Weekend Winners Club

Nov 25 2017

Churchill Downs Saturday November 25 (Two Year Old Day) By the Numbers

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Saturday, November 25, Churchill Downs. It was an exciting Two Year Old Day at Churchill, with 12 races dedicated to 2yo’s, highlighted by the Golden Rod G2 for fillies and Kentucky Jockey Club G2 for all 2yos. But you may be surprised at who put up the best numbers on this day.
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One of the reasons they dedicate the entire day to 2yo’s is so that the connections can see how their horses measure up to over 100 other horses on dirt (there were only 2 turf races), whether they ran in the same race or not. To help them out, we did some analysis for them.
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It was the fillies that won the day according to the stopwatch. We only have 5 categories here, but the fillies were tops in all but one of them. The fastest final ¼ mile in sprint and route, fastest 6f race, and fastest mile all belonged to the fillies today.
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Top fractional times of the 2yo races on Saturday November 25 at Churchill Downs

Top fractional times of the 2yo races on Saturday November 25 at Churchill Downs


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The males had one token win: Fastest opening 6f in route race with time of 1.10.93 by Dreamer’s Point, who did not win the 8f race after going that fast early. He edged out Monomoy Girl who in the previous race hit 1.11.11 en route to the fastest mile of the day in 1.36.59.
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Monomoy Girl also went a bit too fast early, getting necked out at the wire by Road to Victory in the G2 Golden Rod. The 2nd fastest mile did belong to Ebben, who did not need to go an extra half furlong in his optional claiming race, making Monomoy Girl’s mile still more impressive.
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Road to Victory (5) edges out out Monomoy Girl (6) in Goldenrod G2

Road to Victory (5) edges out out Monomoy Girl (6) in Goldenrod G2


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The best stretch runner in the 8+ furlong category was Red Ruby, winning her 8.5f maiden special weight coming home in 24.92. This was less than 3/10ths better than Cosmic Burst who got it done in 25.18 winning his optional claimer at 8f.
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The fastest sprinters were also fillies. Fastest 6f time of the day was registered by Mia Mischief at 1.09.66 in her optional claiming win at 6.5f. The best overall final ¼ time of the day was had by Bootsy’s Hadenough in her 6f MSW win.
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The final time of the Goldenrod G2 was also over a full second faster than that of the KYJC G2, as Road to Victory registered 1.43.36 for the 8.5f win. Monomoy Girl would have the 2nd fastest 8.5 time of about 1.43.40, still a full second ahead of the males.
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The track likely dried out during the day to some extent, so the races did play slightly differently, and widely different pace scenarios. But with the G2 races only an hour apart, it’s safe to say the apples are comparable. The male G2 winner Enticed would have finished a distant 3rd in the Goldenrod, with Tiz Mischief right behind him in 4th.
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The dubious honor of the day goes to the last race, another MSW worth 60k for 2yos, which had a poor start. This one managed the slowest opening 2f, half mile, 6f time, mile, and 8.5f time of all the races. Due to the embarrassing pace, it managed to not finish last in the final ¼ time, just edging out the Goldenrod, which as covered was run with very fast opening fractions. The dawdling fractions were set at: 24.52, 49.36, 1.14.37, 1.39.89, 1.46.52.
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Bonus: Winning horses according to the Grid. (Download Saturday Grid here to follow )
Race 1: 1st LP, 1st stam, 2nd power, 2nd best PF
Race 2: Top PF, 2nd across the board other categories
Race 3: Nobody’s charts gave you this 19-1 winner.
Race 4: 1st LP, 2nd stam, 3rd best PF
Race 5: 1st in all categories
Race 6: 1st in all categories
Race 7: Top PF, 1st or 2nd in all others
Race 8: 3rd PF, 2nd LP, 2nd stam
Race 9: Winner tough to get on paper, wise guy turf to dirt in 2nd lifetime race special
Race 10: 3rd best route PF, 3rd in EP,
Race 11: 2nd best route PF, 3rd in power, speed, EP.
Race 12: 3rd in LP and stam
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Thus wraps up today’s analysis. Hopefully this helps you handicap the 2yo’s going forward. Obviously, Road to Victory and Monomoy Girl are for real, and have their long term sights locked onto the Kentucky Oaks here in about 5 months. The Derby hopeful males here today need to improve.

Nov 04 2017

Breeders’ Cup Classic 2017 Grid and Saturday BC Lineup with odds

Published by under Uncategorized

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Saturday, November 3, 2017
The Breeders Cup is underway for the 2nd day at Del Mar race track in California. Here is the full lineup with odds and running styles, after scratches.

Breeders Cup Classic Grid

Breeders Cup Classic 2017 Grid

Breeders Cup Classic 2017 Grid

R Prg R1 10:10 8.0f Turf 94 Gldikova-G2 3+FM ML ST
1 1 On Leave 9-2 EP5
1 2 Laur Net 20-1 S0
1 3 Malibu Stacy 30-1 EP6
1 4 Thundering Sky 8-1 EP6
1 5 Laseen 30-1 EP4
1 6 Hillhouse High 12-1 EP4
1 7 Kitten’s Roar 5-1 EP5
1 8 Goldy Espony 8-1 E8
1 9 Majestic Heat 12-1 EP4
1 10 Madame Stripes 8-1 S0
1 11 Aljazzi 6-1 NA0
1 12 Mrs Mcdougal 8-1 EP6
1 13 Corps De Ballet 12-1 EP5
1 14 Sassy Little Lila 12-1 E8
R Prg R2 10:45 7.0f Dirt 80 S-GoldStJuvB200k 2 ML ST
2 1 Smokem 5-2 S1
2 2 Night At The Opera 3-1 EP0
2 3 Campaigner 8-1 EP7
2 4 Lucky Pegasus 20-1 EP6
2 5 Lucky Romano 10-1 E5
2 6 Bookies Luck 7-2 E8
2 7 Ministersdontparty 20-1 E4
R Prg R3 11:20 5.0f Turf 124 JuvTSprtL200k 2 ML ST
3 1 Fairyland 5-1 E6
3 2 Mcerin 12-1 E6
3 3 Count Alexander 6-1 EP3
3 4 El Dulce 9-2 EP3
3 5 Sound And Silence 8-1 NA0
3 6 Treasuring 15-1 NA0
3 7 Corinthia Knight 12-1 NA0
3 8 Out Of The Flames 10-1 NA0
3 9 Declarationofpeace 12-1 NA0
3 10 March X Press 7-2 S0
3 11 Elizabeth Darcy 20-1 E6
3 12 Majestic Dunhill 20-1 EP6
R Prg R4 12:00 8.5f Dirt 80 BCJuvFil-G1 2F ML ST
4 1 Heavenly Love 9-2 EP3
4 2 Tell Your Mama 30-1 P4
4 3 Princess Warrior 12-1 P4
4 4 Gio Game 15-1 EP4
4 5 Blonde Bomber 20-1 EP6
4 6 Stainless 20-1 S3
4 7 Moonshine Memories 7-2 EP7
4 8 Piedi Bianchi 15-1 P5
4 9 Alluring Star 6-1 E6
4 10 Maya Malibu 20-1 P3
4 11 Wonder Gadot 8-1 EP6
4 12 Caledonia Road 15-1 P4
4 13 Separationofpowers 4-1 EP7
R Prg R5 12:37 5.0f Turf 124 BCTrfSpt-G1 3+ ML ST
5 1 Disco Partner 9-2 S0
5 2 Holding Gold 15-1 P0
5 3 Lady Aurelia 5-2 EP4
5 4 Stormy Liberal 12-1 EP7
5 5 Washington Dc 20-1 NA0
5 6 Marsha 7-2 NA0
5 7 Richard’s Boy 10-1 E6
5 8 Cotai Glory 20-1 P4
5 9 Mongolian Saturday 20-1 P2
5 10 Hogy 12-1 S0
5 11 Bucchero 12-1 EP6
5 12 Pure Sensation 10-1 EP5
5 13 Guns Loaded 20-1 EP3
5 14 Paquita Coqueta 20-1 E7
R Prg R6 1:14 7.0f Dirt 80 BCFMSprt-G1 3+FM ML ST
6 1 Carina Mia 12-1 P4
6 2 Paulassilverlining 8-1 EP5
6 3 Curlin’s Approval 20-1 EP4
6 4 Finest City 12-1 P3
6 5 Bar Of Gold 30-1 P2
6 6 Proper Discretion 30-1 EP6
6 7 By The Moon 12-1 EP4
6 8 Constellation 15-1 EP7
6 9 Finley’sluckycharm 6-1 EP6
6 10 Highway Star 15-1 P2
6 11 Unique Bella 9-5 EP6
6 12 Skye Diamonds 5-1 EP5
R Prg R7 2:00 9.0f Turf 81 BCFMTrf-G1 3+FM ML ST
7 1 War Flag 12-1 P4
7 2 Senga 20-1 NA0
7 3 Birdie Gold 30-1 NA0
7 4 Zipessa 20-1 EP7
7 5 Wuheida 20-1 NA0
7 6 Cambodia 8-1 EP5
7 7 Dacita 8-1 S0
7 8 Grand Jete 6-1 S3
7 9 Lady Eli 5-2 EP4
7 10 Queen’s Trust 12-1 S0
7 11 Nezwaah 20-1 S1
7 12 Avenge 8-1 EP7
7 13 Goodyearforroses 12-1 P3
7 14 Rhododendron 8-1 NA0
R Prg R8 2:37 6.0f Dirt 112 BCSprint-G1 3+ ML ST
8 1 Calculator 20-1 S0
8 2 Drefong 5-2 EP5
8 3 American Pastime 12-1 P3
8 4 B Squared 30-1 P2
8 5 Whitmore 15-1 S0
8 6 Mind Your Biscuits 6-1 S1
8 7 Takaful 5-1 EP7
8 8 Roy H 7-2 EP5
8 9 Ransom The Moon 12-1 P2
8 10 Imperial Hint 9-2 EP7
R Prg R9 3:19 8.0f Turf 94 BCMile-G1 3+ ML ST
9 1 Midnight Storm 15-1 E7
9 2 Heart To Heart 6-1 E8
9 3 Mr. Roary 30-1 EP8
9 4 Lancaster Bomber 20-1 P2
9 5 World Approval 9-2 EP7
9 6 Zelzal 20-1 NA0
9 7 Om 20-1 EP6
9 8 Suedois 6-1 P1
9 9 Home Of The Brave 20-1 NA6
9 10 Ribchester 7-2 NA0
9 11 Ballagh Rocks 12-1 EP4
9 12 Roly Poly 6-1 P4
9 13 Blackjackcat 15-1 EP8
9 14 Karar 15-1 NA4
R Prg R10 3:58 8.5f Dirt 80 BCJuvnle-G1 2 ML ST
10 1 U S Navy Flag 8-1 NA0
10 2 Solomini 6-1 EP5
10 3 Firenze Fire 6-1 EP5
10 4 Givemeaminit 20-1 S2
10 5 Free Drop Billy 5-1 P4
10 6 Good Magic 8-1 EP5
10 7 The Tabulator 20-1 EP8
10 8 Bahamian 30-1 E5
10 9 Hazit 20-1 E6
10 10 Golden Dragon 30-1 P3
10 11 Bolt D’oro 9-5 EP6
10 12 Hollywood Star 15-1 P2
R Prg R11 4:37 12.0f Turf 0 BCTurf-G1 3+ ML ST
11 1 Talismanic 15-1 NA0
11 2 Bullards Alley 15-1 P3
11 3 Highland Reel 5-1 E6
11 4 Decorated Knight 15-1 NA0
11 6 Cliffs Of Moher 20-1 NA0
11 7 Itsinthepost 15-1 EP5
11 8 Bigger Picture 15-1 P2
11 9 Seventh Heaven 20-1 S1
11 10 Fanciful Angel 12-1 P1
11 11 Hunt 15-1 P5
11 12 Beach Patrol 4-1 EP8
11 13 Sadler’s Joy 12-1 S0
11 14 Oscar Performance 10-1 EP7
R Prg R12 5:35 10.0f Dirt 25 BCClasic-G1 3+ ML ST
12 1 Arrogate 2-1 EP5
12 2 War Decree 30-1 NA0
12 3 Win The Space 30-1 P0
12 4 War Story 30-1 EP4
12 5 Gun Runner 9-5 EP7
12 6 Mubtaahij 12-1 P3
12 7 Churchill 15-1 NA0
12 8 West Coast 6-1 EP6
12 9 Gunnevera 30-1 S2
12 10 Pavel 20-1 EP6
12 11 Collected 6-1 EP8

Oct 14 2017

Breeders’ Cup Early Odds October 2017

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Here are the latest odds for the 2017 Breeders’ Cup so far. Updated 10/14.
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Breeders’ Cup Classic:
Gun Runner 1/1
Arrogate 5/2
Always Dreaming 5/1
Classic Empire 6/1
Collected 10/1
Mubtaahij 10/1
West Coast 10/1
Cloud Computing 20/1
Irish War Cry 20/1
Keen Ice 20/1
Cupid 25/1
Mccracken 25/1
Mor Spirit 25/1
Shaman Ghost 25/1
Tapwrit 25/1
Battle of Midway 30/1
Churchill 35/1
Girvin 35/1
Epicharis 45/1
Hence 45/1
Hoppertunity 45/1
Practical Joke 45/1
Timeline 45/1
Send It In 55/1
Tu Brutus 55/1
Breaking Lucky 60/1
Gold Dream 60/1
Gunnevera 60/1
Impressive Edge 60/1
Midnight Storm 60/1

Breeders’ Cup Distaff
ABEL TASMAN 3-1
ACTRESS 35-1
DANZATRICE 100-1
ELATE 6-1
ESKENFORMONEY 50-1
EVER SO CLEVER 100-1
FLORA DORA 100-1
FOREVER UNBRIDLED 9-5
GOING FOR BROKE 100-1
HOLY HELENA 25-1
IT TIZ WELL 18-1
KIRIAKI 100-1
LOCKDOWN 75-1
MOANA 85-1
MOPOTISM 75-1
MY MISS TAPIT 85-1
NEW MONEY HONEY 75-1
PARADISE WOODS 10-1
SALTY 20-1
SHANE’S GIRLFRIEND 100-1
STELLAR WIND 8-5
SUNSET RIDGE 20-1
SWEET LORETTA 60-1
TERRA PROMESSA 45-1
TIGER MOTH 75-1
UNCHAINED MELODY 40-1
VALE DORI 7-1
VEXATIOUS 100-1

Oct 14 2017

Charles Town West Virginia Breeders’ Classic Day Grid- 9 Stakes Races Sat.Oct.14

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Saturday, October 14 is West Virginia’s day to have their own in-state Breeders’ Cup, and it’s called WV Breeders’ Classic Day. 9 Stakes races will feature horses, most of which have never raced outside of the confines of Charles Town race track, and most never will.
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Charles Town Hollywood Casino and Race Track

Charles Town Hollywood Casino and Race Track


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Most of the stakes races are under $100k purse, but there are several higher stakes races, including the $180k 7f Classic for 3up, and the featured race, the $350k Classic at 9f again for 3 and up.
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The night card will start at 7pm in what will be a fun and competitive night at Charles Town, with the last race scheduled for 11pm. Of course they have 2 juvenile races in there for 2yo and 2f that will bear watching.
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Enjoy the free Grid for Charles Town tonight by downloading here.
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Good luck.

Sep 30 2017

Santa Anita Sat.Sep.30 Grid: 5 G1’s including Frontrunner and 4 horse Zenyatta stakes

5 G1 graded stakes races are set for Saturday Sep.30 at Santa Anita, including the now 4-horse Zenyatta stakes, Chandler, Frontrunner, Rodeo Drive, and Awesome Again.
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Obsessive Kentucky Derby handicappers like me who try to figure it out at least 6 months early will have eyes on the Frontrunner G1.
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Yes Baffert has a pair in this 8.5f race, but Alvin Ruis has the ML favorite Bolt D’oro, who beat Baffert’s Zatter in the Del Mar Futurity, and Peter Miller has a live contender at 6-1 with the highest PF and LP.
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Bolt D'oro overtook Zatter in the Del Mar Futurity G1 Sept.4 2017

Bolt D’oro overtook Zatter in the Del Mar Futurity G1 Sept.4 2017


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Last year’s Frontrunner winner Gormley also won the Sham and Santa Anita Derby, and had a subpar 9th in the Kentucky Derby, and got 4th in the Belmont Stakes. This is a big race for west coast 2yo’s.
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OK the races are about to start so here is the Grid. Oh BTW there is a Pick 6 carryover of $50k going in. Should end up in the $300k range.

Santa Anita Grid post scratches

SA Grid pre-scratch

Sep 09 2017

Woodbine Sunday Sep.10- Large Hi5 Carryover and Grid

Sunday, September 10, Woodbine has another huge carryover of over $1 million for the Super High Five Jackpot. For this, you will have to pick the top 5 horses in order in the last race of the day.
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Woodbine Race Track

Woodbine Race Track


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It’s only 20 cent bet so usually not incredibly difficult to get a winning bet, but to have the only one with a winning ticket is nearly impossible.
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Saturday there was a great chance, as it paid over $3 grand for the 20 cent bet, but alas the multiple winners had to split the win pool, despite 4 of the top 5 being longshots.
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But it is possible, anything is possible, and with the Grid, you can get the needed long shots to win.
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Download the Woodbine Sunday Grid here to follow along free.
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Normally in this situation, I’m inclined to put some long shots on top and bottom and somewhere in the middle, keyed around some obvious horses that should theoretically run 1 2 3.
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The key horses I would use are most likely 2-3-4, as you can see according to the Grid. There’s not much front running speed but it does exist, so that EP5 is the best possible style for this race. #3 has the best LP without any doubt. At least 2 of those 3 should make the top 5, maybe all 3.
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But because there’s not a lot of front running speed, that means 1 or 2 of the E-type horses have a good chance of making that top 5. I’m drooling at 8, with the top EP rating, at 15-1. 9, 10, and 1 could also finish in there at great odds.
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In such a bet, you can’t well include everyone tho, unless you just wheel all at one slot, but then you’re severely limiting yourself at other positions, unless you single them, which I hate to do, with as many possibilities as this race has.
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7 is a big wild card, and it’s hard to tell what he’ll do, but his ROI numbers look good so I’ll put him in there somewhere. The others not mentioned I’ll just toss because like I said, you can’t include all of them realistically.
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The long shots I will use at the top are likely 1 8 9 10, and maybe key my 3 solid chalk horses at 2 and 3 or 2 and 4. It’s a strategy I use often in this type of arrangement, but do however you see fit. You have the long shots, put em where you want em.
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Good luck!

Sep 09 2017

Kentucky Downs Saturday Turf Cup- Review

Sunday, Sep.9 2017
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Kentucky Downs Saturday: How did we do?
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Yesterday we posted a Kentucky Downs preview and long shot special article. The point was to get some long shots sprinkled in to your exotics, and possibly even win.
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As it turned out, the only winner was in race 1, where you would have def had a nice trifecta using the Grid, even with the typo you would have seen the runner up stand out.
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After that, the long shots hitting the top 3 fizzled out for almost all of the races, but we had a few in there hitting 3rd and 4th, one more winner, and one runner up. Overall, not bad. We’re counting the winner of R4 since it def would have made the long shot report at >6-1 but only 5-1 ML and the odds normally go down after scratches for the single digit horses, not up.
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Results Kentucky Downs Sat. Sep. 9

R1: 2 11 12 15 (note: initial article said 1 instead of 2, with ML of 6-1 but that was a typo, as The Grid will corroborate, there was no reason to select 1. I apologize for the typo, and left it in the original article to not be accused of changing anything.)
Result:
11 5-1
2 4-1
12 7-1

6 25-1

R2: 9 14
Result:
12 3-1
4 7-1
9 5-1
8 17-1

R3: None
Result: Chalk top 3. 6 was top EP in Grid so a good one to wheel at 4th. Not a great betting race.
4 3-1
1 3-1
7 5-1
6 25-1

R4: 5 12
Result: 6 was 5-1 ML thus did not appear on the long shot report. Big overlay.
6 9-1
11 20-1
3 3-1
12 5-1

R5: 1 13
Result: 5 was 2nd in Grid LP and a good one to wheel at 3 and 4.
2 4-1
3 4-1
5 8-1
1 18-1

R6: 7
Result:
6 6-1
7 5-1
1 4-1
10 60-1

R7: None
Result: Chalk. 1 was 2nd in LP good to wheel underneath but not a good betting race as predicted.
5 4-5
4 3-1
2 3-1
1 10-1

R8: 3 7
Result: Chalk
5 3-1
6 3-1
2 4-1
10 20-1

R9: 3 6
Result: Chalk
10 3-1
1 3-1
7 4-1
2 45-1

R10: 8 9 10 12
Result:
4 7-2
1 5-2
3 5-1
10 40-1

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Sep 08 2017

Kentucky Downs Grid and Long Shot Specials Saturday September 8 Turf Cup, Sprint Cup

Kentucky Downs Grid and Long Shot Specials Saturday September 8 Turf Cup Sprint Cup
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Kentucky Downs
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Kentucky Downs has another big day Saturday with the G3 Turf Cup and G3 Turf Sprint, G3 Ladies Turf, and other assorted stakes races. Here we will point out the long shot specials and Grid for Saturday.
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Now, this doesn’t mean the chalk is no good, because in most races, they are solid, but in at least half the races, they are not unbeatable. The races where it says “none” means, don’t even bet it unless at least 1 or 2 of the chalk scratches.
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As you probably know, Downs only has a turf course and there is no dirt racing track. Saturday’s card has about 140 horses initially entered for the 10 races. The number actually running will be less since only 12 can exit the gate each race. Plenty of alternate entries here
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Download the Grid right here, no strings attached, no questions asked, and follow along.
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Long shot specials for Saturday at Kentucky Downs (only horses with a win chance at >5-1 morning line). Sprinkle your exotics with these and spice the day up a bit:
(scratched crossed off)
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R1: 1 11 12 15
R2: 9 14
R3: None
R4: 5 12
R5: 1 13
R6: 7
R7: None
R8: 3 7
R9: 3 6
R10: 8 9 10 12

Aug 31 2017

Saratoga Woodward G1 Day Saturday September 2, Gun Runner and other Graded Stakes

Saratoga Saturday September 2 Woodward G1 Day Picks including Glenns Falls G3, Spinaway G1, and Saranac G3.
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Thursday, August 31
Saratoga Springs, NY
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It’s another big day for Saratoga towards the end of their famous summer meet on Saturday, featuring the Woodward G1 and several other graded stakes races.
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Only connections for 4 horses have the courage to take on Gun Runner in the Woodward, and for good reason. In his past 5 races, he lost one, finishing a respectable 2nd to an unbeatable Arrogate in the Dubai World Cup.
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Go ahead and download the Saratoga Woodward Saturday Grid here free, no strings, to follow along.
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Now that Arrogate has become very beatable in his last 2 races, Gun Runner looks like he’s becoming unbeatable, destroying the field in 2 G1’s in Arrogate-like fashion.
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Gun Runner, geared down in the Foster G1 after destroying the field, stamped his BC Classic ticket in this race.

Gun Runner, geared down in the Foster G1 after destroying the field, stamped his BC Classic ticket in this race.


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On paper, Rally Cry looks like he could be the prime challenger, but flops every time in graded stakes company. Neolithic finished 3rd in the DWC and hasn’t improved since then. The other 2 are hoping for the best.
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Before that feature race, the Spinaway G1 for 2yo fillies is also a 5 horse race in which 3 of them have an actual shot at victory. Separationofpowers and Lady Ivanka won going away their first time out for Chad Brown and Rudy Rodriquez respectively.
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But Todd Pletcher doesn’t mess around when it comes to 2yo’s, and his current slight favorite Pure Silver is not only undefeated after 3 races, but won the Adirondack G2 in going away fashion right here at Saratoga last month.
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Lynnbrook winner Pure Silver takes on stablemate Stainless in Adirondack G2

Lynnbrook winner Pure Silver takes on stablemate Stainless in Adirondack G2


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Again backtracking to the race before that, the Saranac G3 on turf will be much more competitive. Favorites Bricks and Mortar and Yoshida are both very solid, have good numbers, and both will likely be factors in this race.
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I like some odds on a lot of the others. Pletcher’s Caviar Czar goes first on turf at 15-1 with competitive speed figures and 2nd best EP. Top EP and only true frontrunner Voodoo Song has odds of 12-1 on the ML. 2nd in EP rating is Mo Maverick at 10-1. Mr Havercamp also runs early and has done well in his 1st 2 outings.
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So what happens if those 4 provide enough speed for a good closer to win? Then you have to look at the top 2 LP horses, Rocketry at 6-1 and Makarios at 20-1. Literally, this race is wide open, with lots of longshot possibilities, and will depend on how they run it and how the track is playing.
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Capping with the last race of the day, the Glenns Falls G1, again we have solid favorites with War Flag and Harmonize. However, the top PF’s, all last out, belong to 4 other horses, and are virtually indistinguishable between them.
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Estrechada, Lottie, and Summersault finished 1-2-3 in a G3 last out, earning them top PF’s, all within 1 length of each other in that race. Grateful ran 2 days later at the same distance of 12f, winning an optional claimer in almost the exact same time.
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Of the entire field, it looks like only Summersault, 8-1 ML, and Grateful, 15-1 have any interest in going to the lead. The distance of the race really doesn’t matter, when you have a lack of any frontrunners, those who run earliest will have the best chance unless something changes.
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That makes Grateful the longshot pick of the day in his first graded stakes race.
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For all the Grids at Saratoga, Del Mar, and any other major track or race day, such as Kentucky Downs for the great 2yo races on Saturday, you can look at the subscription options here.
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Whatever you do, Good Luck!
Dalton.

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Aug 11 2017

Saratoga Saturday August 11- Coaches Corner and Grid

Pick some winners this week at Saratoga on 4stardave and Adirondack day. See the Grid posted free below to follow along and make your own picks.
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Download Saratoga Saturday Grid here now free and hassle free
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Saturday, August 12, 2017
Saratoga Race Track
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This is the pre-scratch synopsis analysis for Saratoga Saturday. See the Grid to see rationale.
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Race 1: Clm 20k
Status: Wide open
Picks: 7-6-5-1
Longshot specials: 7, 6, 3, 2
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Race 2: MSW2
Status: Pletcher
Picks: 2-9-8-4
Longshots: 1, 7
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Race 3: Alw 50k turf
Status: Lots of speed, not much value
Picks: 6-9-4-2-3
Longshots: none
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Race 4: Adirondack G2 2F
Status: Pletcher
Picks: 2-1-6-3-8
Longshots: 2 Stainless

Lynnbrook winner Pure Silver takes on stablemate Stainless in Adirondack G2

Lynnbrook winner Pure Silver takes on stablemate Stainless in Adirondack G2


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Race 5: Clm 25k turf
Status: Legit faves but not much speed
Picks: 4-9-10-2-11 if stays on turf
Longshots: 2, 11
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Race 6: MSW2 turf
Status: Low odds on legit contenders
Picks: 8-2-9-3-1 for turf
Longshots: 1 15-1
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Race 7: MSW2
Status: Pletcher
Picks: 9-2-1-4-7
Longshots: 4 , 7
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Race 8: Ocm 80k
Status: Open with beatable favorites
Picks: 3-4-2-5-6
Longshots: 6, 3
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Race 9: Ocm 62k
Status: Legit faves
Picks: 1-8-5-10-9
Longshots: 10, 5
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Race 10: 4stardave G1 turf
Status: No odds
Picks: 4-3-6-7
Longshots: none
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Race 11: Mdn 40k turf
Status: Legit favoritism but lots of choices
Picks: 8-2-12-4-1
Longshots: 1, 2, 4

For all the Grids, every major track and race, every day, click here.

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