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Weekend Winners Club

Apr 08 2016

Doug’s Derby Dozen and One April 8 2016

Friday, April 8
Churchill Downs
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Download Final 2016 Kentucky Derby Grid Here with full field, odds, posts, and over 80 different factors including pedigree, performance, and historical criteria!
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Nyquist roared to victory again in the Florida Derby G1 last weekend as planned, remaining undefeated with 7 wins, including 6 of G1 or G2 caliber. The $400k colt has now earned over $2.2 million, including the $1m bonus for the Florida Derby.
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Nyquist destroys Florida Derby field

Nyquist destroys Florida Derby field
Photo: Lauren King/ Coglianese


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Nyquist was supposed to have trouble dispatching the $2.2m Keeneland sale Mohaymen, who has earned $800k. Mohaymen sustained his first loss, running wide and fading to 4th in the stretch as he was no match for 2yo champ Nyquist that day. Needless to say, the champ remains #1 here as he has been all year. Further analysis below rankings.
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Here are the rankings.
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Rank Horse Sire Trainer Last Race Date Pts
1 Nyquist Uncle Mo Doug O’Neill 1st Florida Derby G1 2-Apr 130
2 Gun Runner Candy Ride Steve Asmussen 1st Louisiana Derby G2 26-Mar 151
3 Mohaymen Tapit Kiaran McLaughlin 4th Florida Derby G1 2-Apr 80
4 Mor Spirit Eskendereya Bob Baffert 2nd San Felipe G2 12-Mar 44
5 Exaggerator Curlin Keith Desormeaux 3rd San Felipe G2 12-Mar 26
6 Mo Tom Uncle Mo Tom Amoss 4th Louisiana Derby G2 26-Mar 32
7 Danzing Candy Twirling Candy Clifford Sise Jr 1st San Felipe G2 12-Mar 50
8 Cupid Tapit Bob Baffert 1st Rebel Stakes G2 19-Mar 50
9 Forevamo Uncle Mo Albert Stall Jr 5th Louisiana Derby G2 26-Mar 20
10 Destin Giant’s Causeway Todd Pletcher 1st Tampa Derby G2 12-Mar 51
11 Lani Tapit Mikio Matsunaga 1st UAE Derby G2 26-Mar 100
12 Shagaf Bernardini Chad Brown 1st Gotham G3 5-Mar 50
13 Zulu Bernardini Todd Pletcher 2nd Fountain Youth G2 27-Feb 20
14 Tom’s Ready More Than Ready Dallas Stewart 2nd Louisiana Derby G2 26-Mar 44
15 Smokey Image Southern Image Carla Gaines 5th San Felipe G2 12-Mar 0
16 Majesto Tiznow Gustavo Delgado 2nd Florida Derby G1 2-Apr 40
17 Dazzling Gem Misremembered Brad Cox 3rd Louisiana Derby G2 27-Mar 20
18 Whitmore Pleasantly Perfect Ronald Moquett 2nd Rebel Stakes G2 19-Mar 24
19 Fellowship Awesome of Course Stanley Gold 3rd Florida Derby G1 2-Apr 32
20 Greenpointcrusader Bernardini Dominick Schettino 7th Louisiana Derby G2 26-Mar 14
21 Donegal Moon Malibu Moon Todd Pletcher 1st Alw 51k 5-Mar 0
22 Swipe Birdstone Keith Desormeaux 2nd BC Juvenile G1 31-Oct 12
23 Brody’s Cause Giant’s Causeway Dale Romans 7th Tampa Derby G2 12-Mar 14
24 Flexibility Bluegrass Cat Chad Brown 4th Withers G3 30-Jan 15
25 Oscar Nominated Kitten’s Joy Michael Maker 1st Spiral Stakes G2 2-Apr 50

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Nyquist moved up to 2nd in points and Gun Runner remained number one, as he will remain because nobody can catch him. All of our top 4 are locks to get into the Kentucky Derby if their connections want. The others, not so much.
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Running this weekend in the Santa Anita Derby will be Mor Spirit, Danzing Candy, Exaggerator, and Smokey Image. The first two will get into the Ky Derby, but Exaggerator may need a few more points. Smokey Image, who sustained his first loss by finishing 5th in the San Felipe, still has zero points.
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Shagaf will be favored in the Wood this weekend but is running for the purse money since he’s a lock for the KD. Flexibility, Matt King Coal, Outwork, and Adventist are running for KD points and the money.
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In the Bluegrass, Zulu is favored and likely will need a few more Derby points. Brody’s Cause needs the points and needs to get back on track after a horrible 7th place finish in the Tampa Bay Derby.
Donegal Moon has looked impressive except in his 3 graded stakes, in which he finished a well beaten 5th twice, and fell and lost jock in the other. The Bluegrass has an initial field of 16.

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