Weekend Winners Club

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Saturday, June 18, 2022.  Monmouth Park has its biggest day of the meet so far, with 4 stakes races, 3 graded, and an MSW on the 14 race card. In addition, they are continuing with the fixed odds wagering program, a staple in European and Australian markets, many of whom only carry Monmouth.

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For those Americans who don’t know fixed odds wagering, it does mean the odds don’t change from the morning line.  What it means is, the odds on the horse when you bet it is what you are stuck with.  So monitoring the odds live on the screen is a good thing.

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For example, if you bet a horse at 8-1 and it goes down to 4-1, then you get twice the payout if you locked in at 8 rather than waiting for post time.  This only applies to WPS betting, because the pools for exotics have to be calculated as a group. 

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The featured races on the day are the following MSW and stakes races:

R6 2:30ET 5f D MSW 2 YO  57500

R11 4:47ET 8.5f T Eatntwn-G3 3 UP FM

R12 5:19ET 8.5f D PegasusL150k 3 YO 

R13 5:47ET 9f T Monmouth-G3 3 UP 

R14 6:15ET 8f D SalvtrMl-G3 3 UP 

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Thus there will be a nice all stakes late pick 4 to mull over.  Racing begins at 12:15pm ET for the 14 race card.  Weather in Eatontown is moderate, cloudy, and windy, with 0% chance of rain.  Tracks are fast and firm.  We’ll break down some of the races but first download today’s free Grid to follow along

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Notice that I only recommend horses at 5-1 or better for WPS betting.  Bet favorites at your own risk, but my it’s usually just stupidity to not include some of them in exotics.

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R4 1:36ET 8.5f T Md 16000 3 UP FM

This has a solid field of 10 which will open up some options.  The best plays here:

2 Time Goes Fast 5-1 or better would be great for top LP

3 Exculpate at 8-1 ML

11 Magic Surprise at 6-1 with top PF in last 4

5 Tracker Jacker at 15-1 ML has to be considered with top EP

7 Franzia at 10-1

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R5 2:03ET 6f D OClm 30000n2x 3 UP FM

Try to get 1 Caliente Rum at 5-1 or better as 4 rules horse.  6-1 ML is great.

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R6 2:30ET 5f D MSW 2 YO  57500

It will be hard to attempt betting this one, with Todd Pletcher’s 2 unraced entries as the virtual co-favorites that will probably win.  Of the others, none looks great, but it would be nice to lock in 15-1 on 8 Completed Storm.  It’s true that his PF’s are in line with the other 2 in their poor July 4 debut, however, he stumbled badly at the start and also checked up.  Trainer stats are good for 2^nd time.

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R9 3:51ET 8.5f T OClm 15000 3 UP 

A good long field of 12 has good possibilities.

4 Sand Dune 8-1

6 Ohana Empire 8-1

8 Magical Jaime at 5-1

10 Wolfe n Hawke 8-1

11 Hit Me I’m Lucky 10-1

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R10 4:18ET 5.5f D Clm 12500b 3 UP FM

2 Expect to be Ready 8-1

5 Its Bitzy Betty try to get 5-1 or better but 9-2 isn’t bad

7 Nonna Patrizia 8-1

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R11 4:47ET 8.5f T Eatntwn-G3 3 UP FM

4 Alms at 6-1

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R12 5:19ET 8.5f D PegasusL150k 3 YO 

1 Cyberviking at 8-1

3 Mr Jefferson 6-1

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R13 5:47ET 9f T Monmouth-G3 3 UP 

4 TD Dance 6-1

5 Ever Dangerous 6-1

7 Safe Conduct 15-1

10 Oceans Map 20-1

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R14 6:15ET 8f D SalvtrMl-G3 3 UP 

Might as well single Hot Rod Charlie for the last leg of the verticals.

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Good luck!

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As usual, you can get the Grid for all your favorite tracks and races right here!

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