Loading ...Feb 08 2020
Louisiana Premiere Night Feb.8 Delta Downs: Grid PP’s, Analysis, Long Shots
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Saturday, February 8, 2020. Delta Downs hosts its famous Louisiana Premier Night series tonight with 10 stakes races in various distance , age and sex categories. None of the races are graded but there is over $900k in purse money up for grabs tonight for almost 100 runners scheduled.
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We’re not going to break down every race, because the Grid is available with the link below so you can do that as you see fit. But there are a couple of perhaps key 3yo races going forward, and some long shot specials scattered throughout the day.
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Premier Prince 8f 100k 3yo:
No Parole will be heavily favored after his first 2 races, both at 6f, were 14 and 13 length wins at a maiden then allowance race. If his speed holds up well at 8f he’ll be impossible to beat, as he is tops in all Grid categories. There is a lot of speed in the race, so he will be challenged on the front end. Freedomfi, 2nd in LP, would like to benefit from a speed dueling and missed by a nose last time at 8f 2 races back and looks like this will be his best distance. Race looks chalky.
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Premier Starlet 8f 100k 3yof:
Stephsfullasugar has a horrible name but was impressive in her debut, winning by 2 and posting the highest first out PF in the field. That race gives her top LP because it was the highest single race LP in the field. I seriously doubt the 5-1 ML will hold up and you’ll be lucky to get more than 5-2.
Vacherie Girl is the actual ML fav at 5-2 and deservedly so, winning her 1st 2 races with a great closing move, including a 100k stakes in which she posted the highest dirt PF of any in this field. Last out she fell a few lengths short behind a putridly slow pace in a 100k futurity. Grid: 2nd in LP, top in Power
Our Lost Love at 3-1 ML benefitted from that same futurity by going gate to wire on an easy pace. Her last 2 races tie themselves as the 2nd best dirt PF’s in this field. The Grid has her at top in EP and Speed, and 2nd in Power, and she also has the highest PF overall, posted on turf in her 1st career race. It is unlikely she will get an easy lead, because Sarah’s Passion, tied top EP, always tries to run on the lead.
Jet Sweep, 15-1 ML is tied for 3rd best PF overall with Stephs’ with her last out victory in which she uncharacteristically took a lead that nobody else wanted. Tied for 2nd in LP, she normally runs from well behind and delivers a good closing move. I doubt she’ll win but a good long shot special to include in the exotics, which look otherwise to be quite chalky.
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Other interesting long shot specials.
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Race 2 Bon Temps 4upfm 5f: Normally top LP doesn’t come to mind at 5f, but there is plenty of speed in this one and Miss Pat’s Girl at 10-1 ML has top LP and Stamina, along with competitive PF’s.
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Race 4 Rajun Cajum 4up 5f: Again with the LP at 5f, but there’s plenty of speed, I’d be shocked if the tactical P4 runner Fire Blaster at 6-1 ML with top LP and Stam doesn’t finish in the money.
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Race 6 Gentlemen’s 4up 8.5f:
Finally we have a fully justified use of LP here. 5 E-type horses including 2 E8’s will lead the way. There are also 5 runners within 2 LP points of each other from 81-83. 2 of those are the top ML favorites, and the other 3 are 5-1, 8-1, and 8-1. Rifle Man, a P0 latest runner in the field, is one of those at 8-1 along with Pinch Assault.
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Race 8 Sprint 4up 5f:
Again with the top LP, but this time we’re talking about an EP6 that will be within striking range anyway. Bending Saint at 5-1 ML could be a good mid-shot if the odds hold up or go up.
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So there you have it, the even numbered races have good top LP long shot specials. 2-4-6-8, who do you appreciate? To show your appreciation, use the donate button above left or sign up to get the Grid for every track and race day here.
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