Weekend Winners Club

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Saturday, August 29, 2020.  Saratoga has another Saturday saturated with graded stakes such as the Saranac, Sword Dancer, and AmSterdam, and Forego Stakes. I tried to put as many S’s in there as possible in case anyone is reading it out loud.

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The initial outlook is that the main track is muddy and the turf courses are yielding and will only be used for the Sword Dancer G1 and Saranac G3 stakes races.  Another T-storm is headed our way right now and will hit with more rain in the next hour, so the track is likely to stay muddy for a while.  The two stakes will remain on turf if at all possible but not definitely.

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With that in mind, let’s handicap the races with a grain of sand.  A muddy track even if sealed, still usually favors speed, but there is also the fact that some horses will track on it well while others won’t, and this sometimes varies track to track.  Get the Grid here to follow along.

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R1 1:10ET 6.5f D Clm 16000n2l 3 UP FM:  Chalky don’t bet. LSS 3.

R2 1:43ET 8.5f Off turf OClm 62500n2x 3 UP:  Short field don’t bet. Use 1-2 for Pick 4

R3 2:18ET 8f t Saranac-G3 3 YO:  Looks chalky again but 4 5 1 3 10

R4 2:51ET 6.5f D Clm 20000 3 UP FM:  Short field and chalk. Use 1-2 for Pick 4

R5 3:24ET 7f D OClm 40000n2x 3 UP FM:  Short field don’t bet.  Use 1-4 in Pick 4 if possible.

R6 3:57ET 6f D MSW 2 YO  7200:  All 1^st timers.  Pletcher, Asmussen, BrownX2, and Casse

R7 4:32ET 6f D Amstrdam-G2 3 YO :  Short but wide open; 3 2 and LSS 5,6

R8 5:07ET 7f D Forego-G1 4 UP:  6 4 2 10 8 11 3  LSS 8 3 (possibly 10,11 if odds increase)

R9 5:43ET 12f t SwrdDncr-G1 4 UP:  6 8 2 3 7        LSS 3 7

R10 6:16ET 6f D MSW 2 YO F 72000:  Maidens. Take your pick. 3 5 2 7 8.

R11 6:49ET 6.5f D Alw 64000n1x 3 UP FM:  Chalk plus LSS 1, 4, 8

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Before scoffing at the selections, we only offered 5 long shot specials in 3 races yesterday, for the Charles Town Stakes. In the Russell Road we said Arthur’s Hope and Wind of Change, who finished 3^rd and 2^nd, and Arthur’s Hope ended up the betting favorite at 2-1 somehow. The winner Bourbon Calling was our 5^th pick, unpublished at 6-1 ML didn’t qualify as an LSS, but own at 7-1.

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In the Charles Town Oaks, we said Fly on Angel at ML 12-1. She was bet down a bit but won at 9-1.  The next race was the CT Classic which we said Mo Don’t know at 15-1 and Sleepy Eyes Todd at 10-1.  Byh this time someone must have started using our picks because Todd was the co-favorite and won at less than 3-1. 

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With the favorite winning the last race, it ended up being a ridiculously easy late Pick 4 using the Grid, and yet quite profitable at $760 payout.

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Good luck today!

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To get the Grid for all major tracks and races, click here and choose your plan.

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