Weekend Winners Club

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Saturday, June 26, 2021.  Churchill Downs’ closing day will have some great graded stakes races including the Stephen Foster G2, Wise Dan G2, Fleur De Lis G2, Bashford Manor G2 and Debutante for 3yo’s, and another pair of stakes races for 3yo’s. 

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To add some excitement, the Pick 6 has a carryover of $166k with an obvious mandated payout, so that pool should easily surpass $1 million.  We’ll break down each race so first download today’s free grid to follow along. Early scratches processed and the tracks are fast and firm.

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R1.  The 3yo maidens are going at it and 10 Robo Man has the top PF first out, losing by only ½.  First timers 3 or 4 could make noise.

Predict:  10 1 9 8 4 3

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R2.  The MSW for 2yo’s is wide open.  Favored 1 Gunite has looked strong in his 2 outings, but we also have first time starters with strong trainer stats such as 10 14 and 5.  Wheel and deal here!  

Predict:  10 14 5 1 9.  LSS* 10 and 2

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R3.  Some good odds here according to the morning line.  Rocking the Boat looks best.

Predict:  11 12 2 5 6 7.  LSS 2 5 6

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R4.  This one looks wide open, so at 9f I’ll take top LP, 2 and 7

Predict:  2 1 7 9 5.  LSS 2 7

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R5.  Short field in the first stakes race may not be good for betting but I like 1 Point of Honor at 6-1 as much as the favorite or 2^nd choice.

Predict:  1 6 4 then whoever.  6 will likely be 7-2 or less at post time.

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R6.  1 looks the best by far and most consistent in his dirt races, and has top LP.  2^nd has 2 LP.   5 offering great ML odds of 12-1 for first route

Predict:  1 7 5 6 4.  LSS 7 5 8 9

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R7.  Word of advice, don’t bet on a 4 horse race.  Include 5 and 7 in your verticals.

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R8.  The Debutante for 3yo’s has a strong field but top heavy.  1 Wicked Halo had the best PF in her debut win.  8 wasn’t far behind in that category.

Predict:  1 8 3 7.  Long shots would have to take a big step up in class.

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R9.  The Bashford Manor G3 for 2yos is somewhat wide open.  In this type of race I like the top PF’s.  Lansdowne, Glacial, Red Run and Double Thunder will be virtual co favorites.  Tied for top PF is Tapped Off at 12-1.  Tied for the 2^nd best PF is Rising Outlaw at 30-1.

Predict:  2 3 4 9 10 8.  LSS 3 10 11

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R10.  The Wise Dan G2 has basically no speed on paper, but that could change as at least one of the dumb jockeys will recognize this and send their horse to the lead.  Regardless, with no insider info, I have to go with what’s available.  Nobody will keep up with Somelikeithotbrown, but Field Pass and Mutakatif at 50-1 will have the best chance of doing so.  Super LSS alert!

Predict:  3 8 1 7 2 9. LSS 2 9 10

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R11.  The Stephen Foster G2 does not have a lot of legitimate speed in it, but Maxfield is the legit favorite since the only race he’s lost his the Big Cap at Santa Anita.  The early speed in here gets a not because there isn’t much of it.

Predict:  8 6 4 9 1.   LSS 4 1

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R12.  The Tepin Stakes has a shitload of possibilities, so in that kind of race I like to go with the one that had the best PF last out, especially if it was her first race ever.   4 Town Avenger fits that bill, but we have others that also have a good chance.  Time to start wheeling and dealing again.

Predict:   4 8 10 5 7 1.  LSS  10 5 13 2

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That’s it for today.  If you don’t like my picks then make your own.  Good luck either way!

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Remember you can get the Grid for all your favorite tracks right here.

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