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Weekend Winners Club

Jun 15 2020

Belmont Stakes Countdown: Monday Outlook and Precap. Field now at 9

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June 15, 2020.  The Belmont Stakes field has been reduced to 9 at this time, as connections brave enough to take on Tiz The Law are diminishing.  The favorite has now become a heavy favorite and it will be the powerful G1 Florida Derby champion’s race to win or lose.

LATEST UPDATED BELMONT PRECAP HERE.

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June 15, 2020.  The Belmont Stakes field has been reduced to 9 at this time, as connections brave enough to take on Tiz The Law are diminishing.  The favorite has now become a heavy favorite and it will be the powerful G1 Florida Derby champion’s race to win or lose.

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Meet the field:

HorseOddsStyleSireTrainer
Dr Post10P5Quality RoadPletcher Todd A
Farmington Road20S0Quality RoadPletcher Todd A
Jungle Runner30P0Candy RideAsmussen Steven M
Max Player15P3Honor CodeRice Linda
Modernist15EP5Uncle MoMott William I
Pneumatic8EP5Uncle MoAsmussen Steven M
Sole Volante4.5S0KarakontieBiancone Patrick L
Tap It To Win8EP6TapitCasse Mark
Tiz The Law1EP5ConstitutionTagg Barclay

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The amount of early speed in the field has been greatly reduced with the defections of Charlatan and Shivaree.. Now there are only 2 that have ever led a race at 1st call:  Tap It To Win and Modernist.  Pneumatic almost led at 1C last out in the Matt Winn but didn’t get it until half a mile in on a slow pace. Get the Grid here to follow along.

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Tap It To Win led all the way last out, announcing his presence with authority in an allowance here at Belmont early this month.  The ridgling is now 2 for 2 this year after an awful 2yo campaign ending with last place finishes in both his stakes races.  He will want the lead and will be tough to catch for any.

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Pneumatic, Modernist, Dr. Post, and Tiz The Law will all be close behind him pressing the pace, but I doubt any one of them will want the early lead if Tap It To Win runs in his usual front running style.  Thus the predicted pacesetter should put up another strong effort and hold on for a piece.

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Tiz The Law has a great habit of finding himself 2 lengths behind the lead at 1C every time regardless of rider, track or location, so he should be in great position again.  He’s now 4 of 5 with 3 graded stakes wins including the Champagne G1 here at Belmont.  His only loss was by 2 lengths on a sloppy Churchill Downs surface.  

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Tiz the Law laid down the law Florida Derby G1 on March 28, 2020
Tiz the Law laid down the law Florida Derby G1 on March 28, 2020

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Of the others that will be pressing, Dr Post looks the most promising, not as much because he won his first stakes race last out at Gulfstream, but putting up a serious performance in breaking his maiden before that.  Pneumatic and Modernist may finish ITM just by virtue of being well placed behind a slow pace.

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Sole Volante is the best late runner in the field and as such has put up great performances every time. His worst career race was the Tampa Derby where he was well behind a dawdling pace early and finished 4 back but good enough for 2nd.  Unfortunately, he may get another dawdling pace this time, but will find himself in the money anyway. 

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Max Player hasn’t raced since winning the Withers G3 at Aqueduct in February.  Extrapolating his 3 race improvement, he should be a big factor in this Belmont and is currently the super sleeper of the field.

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Latest predicted order of finish: 

Tiz The Law 1-1

Tap It To Win 8-1

Dr Post 6-1

Sole Volante 4-1

Max Player 12-1

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The odds are estimates from other sites but official odds will be posted on Wednesday after the post draw at noon, so stay tuned right here.

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Tiz the Law laid down the law Florida Derby G1 on March 28, 2020
Tiz the Law laid down the law Florida Derby G1 on March 28, 2020

.

The amount of early speed in the field has been greatly reduced with the defections of Charlatan and Shivaree.. Now there are only 2 that have ever led a race at 1st call:  Tap It To Win and Modernist.  Pneumatic almost led at 1C last out in the Matt Winn but didn’t get it until half a mile in on a slow pace. See the Grid here to follow along.

.

Tap It To Win led all the way last out, announcing his presence with authority in an allowance here at Belmont early this month.  The ridgling is now 2 for 2 this year after an awful 2yo campaign ending with last place finishes in both his stakes races.  He will want the lead and will be tough to catch for any.

.

Pneumatic, Modernist, Dr. Post, and Tiz The Law will all be close behind him pressing the pace, but I doubt any one of them will want the early lead if Tap It To Win runs in his usual front running style.  Thus the predicted pacesetter should put up another strong effort and hold on for a piece.

.

Tiz The Law has a great habit of finding himself 2 lengths behind the lead at 1C every time regardless of rider, track or location, so he should be in great position again.  He’s now 4 of 5 with 3 graded stakes wins including the Champagne G1 here at Belmont.  His only loss was by 2 lengths on a sloppy Churchill Downs surface.  

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Of the others that will be pressing, Dr Post looks the most promising, not as much because he won his first stakes race last out at Gulfstream, but putting up a serious performance in breaking his maiden before that.  Pneumatic and Modernist may finish ITM just by virtue of being well placed behind a slow pace.

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Sole Volante is the best late runner in the field and as such has put up great performances every time. His worst career race was the Tampa Derby where he was well behind a dawdling pace early and finished 4 back but good enough for 2nd.  Unfortunately, he may get another dawdling pace this time, but will find himself in the money anyway. 

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Max Player hasn’t raced since winning the Withers G3 at Aqueduct in February.  Extrapolating his 3 race improvement, he should be a big factor in this Belmont and is currently the super sleeper of the field.

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Latest predicted order of finish: 

Tiz The Law 1-1

Tap It To Win 8-1

Dr Post 6-1

Sole Volante 4-1

Max Player 12-1

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The odds are estimates from other sites but official odds will be posted on Wednesday after the post draw at noon, so stay tuned right here.

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You can get the Grid for all the stakes racing at Belmont Park Friday and Saturday June 19-20 right here.

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