Apr 08 2016
Doug’s Derby Dozen and One April 8 2016
Friday, April 8
Churchill Downs
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Download Final 2016 Kentucky Derby Grid Here with full field, odds, posts, and over 80 different factors including pedigree, performance, and historical criteria!
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Nyquist roared to victory again in the Florida Derby G1 last weekend as planned, remaining undefeated with 7 wins, including 6 of G1 or G2 caliber. The $400k colt has now earned over $2.2 million, including the $1m bonus for the Florida Derby.
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Nyquist was supposed to have trouble dispatching the $2.2m Keeneland sale Mohaymen, who has earned $800k. Mohaymen sustained his first loss, running wide and fading to 4th in the stretch as he was no match for 2yo champ Nyquist that day. Needless to say, the champ remains #1 here as he has been all year. Further analysis below rankings.
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Here are the rankings.
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Rank | Horse | Sire | Trainer | Last | Race | Date | Pts |
1 | Nyquist | Uncle Mo | Doug O’Neill | 1st | Florida Derby G1 | 2-Apr | 130 |
2 | Gun Runner | Candy Ride | Steve Asmussen | 1st | Louisiana Derby G2 | 26-Mar | 151 |
3 | Mohaymen | Tapit | Kiaran McLaughlin | 4th | Florida Derby G1 | 2-Apr | 80 |
4 | Mor Spirit | Eskendereya | Bob Baffert | 2nd | San Felipe G2 | 12-Mar | 44 |
5 | Exaggerator | Curlin | Keith Desormeaux | 3rd | San Felipe G2 | 12-Mar | 26 |
6 | Mo Tom | Uncle Mo | Tom Amoss | 4th | Louisiana Derby G2 | 26-Mar | 32 |
7 | Danzing Candy | Twirling Candy | Clifford Sise Jr | 1st | San Felipe G2 | 12-Mar | 50 |
8 | Cupid | Tapit | Bob Baffert | 1st | Rebel Stakes G2 | 19-Mar | 50 |
9 | Forevamo | Uncle Mo | Albert Stall Jr | 5th | Louisiana Derby G2 | 26-Mar | 20 |
10 | Destin | Giant’s Causeway | Todd Pletcher | 1st | Tampa Derby G2 | 12-Mar | 51 |
11 | Lani | Tapit | Mikio Matsunaga | 1st | UAE Derby G2 | 26-Mar | 100 |
12 | Shagaf | Bernardini | Chad Brown | 1st | Gotham G3 | 5-Mar | 50 |
13 | Zulu | Bernardini | Todd Pletcher | 2nd | Fountain Youth G2 | 27-Feb | 20 |
14 | Tom’s Ready | More Than Ready | Dallas Stewart | 2nd | Louisiana Derby G2 | 26-Mar | 44 |
15 | Smokey Image | Southern Image | Carla Gaines | 5th | San Felipe G2 | 12-Mar | 0 |
16 | Majesto | Tiznow | Gustavo Delgado | 2nd | Florida Derby G1 | 2-Apr | 40 |
17 | Dazzling Gem | Misremembered | Brad Cox | 3rd | Louisiana Derby G2 | 27-Mar | 20 |
18 | Whitmore | Pleasantly Perfect | Ronald Moquett | 2nd | Rebel Stakes G2 | 19-Mar | 24 |
19 | Fellowship | Awesome of Course | Stanley Gold | 3rd | Florida Derby G1 | 2-Apr | 32 |
20 | Greenpointcrusader | Bernardini | Dominick Schettino | 7th | Louisiana Derby G2 | 26-Mar | 14 |
21 | Donegal Moon | Malibu Moon | Todd Pletcher | 1st | Alw 51k | 5-Mar | 0 |
22 | Swipe | Birdstone | Keith Desormeaux | 2nd | BC Juvenile G1 | 31-Oct | 12 |
23 | Brody’s Cause | Giant’s Causeway | Dale Romans | 7th | Tampa Derby G2 | 12-Mar | 14 |
24 | Flexibility | Bluegrass Cat | Chad Brown | 4th | Withers G3 | 30-Jan | 15 |
25 | Oscar Nominated | Kitten’s Joy | Michael Maker | 1st | Spiral Stakes G2 | 2-Apr | 50 |
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Nyquist moved up to 2nd in points and Gun Runner remained number one, as he will remain because nobody can catch him. All of our top 4 are locks to get into the Kentucky Derby if their connections want. The others, not so much.
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Running this weekend in the Santa Anita Derby will be Mor Spirit, Danzing Candy, Exaggerator, and Smokey Image. The first two will get into the Ky Derby, but Exaggerator may need a few more points. Smokey Image, who sustained his first loss by finishing 5th in the San Felipe, still has zero points.
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Shagaf will be favored in the Wood this weekend but is running for the purse money since he’s a lock for the KD. Flexibility, Matt King Coal, Outwork, and Adventist are running for KD points and the money.
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In the Bluegrass, Zulu is favored and likely will need a few more Derby points. Brody’s Cause needs the points and needs to get back on track after a horrible 7th place finish in the Tampa Bay Derby.
Donegal Moon has looked impressive except in his 3 graded stakes, in which he finished a well beaten 5th twice, and fell and lost jock in the other. The Bluegrass has an initial field of 16.
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