Weekend Winners Club

Preakness Picks for Pricks.  Precap, Past Performances, Pace Predictions, Possibilities

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Saturday, May 15, 2021.  It’s the 3^rd Saturday in May and therefore it’s time once again for the Preakness Stakes.  We’ll take a look at some past performances, pace predictions, and possibilities in today’s biggest race.

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Obviously Medina Spirit is going to be the favorite, and rightly so, as Baffert has won this race 6 of 7 times with the Kentucky Derby champion, all with a similar front running type of win, and his one loss was a second place finish last year.  Bob also brings Concert Tour, a similar type of runner coming off a 3^rd place in the Arkansas Derby, as the second ML choice.

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There is only one other early runner in the race, Midnight Bourbon, who coincidentally is also the 3^rd ML choice at 5-1.  He was a solid 6^th in Kentucky after finishing in the money in two big-point preps for Asmussen. Between these 3 we’ve mentioned, they are the only ones that normally run up front.

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Rarely do 3 early speeders run top 3 or even top 4 in this race, so we definitely need a late runner.  Enter Crowded Trade, actually a midpack runner, who at 10-1 would be the 4^th ML favorite.  He probably would have won the Wood for Chad Brown if not for chasing a dawdling pace.  He has top LP and also the top PF in the Preakness Grid.

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Another good late runner is Risk Taking, who also faltered in the Wood trying to chase a non existent pace.  But prior to that he won two 9f races for Chad Brown and has good closing runs normally.

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Rombauer is another strong late runner who has an improving PF in each of his 6 races for Mike McCarthy, resulting in a 3^rd place finish in the Blue Grass stakes.

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The remaining 4 are certainly capable of rounding out the superfecta, but it’s a toss up and could go either way.  Much of the time there is an unexpected long shot who breaks into the top 4, so it’s a good idea to key and wheel.

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That’s it for today, pricks.  Good luck!

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