Weekend Winners Club

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Monday, May 15
Pimlico, MD
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Kentucky Derby champion Always Dreaming is not surprisingly the almost-even-money favorite for the Preakness Stakes this weekend, but the issue won’t be settled until then.
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Could this be another Lookin at Lucky type of year? Because it’s clear that out of 20 quality 3yo’s that competed on the first Saturday in May, most didn’t have a real liking to the sloppy/sealed racing surface on that day.
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It could well be that Lookin at Lee repeats in his sire’s footsteps at Pimlico after a solid Derby, even tho the track usually doesn’t favor such closers. Classic Empire also turned in a good performance at Churchill.
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What stands out boldly in this field so far however, is the almost complete lack of early/speed runners. Conquest Mo Money is the only up-front challenger to Always Dreaming, and is coming off 2 solid runner-up finishes in his preps.
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Together, the Kentucky Derby champ and Arkansas Derby runner-up are the only 2 scheduled to lead the way in the Preakness. Classic Empire and Cloud Computing will be chasing the pace, and the others are all late runners.
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This gives Always Dreaming a serious advantage over most of the field, but we can’t rule out the speedy Conquest Mo Money, who will likely have to be run down from behind.
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As covered in a prior early historical analysis, however, the top 6 Kentucky Derby finishers have an excellent history of winning the Preakness. This group includes Lookin at Lee and Classic Empire along with the champ.
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