Apr 10 2017
Doug’s Double Derby Dozen- April 10 2017
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Monday, April 10
Churchill Downs
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This week bears some more changing in the rankings as usual. Unlike last year, when the top 5, 10, etc, remained fairly static, it’s very dynamic this year, as there are new winners every week, that haven’t won anything significant before.
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One that did win a major prep for the 2nd time, after a horrible run last out at Gulfstream, is Irish War Cry, who we selected in the November Futures pool before word got out. He ran an excellent Wood Memorial and is now all set for a run for the roses.
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Gunnevera was demoted to 2nd from 1st, which is not demeaning to him by any means, but we just feel that Irish War Cry, at his best, is the best 3yo in training right now. And he doesn’t require any particular pace to make it happen, because of his early pressing running style.
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2yo champ Classic Empire remains in the top 10, in hopes that he can come back from the minor injury, and earn some points in the Ark. Derby to officially stamp his Kentucky ticket.
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The Arkansas is shaping up to be an epic Derby, with a possible 6 of the top 24 contenders gunning for a Roses ticket, and only one of them, Malagacy, already having the points required. I expect Todd will try to put him in the best position to win, but not go all out in the stretch.
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Here’s how we see it at this juncture.
Rank | Horse | Sire | Trainer | Fin | Race | Date | Pts | Next (Probable) |
1 | Irish War Cry | Curlin | Motion H Graham | 1st | Wood Mem G2 | 8-Apr | 110 | Kentucky Derby 5/6 |
2 | Gunnevera | Dialed In | Sano Antonio | 3rd | Fla Derby G1 | 1-Apr | 84 | Kentucky Derby 5/6 |
3 | Always Dreaming | Bodemeister | Pletcher Todd A | 1st | Fla Derby G1 | 1-Apr | 100 | Kentucky Derby 5/6 |
4 | Malagacy | Shackleford | Pletcher Todd A | 1st | Rebel G2 | 18-Mar | 50 | Ark Derby G1 4/15 |
5 | Girvin | Tale Of Ekati | Sharp Joe | 1st | La Derby G2 | 1-Apr | 150 | Kentucky Derby 5/6 |
6 | Classic Empire | Pioneerof The Nile | Casse Mark | 3rd | Holy Bull G3 | 4-Feb | 32 | Ark Derby G1 4/15 |
7 | Cloud Computing | Maclean’s Music | Brown Chad C | 3rd | Wood Mem G2 | 8-Apr | 40 | Kentucky Derby 5/6 |
8 | Practical Joke | Into Mischief | Brown Chad C | 2nd | Blue Grass G2 | 8-Apr | 74 | Kentucky Derby 5/6 |
9 | J Boys Echo | Mineshaft | Romans Dale | 4th | Blue Grass G2 | 1-Apr | 63 | Kentucky Derby 5/6 |
10 | Tapwrit | Tapit | Pletcher Todd A | 5th | Blue Grass G2 | 8-Apr | 54 | Kentucky Derby 5/6 |
11 | Thunder Snow (Ire) | Helmet | Suroor Saeed | 1st | UAE Derby G1 | 25-Mar | 100 | Kentucky Derby 5/6 |
12 | Sonneteer | Midnight Lute | Desormeaux Keith | 2nd | Rebel G2 | 18-Mar | 20 | Ark Derby G1 4/15 |
13 | Battalion Runner | Unbridled’S Song | Pletcher Todd A | 2nd | Wood Mem G2 | 8-Apr | 40 | Kentucky Derby 5/6 |
14 | Gormley | Malibu Moon | Shirreffs John | 1st | SA Derby G1 | 8-Apr | 125 | SA Derby G1 4/8 |
15 | Untrapped | Trappe Shot | Asmussen Steven M | 3rd | Rebel G2 | 18-Mar | 34 | Ark Derby G1 4/15 |
16 | Hence | Street Boss | Asmussen Steven M | 1st | Sun Derby G3 | 26-Mar | 50 | Kentucky Derby 5/6 |
17 | Mccraken | Ghostzapper | Wilkes Ian R | 3rd | Blue Grass G2 | 8-Apr | 40 | Blue Grass G1 4/8 |
18 | Petrov | Flatter | Moquett Ronald E | 4th | Rebel G2 | 18-Mar | 13 | Ark Derby G1 4/15 |
19 | Epicharis (JPN) | Gold Allure | Hagiwara Kiyoshi | 2nd | UAE Derby G1 | 25-Mar | 40 | Kentucky Derby 5/6 |
20 | Lookin At Lee | Lookin At Lucky | Asmussen Steven M | 6th | Rebel G2 | 18-Mar | 12 | Ark Derby G1 4/15 |
21 | State Of Honor | To Honor And Serve | Casse Mark | 2nd | Fla Derby G1 | 1-Apr | 62 | Kentucky Derby 5/6 |
22 | Royal Mo | Uncle Mo | Shirreffs John | 3rd | SA Derby G1 | 8-Apr | 30 | Kentucky Derby 5/6 |
23 | Irap | Tiznow | O’Neill Doug | 1st | Blue Grass G2 | 8-Apr | 100 | Kentucky Derby 5/6 |
24 | Uncontested | Tiz Wonderful | Catalano Wayne M | 8th | Rebel G2 | 18-Mar | 11 | Ark Derby G1 4/15 |