Powered by Jasper Roberts - Blog

Weekend Winners Club

Jun 11 2020

Belmont Thursday June 11 Precap: Flat Out Stakes & Expert Picks

.

Thursday, June 11.  Belmont Park has another big weekday continuing their summer meet, with 10 races including the Flat Out Stakes.  The 11 furlong bout for a $80k purse will be contested by Belmont Stakes winner Sir Winston, the favorite, and some great long shot specials listed below.

.

.

R1 1:15ET 6f D Md 40000 3 UP : 8 4 1 2 LSS 8

R2 1:50ET 6.5f D Clm 50000n3l 3 UP:  3 4 6 7 5 8 LSS  5 8 1 2

R3 2:23ET 6.5f D Clm 25000n2l 3 UP:  4 1 8 6 2 7 LSS 8

R4 2:55ET 8.5f D MSW 3 UP  64000:  2 7 8 6 4 1  LSS 4 1

R5 3:27ET 8.5f D Alw 66000n1x 3 YO F: short field

R6 3:59ET 7f T Clm 35000n3l 3 UP FM :  (1 3) 12 11 8 9 2 5 (7)       LSS 12 11 9 2       MTO’s in ()

R7 4:32ET 8.5f D Alw 56000n1x 3 UP:  5 8 4 3 7    LSS 8 7

R8 5:04ET 10f t Alw 66000n1x 3 UP:  7 10 3 2 4 11               LSS 3 11 1

R9 5:36ET 11f D FlatOut80k 4 UP:  7 6 3 4 9 2       LSS 7 6 3

R10 6:08ET 8f T Md 40000 3 UP FM:  11 9 3 (15 16) 7 3 12               LSS 11 9 12

.

In the Flat Out Stakes race 9, it would be easy to pick Belmont Stakes winner Sir Winston and the 2nd choice Adventist, who’s coming off a win in the Bernardini Stakes just half a furlong shorter in Feb.  But the horse who was 2nd in that is also the only speed in a race devoid of speed.  Bluegrascat’s Smile is a great value at 15-1 and may have the lead to himself most of the way. 

.

Expert 10-1 has not been an EP runner recently but he does have the 2nd highest EP figure in the Grid, so that makes him dangerous, despite coming off a poor outing at a mile last out.  Moretti is the only other semblance of an early runner at 8-1 and has top EP in the field so he’s a good long shot also.  Obviously not all of these will fill out the super and at least one won’t fire, that’s how it goes.

.

After that I look for Sir Winston, Adventist, and Rocketry, 3 great late runners to compete for pieces of the superfecta.  One thing is for sure, if they dawdle around up front, they won’t be lollygagging 10 lengths back and one of these may in fact press the pace.  So it’s a good idea to box or mix and match these 6 that I mentioned for some good payouts.

.

You can get The Grid for every race day at Belmont Park and all other major North American tracks at this link.

No responses yet

Trackback URI | Comments RSS

Leave a Reply