the pre-race article about Game Over, who finished 2nd at 4-1. But in a race almost devoid of speed, the EP7 Colonelsdarktemper, top in EP in the Grid, won at 7-1. Didn’t see that coming? We did. One of 2 EP7’s with top EP, believe me, both were included in the verticals.
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Colonelsdarktemper with top Grid EP, holds on to front end to win WV Derby.

Colonelsdarktemper with top Grid EP, holds on to front end to win WV Derby.


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To finish up in Race 9, we didn’t need to go further than the top 2 favorites, an E4 with top EP and the S0 with top LP, to get the winner, the E4 at 3-2. Add it all up and what does it mean? A $1600 Pick 4 for the last 4 races, and not a very difficult one at that. The one that most people missed was the 15-1, which as we mentioned, you would have easily had using the Grid.
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Do you think we’re making this up? Check out the previous article, which focused on WV Derby day, and the Mountaineer Grid was provided for free. The final rankings as I quote them may slightly differ after scratches, but were accurate for post time.
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This is after we had a huge weekend at Monmouth, in the same type of fashion, with Grid LP kicking ass at big odds mostly across the board, with some nice EP winners scattered in between. The Monmouth Recap and WV Derby preview were covered here.

Aug 04 2017

WV Derby this weekend at Mountaineer; Last weekend HUGE for Grid

This week’s featured track is Mountaineer, hosting the West Virginia Derby, among several other exciting stakes races.
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Last week, if you didn’t have the Grid, you’re going to wish you had. I don’t want to say I told you so, but it happened. The Grid shredded it on all the big races at Saratoga and Monmouth last weekend. Check it out:
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Saturday’s late winners at Saratoga:
SAR 8: Vanderbilt G1: El Deal 5-2 Top EP No big deal, if you didn’t have it in Pick 4 you’re an idiot.
SAR9: Bowling Green G2: Hunter O’riley 16-1 Top Grid LP. Probably only had it with the Grid.
SAR10: Jim Dandy G2: Good Samaritan 8-1 Top LP. A killer with 2 overwhelming favorites.

Good Samaritan won Jim Dandy at 9-1

Good Samaritan won Jim Dandy at 9-1


SAR11: MSW3FM: Durable Goods 1-1 Top LP. A favorite to close out a huge Pick 4.
Pick 4 Paid….. $4667 for the $2 bet. OK we only had half of that, but you get the picture.
Don’t believe? Look at the unmolested Saratoga Grid from last weekend. Doesn’t even include scratches.
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Monmouth late winners on Haskell Stakes day:
MON9 Alw5000: Wind Tartare 9-5 fav, top Grid Power, blah blah who cares
MON10 Molly Pitcher G3: Money’soncharlotte 9-1, top LP…. Starting to care, right?
MON11 Matchmaker G3: Wekeela 2-1 non favorite, top Grid LP. No big deal, should have had it, right?
MON12 Haskell G1: Girvin 9-1, top LP in Grid. People forgot he lost last race in a 5 minute photo finish.
Late Pick 4: $1343 for the $1 bet. Yes we had it.
Still trouble believing? Check out the Monmouth Grid form last Sunday, which all our subscribers had.
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So, the point of this is not to say I told you so, but rather that you could have easily won over $3000 last weekend, just betting 2 late Pick 4’s, using the Grid. Why didn’t you use it? Probably, because you didn’t have it, because it’s not some over-marketed bullshit that doesn’t work. It’s the Real Deal. We provide numbers that work here.
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So what is going on this weekend? Glad you asked. Mountaineer has a slew of stakes races including the featured WV Derby G3. Perhaps people will forget that Patch 3-1 finished 3rd in the Belmont Stakes.
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But more likely, they will not recall that Game Over, 12-1, registered the highest PF of this batch in finishing a decent 5th to a batch of great 3yo’s in the Ohio Derby. In his 3rd lifetime race, he finished only 6L behind Irap, Girvin, and Untrapped.
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Also of note at Mountaineer:
Race 6: 75k Senator Byrd Memorial Stakes: Woodland Walk is listed at 10-1 ML, and has the top PF and Top LP in the Grid. Those odds can only come down however.
Race 5: 75k WV President’s Cup: (I didn’t know WV had its own president, but let’s move on): Indian Paint, listed at 30-1 ML, has top EP in the Grid. This is a very dangerous angle, especially when it’s first on turf. She was tried first on turf last outing, which didn’t happen because the race went off turf at Delaware, but still won by 11 lengths. The odds will definitely come down here, and the oddsmaker could be fired as well.
Race 3: Sec of State Stakes: Yes WV has its own Secretary of State also: Sneaking under the oddsmaker radar and possibly the public’s also, is Ivy Bell at 8-1, top LP and highest PF overall, occurring last race out. Throw it down.
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No excuses for you this weekend. We’re giving you Mountaineer Saturday Grid for free. You don’t even need to enter any info, just grab and go!
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Saratoga also has a big day, obviously, as they always do on the weekend, if not every day. The Test G1 will sample 3yo fillies at 7 furlongs. The Whitney G1 will see if anyone in the field can catch Gun Runner besides Arrogate, who’s not running in this one.

Whatever happens, good luck.
If you come to your senses and decide to start using the Grid, use the link here to subscribe.

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