Weekend Winners Club

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May 7, 2022 Churchill Downs.  This is the Day of the Kentucky Derby, in case you’ve ben living in a cave or something.  Not that there’s anything wrong with that, as long as you get a phone and data signal somewhere near the cave.  Make sure you also check out Derby for Dummies and all of the Derby Lessons.

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Racing is about to begin at 10:30am as I’m writing this, so I’ll make it short and sweet.  My mind was made up a few days ago about the top 12 ranking, but I left myself some leeway in case of last minute roster changes.  Which, in this case, only Ethereal Road scratched and that has no impact.

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Note that in all of the prior year versions of the final dozen before the Run for the Roses, 3 of the top 4 came from the top 7 ranked horses and all 4 of them were in the top 12.  This year will be no different.  This graphic shows the rankings, the last 4 PFs and some other info that went into consideration.

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Are they ranked in order of points? Obviously not. In order of ML odds? Doesn’t look like it.  In order of PF’s? To some extent but not completely. After all, Tiz the Bomb has one of the best PF’s, but he’s proven to be very slow on dirt so I threw him out.

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That’s it for now, take that chart to the bank with you after nailing some good exotics.  Remember to also use the Derby for Dummies guide for the final Dummy rankings which are very similar.

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You can get the Grid for all the races at Churchill today, as well all your other favorite tracks and races if desired, right here.

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