Weekend Winners Club

Sunday, May 24.  Picks were made on Friday for Tampa Bay Downs.  Let’s see how they did and what the Grid said about the top finishers as well.  Format will be prediction line then actual results.

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Race 1:  3 4 1 7 6

Actual:  5 3 4 2

Recap:  While 5 had been running well on turf, his only recent dirt race was awful, until Friday.

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Race 2:  4 1 3 10 6              LSS 3      Start of Pick 4

Actual:  3 9 4 6

Recap:  LSS won but down to 6-1 at post from 10-1 ML.  9 was 3^rd in LP but looked like an EP race.

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Race 3:  6 8 1 5 7 10 3                LSS 7 3

Actual:  3 10 1 5

Recap:  After scratches of alternates 3 became the last pick and 2^nd long shot special, winning at 22-1.  Huge ROI of 12 was given for trainer David Flores and got even bigger on Friday.  10 was top EP in a race where there was almost no speed so should have been an obvious ITM pick after scratches, and finished 2^nd at 8-1.

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Race 4:  4 1 3 9 2 7 Pick 6 Jackpot

Actual:  4 9 1 3

Recap:  Easiest race of day

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Race 5:  2 1 3 4 7 6 5

Actual:  5 6 3 8

Recap:  Race was wide open 5 was tied 2^nd LP and won at 7-1

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Race 6:  13a 5 12 3 4 2      LSS 2      Start of Pick 4

Actual:  2 3 1 13

Recap:  Another LSS won, except it was the post favorite at 2-1 after 8-1 ML.  Someone must have been using my picks. EP ruled this race, with all 3 top finishers in the top 5 of EP within 1 point at either 79 or 80, including the 1 who finished 3^rd at 39-1, who was coming off a horrible race.

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Race 7:  9 7 3 10 4              LSS 10 4

Actual:  9 6 7 3

Recap:  2^nd place finisher hard to get but he was 4^th in EP and 3^rd in LP.

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Race 8:  1 8 9 4 6 11          LSS 6

Actual:  1 5 11 9

Recap:  Once again surprise 2^nd at 24-1, but believe it not he was tied for top EP, as you can see in the Grid.  Problem is, her recent PF’s were some of the worst in the field so we overlooked her intentionally.

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Race 9:  10 7 5 4 3 2                LSS 4

Actual:  5 10 3 12

Recap:  Top 2 were 2^nd and 1^st in EP, winner at 8-1.  4^th place tough to get but the rest easy.

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Overall Grade:  B-

Grade would have been worse, especially with a couple missing winners and lots of elusive 2^nd and 3^rd place scattered around.  But the grade was saved by 3 of 8 listed long shot specials actually winning, even though one of them was only 2-1 at post time. 

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