Loading ...May 14 2012
The Preakness 2011 Triple Crown 2nd Leg- How I Smashed it with Shackleford and Won Big
Here’s a quick recap of the 2011 Preakness and how I used the Grid to get a nice 13-1 winner and $1400 trifecta payout.
There are two files here, the first is the Grid I used to handicap the Preakness.
Note that the 13-1 winner Shackleford was the Grid’s top ranked horse in terms of power and speed, similar to this year’s Bodemeister. The difference is, last year people forgot that Shack finished 4th, not 14th in the Derby, and he went off at great odds.
This year nobody will forget Bode’s outstanding 2nd place effort in the Derby, and you won’t get more than 3-1 on him.
Note also that obvious favorite Animal Kingdom who was coming off the top Performance Figure of any in the field from his astounding Derby performance, finished second.
In third was Astrology, an “outsider” in his first Triple Crown Race, who was actually 4th in EP and coming off a couple of strong preps and final 1/4.
In 4th was 2nd betting choice Dialed In, coming off of a disappointing 8th place Derby finish but the undisputed top late runner in the field. Unfortunately he ran too late in this one.
What we have just described above is the anatomy of perfect Preakness bet. This type of strategy works almost every year.
Several of the top 4 Derby finishers run in this every year. Key them in spots 1 and 2 and 1 and 3 in separate trifecta tickets. Find a nice improving “outsider” long shot, almost always at odds of 12-1 to 15-1.
For a superfecta ticket, use some of the Derby horses again in the 4th spot. We can go back many years and show that two of the top Derby horses finish 1 and 2 or 1 and 3 in this race.
Occasionally and outsider wins the Preakness but only in freak occurrences such as Barbaro breaking down. That will not happen this year because the outsiders are not strong enough and it looks like 4 of the Derby top 5 will be running.
This year, you know who these horses will be, if they are all running. Who else will you use as an outsider to complete your trifecta and superfecta tickets? The Derby 4 are unlikely to sweep the super, because that seldom happens.
To find out who the good long shots and key horses are, you will have to get this year’s Preakness Grid.
