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Weekend Winners Club

May 05 2021

Cinco de Might-O’ Been: Kentucky Derby Recap and why you should have got the Grid

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Wednesday, May 5, 2021.  This Kentucky Derby Recap will be depressing to some of you who didn’t get the Kentucky Derby Grid or subscribe to the Grid in any way.  This is mostly because we ran out of time last week to publish the Derby for Dummies after doing the last Derby Dozen.

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Each of those two would have provided free and easy ammo to get some nice Kentucky Derby exotics.  For example, as usual, the top 5 finishers in the Kentucky Derby this year were all from the top 8 in the Derby Dozen.  The top 4 were all in the top 10 of Derby for Dummies.

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Completing the Derby for Dummies chart that we began last week, using only the info available beforehand, we came up with the result that it would have indeed been a helpful tool.  3 of the top 4 in Derby for Dummies were part of the 6 that got an A score, including the winner. 

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Yes, it might surprise you to find out that Medina Spirit was indeed in the top 6 in both the final Derby Dozen and the posthumously published Derby for Dummies.  But there is good reason for that as will now be explained.

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In the latter, what we basically did for the fourth year in a row, is take the most important 5 subsets of the 80 factors in the expansive but inexpensive Kentucky Derby Grid, add the Derby Dozen as a 6th category, and assign grades of A, B, and C, or no score, according to how good they are in that category.

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Then we simply add up the total scores, weighted 10, 7, and 4 for each A, B, and C, and give them a total score.  From that total score, we assign a final score of A or B. So it ends up looking like this.

2021 Kentucky Derby for Dummies

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This expanded version shows you the Derby points, the Derby Dozen rank, the last 4 PF’s, and the all important sire, trainer, and jockey information.  Some of these are in bold type or highlighted, giving you some insight as to how and why they were scored in certain categories.

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Of course, if you got the Kentucky Derby Grid OR are already a subscriber to the Weekend Winners Club, you would have seen all this information already, and there’s even more information that meets the eye.  Clicking on a cell with the red marker in the top reveals more complete information. 

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Just using the Grid, I got an easy $250 Exacta, $850 Trifecta, and $700 something Pick 4 including the 3 races leading up to the Kentucky Derby.  Not a bad payday, but I would very much have liked to get the $10k superfecta as well. 

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However, boxing your top 7 horses in a 50 cent trifecta, which is well justified for the Kentucky Derby, is a reasonable cost of $105.  Whereas boxing the top 7 in a $1 minimum superfecta costs $840.  In fact, the most you can box for less than $360 is 5 horses.  But altogether a good day of betting.

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Of course, it’s a great time to join the WWC, since one month access will get you all the Preakness and Belmont Stakes materials you need to succeed, including the Grid for every major track and race day.  Great racing begins at Belmont Park this Saturday with 5 graded stakes.

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Check out all your options here and get the plan that’s best for you.

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