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Weekend Winners Club

Apr 08 2022

Down and Dirty Double Derby Dozen/ Futures Pool 5 / Big 3 Weekend / Keeneland Open

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Friday April 8, 2022.  Kentucky Derby Futures Pool 5 opened yesterday and will run through Saturday, rather than Fri-Sun as usual.  This constitutes a good time for the next Doug’s Double Derby Dozen +1 Top 25 to help you make your futures bets.  If you like any of tomorrow’s runners you may want to bet them today.  We are providing the Pool 5 Grid and the Top 25 on this page.

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Keeneland opened today with the Ashland and Transylvania stakes, and on Saturday  will host the Toyota Blue Grass G1, in which 4 from Pool 5 and 6 from today’s Top 25 list, with one in the top 10

Aqueduct on Saturday will run the Wood Memorial G2 with 3 of the racers both in Pool 5 and one in the top 10.

Santa Anita’s Saturday card includes the Santa Anita Derby which is still a Grade 1 despite only 6 runners.  But they include the top two in our DDD list and another in the top 10.

These are the last 3 big races in the Kentucky Derby Championship series, each of which is worth 100 points to the winner. The only remaining race will be the Lexington Stakes next weekend, but it’s only worth 20.

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For today’s list we’ll give you a snapshot so you can see some color codes.  Note than in bold are trainers that have won Triple Crown races.  We include Tim Yakteen because he’s running Baffert trainees.

Green:  Santa Anita Derby runners

Blue:  Blue Grass racers

Red:  Wood Memorial competitors

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April 8 2022 Derby Double Dozen and One
April 8 2022 Derby Double Dozen and One

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The figures to the right are the best Brisnet, Beyer, and Equibase speed figures (all public information posted on their sites) and the average of such.

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I would love to go into explanation into all of the thought processes that went into this ranking but that would take two hours to write and at least half an hour to read. So you get the concise chart.

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Here is the sortable table of the Double Dozen and one:

Down and Dirty Derby Double Dozen and 1 as of April 8 2022

DDHorseFP5STSireTrainer
1Messier8EP7Empire MakerYakteen(Baffert)
2Forbidden Kingdom8E8American PharoahMandella Richard E
3White Abarrio8EP6Race DayJoseph Saffie A Jr
4Epicenter5EP8Not This TimeAsmussen Steven M
5Charge It12EP6TapitPletcher Todd A
6Morello20EP7Classic EmpireAsmussen Steven M
7Smile Happy6P3RunhappyMcpeek Kenneth G
8Cyberknife12EP4Gun RunnerCox Brad H
9Tiz The Bomb12P2Hit It A BombMcpeek Kenneth G
10Taiba50EP8Gun RunnerYakteen(Baffert)
11Barber Road30S1Race DayOrtiz John Alexander
12Simplification15EP4Not This TimeSano Antonio
13Slow Down Andy50EP5NyquistO'neill Doug
14Rattle N Roll30P3ConnectMcpeek Kenneth G
15Zandon20P5UpstartBrown Chad C
16Classic Causeway12EP6Giant's CausewayLynch Brian A
17Call Me Midnight30S0Midnight LuteDesormeaux Keith
18Un Ojo12P4LaobanCourville Ricky
19Mo Donegal20P3Uncle MoPletcher Todd A
20In Due Time50EP6Not This TimeBreen Kelly J
21Ethereal Road50S2Quality RoadLukas D Wayne
22Emmanuel20E6More Than ReadyPletcher Todd A
23Early Voting20EP6Gun RunnerBrown Chad C
24Zozos30EP7MunningsCox Brad H
25Commandperformance12EP5Union RagsPletcher Todd A

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Note that in this top 25 list we omitted two of the top 3yo’s:  Corniche and Newgrange, both of which have accrued any Kentucky Derby points because they were trained by Bob Baffert.  It will simply be just about impossible for either to qualify for the Kentucky Derby because they’re not running in one of the big 3 races listed above, this weekend.   

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Now for one of today’s free Grids (we also provided one for Keeneland).  The Futures Pool 5 Grid will give you some insight as to how the horses stack up numerically against each other.

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After this weekend’s big 3 races, things could change to some degree.  It’s possible that a horse like Barese for example, could take another step up in class and take the Wood.  Rattle N Roll returns to the track where he had his best career race, a win in the Breeders Futurity G1.  

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It shall be interesting, and we’ll see what happens along the way on this exciting Saturday of racing.  The next Derby Double Dozen will be issued the week after the Lexington Stakes to include all of the Championship Series races.  

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Good luck in your futures betting and stay tuned for tomorrow’s free Grid!

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You can get the Grid for all your favorite tracks and races here, so check it out.

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