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Weekend Winners Club

Apr 23 2016

Doug’s Double Derby Dozen +1 April 23 2016

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Saturday, April 23
Churchill Downs
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A lot has changed the past couple of weeks, as 4 of the big 5 major Kentucky Derby preps were run, and a couple of minor preps added mostly for fun.
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Download Final 2016 Kentucky Derby Grid Here with full field, odds, posts, and over 80 different factors including pedigree, performance, and historical criteria!
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These turned out to be the most important races in the Kentucky Derby Championship Series. In all, 9 horses that didn’t have enough points, stamped their Derby tickets, and 4 earned top 4 alternate status.
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This means that 9 who were in the top 20 points list, got demoted to non-roses status. What hasn’t changed, is that we still have Nyquist ranked number one as he has been all year. Gun Runner, the top Derby points earner remained number two.
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Nyquist destroys Florida Derby field

Nyquist destroys Florida Derby field
Photo: Lauren King/ Coglianese


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After that, some things had to change, since there were 9 newcomers that won, place or showed in Grade 1 prep races. There was some necessary upheaval.
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A couple of things to keep in mind. This is not a points ranking. Points are included, but they are not the basis. This is an objective look at how I’d rank the field right now.
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The rankings subject to change upon further analyis, scratches and injuries, and of course, the imminent first version of the 2016 Kentucky Derby Grid.
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Today’s Rankings:

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Rank Horse Sire Trainer Last Race Date Pts
1 Nyquist Uncle Mo Doug O’Neill 1st Florida Derby G1 2-Apr 130
2 Gun Runner Candy Ride Steve Asmussen 1st Louisiana Derby G2 26-Mar 151
3 Exaggerator Curlin Keith Desormeaux 1st St.Anita Derby G1 9-Apr 126
4 Mor Spirit Eskendereya Bob Baffert 2nd St.Anita Derby G1 9-Apr 84
5 Creator Tapit Steve Asmussen 1st Arkansas Derby G1 16-Apr 110
6 Brody’s Cause Giant’s Causeway Dale Romans 1st Blue Grass G1 9-Apr 114
7 Outwork Todd Pletcher Todd Pletcher 1st Wood Memorial G1 9-Apr 120
8 Trojan Nation Paddy Gallagher Paddy Gallagher 2nd Wood Memorial G1 9-Apr 40
9 Mo Tom Uncle Mo Tom Amoss 4th Louisiana Derby G2 26-Mar 32
10 Lani Tapit Mikio Matsunaga 1st UAE Derby G2 26-Mar 100
11 Tom’s Ready More Than Ready Dallas Stewart 2nd Louisiana Derby G2 26-Mar 44
12 Suddenbreakingnews Mineshaft Donnie Von Hemel 2nd Arkansas Derby G1 16-Apr 50
13 Majesto Tiznow Gustavo Delgado 2nd Florida Derby G1 2-Apr 40
14 Mohaymen Tapit Kiaran McLaughlin 4th Florida Derby G1 2-Apr 80
15 Danzing Candy Twirling Candy Clifford Sise Jr 4th St.Anita Derby G1 9-Apr 60
16 Whitmore Pleasantly Perfect Ronald Moquett 3rd Arkansas Derby G1 16-Apr 44
17 Shagaf Bernardini Chad Brown 5th Wood Memorial G1 9-Apr 50
18 Destin Giant’s Causeway Todd Pletcher 1st Tampa Derby G2 12-Mar 51
19 My Man Sam Chad Brown Chad Brown 2nd Blue Grass G1 9-Apr 40
20 Oscar Nominated Kitten’s Joy Michael Maker 1st Spiral Stakes G3 2-Apr 50
21 Fellowship Awesome of Course Stanley Gold 3rd Florida Derby G1 2-Apr 32
22 Adventist Leah Gyarmati Leah Gyarmati 3rd Wood Memorial G1 9-Apr 32
23 Laoban Eric Guillot Eric Guillot 4th Blue Grass G1 9-Apr 32
24 Dazzling Gem Misremembered Brad Cox 4th Arkansas Derby G1 16-Apr 30
25 Uncle Lino Gary Sherlock Gary Sherlock 3rd St.Anita Derby G1 9-Apr 29


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Note that 21-25 are included as the top alternates, in that order, because of the fact that some of the top 20 will not end up participating. Even after the post draw, those not in the top 20 will remain alternates.

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