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Weekend Winners Club

May 30 2020

Churchill Downs Sat.May.29 Precap: Mint Julep, Winning Colors, Picks

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Saturday, May 30.  Churchill Downs has a nice 11 race card with over 110 horses competing after morning scratches.  The card includes the featured Mint Julep G3 as the last race, with 14 ready to run including 2 alternates.  The Winning Colors has a shorter but competitive field of 8.

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Big time racing returned to Churchill in May, without the Kentucky Derby.
Big time racing returned to Churchill in May, without the Kentucky Derby.

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Conditions in Louisville today are finally sunny with a supposed 0% chance of rain, so the track is dry and all races will remain on turf.  This type of track typically favors LP at Churchill so we will factor that in but assume it’s playing fair to start the day. 

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We made picks for every race, and there are lots of long shot specials (LSS) defined as at least 8-1 ML that have a good chance to hit the board or even win.  Get the free Grid here to follow along. Morning scratches already processed.

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For the Race 7 Winning Colors G3, I like mostly chalk for the top 4, as the speed of Mia Mischief and Break Even will be tough to beat at 6f.  But I like the chances of Sneaking Out, Take Charge Angel, or Princess Causeway to hit the board.  Plus you need 4 for your super remember.

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In the Mint Julep G3 Race 11, I like the favorite Juliet Foxtrot the best.  However, I picked two long shots 2nd and 3rd, but they are alternate entries so we may end up deleting them.  If so, I still have 4 more listed including 4 5 and 10 at high odds.  The race is really spread out but I’m looking for EP to do well since the race is almost devoid of speed, especially if 14 doesn’t draw in.

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Full Card Picks:

R1 1:00ET 6f D Md 75000 3 UP FM :  7 6 5 3 1      LSS 6

R2 1:30ET 8.5f D Clm 16000 4 UP FM :  3 5 1 4    6H field

R3 2:00ET 9f T MSW 3 UP FM 79000:  12 5 4 10 9 1            LSS 9 1

R4 2:32ET 6f D Clm 20000 3 YO  :  4 6 5 2 1           LSS 6

R5 3:04ET 6f D Md 20000 3 UP  :  6 7 4 11 12 10 1               LSS 7 11 10 1

R6 3:36ET 9f T Alw 81000n1x 3 YO  :  5 10 11 2    LSS 4 3 1 7

R7 4:08ET 6f D WnngClrs-G3 4 UP FM :  8 2 1 7 6 3            LSS 1 6 3

R8 4:40ET 8.5f D MSW 3 UP  79000:  8 9 3 7 1 10                LSS 8 3 1 10

R9 5:12ET 5.5f T OClm 62500n2x 3 UP FM :  6 13 8 12 11 5 3          LSS 8 12 5 3

R10 5:44ET 8.5f D OClm 62500n2x 3 UP  :  7 8 3 10 4 1     LSS 3 1

R11 6:16ET 8.5f T MntJulp-G3 4 UP FM :  1 13 14 6 2 4      LSS 13 14 4 10 5

As always, you can get the Grid for all the big tracks and races, such as Belmont, Gulfstream, Santa Anita, Tampa, and Golden Gate right here.

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