Weekend Winners Club

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Saturday, May 21, 2022. The Grid was on fire on Friday and saw 3 top LP winners in double digit odds, as well as a top EP 7-1 winner in the turf sprint.  Today through 6 races we have only had 2 fields of more than 7,  so chalk has been plaguing the day.

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Race 9 the Lang has a field of only 8 after morning scratches, and it’s only 6f but there’s plenty of speed so I’m going with the only 2 stalkers at 6-1 and 15-1, and will mix them up with the chalk which will have plenty to say as usual.

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Race 10 the Murphy is also reduced to a field of 8 unfortunately, but there’s a lot of speed in it, so I’ll box the top 4 LP’s and hope for some Epic Luck to return to 2yo form.  But, the Cox and Trombetta chalk will figure in and be tough to beat, and they are 2 of the 4 top LP’s so automatic box.

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Race 10 the Sir Barton, once again the field of 10 is reduced to 8 after scratches, but still plenty of speed up front, and therefore, you guessed it, let’s box top LP again.  But, again the top 2 are also the top 2 ML favorites.  But, the 4-rules is Tesio runner-up Mr Jefferson who I hope will hold at 5-1 or more.

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Race 12 if we’re lucky enough here, the field of 9 will hold up.  For a 5f turf sprint, this one is almost devoid of speed, so bet on speed.  In Friday’s 5f turf sprint, top EP won at 7-1, down from 12-1 ML because of people using the free Grid snapshot we posted. 

Luckily for us, we have the Grid again, and the top 2 in EP are 6-1 and 20-1ML, both switching from dirt to turf, an angle I also like. Also the 7 Grateful Bred is the 4-rules horse so that’s a good bonus.

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Alas, Race 13 the Preakness has a bit of speed in it but only one true frontrunner, the E8 and 4-rules Early Voting who is likely to steal it on the front end.  Epicenter is a classic early stalker and has proven he doesn’t care what the pace is up front. 

If we’re to believe the PF’s from the Wood, then Skippylongstocking also has a good shot in this.  We also have to consider Creative Minister at 10-1 with the best PF of any non-Wood contestant, given for running a faster mile and 8.5f than anyone in the Ky Derby, on the same day at the same track. Plus he’s 1 of 3 late runners including the D Wayne Master of Preakness Longshots Lukas trained filly.

Simplification at anything 5-1 or more would be a nice bonus.  He finished 4^th in the Ky Derby, not 14^th.  He should be the second ML choice in this race but I don’t make the ML odds. If I did then we wouldn’t have any good long shots to bet on.

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So there you have it, all the afternoon stakes races in a nutshell.  Yes, there will be a lot of chalk, but there are also some good long shots that we pointed out to throw into the mix. Good luck!

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