Weekend Winners Club

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Tuesday, May 26.  Santa Anita expert picks for Monday May 25 were given along with the free Grid.  You’re welcome.  The grade given was A+ because the Grid kicked ass along with our picks based on the analysis of the Grid figures. Let’s do a quick recap. Payouts given for $1 Exacta, 50 cent trifecta, dime super.

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Race 1:  No official picks made. Listed as Wide Open. Long shot specials: 1 2 4 9 11

Result:  7 1 8 2.

Recap:  7 was favored at 3-1 for good reason, top Power in Grid.  1 was 8-1 tied top EP, 8 tied top EP  at 5-1, 2 top LP at 7-1.  Doesn’t get much better than that. Exacta $27, Tri $73, Dime $83.

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Race 2: No picks given. Short field of 6 1^st timers resulting in  chalk, chalk and chalk.

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Race 3:  Another short field of 6 with chalk at top. Nothing to see here.

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Race 4:  No picks given. Exactly half the field was first time starters.

Result:  11 2 4 8

Recap:  Obvious 9-5 favorite won. 2 was 1^st timer with decent ROI at 12-1.  4 was #1 in all categories at 2.4-1.  Exacta $30, Tri $46.

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Race 5:  Predicted order:  7 6 1 4 2 8          LSS 6 4

Result:  7 2 1 6

Recap:  If you didn’t catch our analysis of this one you should have.  Obvious top pick 7 won at 9-10 odds.  2 came from last to 2^nd for 5-2 in 2^nd.  1 went from 5-1 ML to 8-1 for 3^rd.  LSS 6 went up to 33-1 for some reason to complete the super.  Payouts sucked due to short field and chalk, but our picks were spot on.

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Race 6:  No picks given.  Short field of 5 was not worth betting on.

Result:  3 5 1 2

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Race 7:  Wide open                 LSS 1 4 7 10

Result:  9 10 5 4

Recap:  In a wide open race, you bet the LSS, ATB.  The legit fav 9 won at 2-1.  10 was 2^nd at 19-1, paying $15 and $7.40 to place and show.  That’s why you bet LSS.  5 was legit 2^nd public choice at 3-1, and 4 was 75-1 to complete the super.  There was a reason we listed him as LSS, tied for top LP on turf.  If your were clever enough to box or key these, Exacta $31, Tri $68, Dime $241.  Pay attention to LSS next time.

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Race 8: 9 8 3 4 5 10                  LSS 3 4 5

Result:  1 9 8 3

Recap:  In a race where 8 of 10 are 1^st time starters with good ROI, it’s recommended to just wheel all at the top.  The favored Baffert pair ran 2^nd and 3^rd.  LSS 3 was 36-1.  Dime Super paid $109, not bad.

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Race 9:  1 9 8 5 11 3 2    LSS  3 2 (and maybe 9 if odds go up)

Result:  8 3 1 11

Recap:  8 was our 3^rd pick, winning at 2.9-1 and Raging Bull got his BC Mile berth. 3 was the top LSS because tied for top LP, meaning you always bet that one across the board, finished 2^nd at 18-1 and paid $14.20 and $7.80 if you did like you were supposed to.  1 was our top pick, favored at 2-1, 11 completed the super at 7-1 as our 5^th pick.  Exacta $57, Tri $101, Dime $93.

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Race 10:  2 7 4 6 8 5 LSS 7 5

Result:  1 2 4 9

Recap:  Ouch.  We didn’t think an E8 would win in a race with 3 of them, but it did. 4^th in Power, not a terrible choice, 1.7-1 winner no doubt we were out of the loop on this one.  Our one bad race of the day.

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Race 11:  1 11 5 7 3 4                    LSS 11 5 4

Result:  11 10 5 7

Recap:  This is a bit more like it. Top LSS and 2^nd pick winning at 7-1.  It wasn’t just a hunch, in our writeup we described her as one of only 3 runners with any penchant for early pace, and had the best PF’s of such.  If you read the analysis and didn’t bet her to win, you’re an idiot. Unfortunately the fun ended there, as 10 with the least high PF in the field ran the race of her life.  So we settled on WPS payouts of $16.60, $7.40, and $6.40.  If you somehow got 10 then 5 and 7 were listed above as solid picks, at 8-1 and 3-1. 

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Overall Grade:  A.  The only way the grade could have improved was not blowing race 10 which blew up the late pick 4 and was a loss.  But 10 of 11 races isn’t bad and not many “experts” get anywhere near that type of success.  The Grid will give you what you need if you give it a chance.

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Get the Grid for all major tracks and race days here.

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