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Weekend Winners Club

Mar 11 2023

Sat.Mar.11: Tampa Bay Derby and Florida Oaks Precap

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Saturday, March 11, 2023. Tampa Bay Downs hosts a big card today with the Tampa Bay Derby G3, Florida Oaks G3, Hillsborough G2, Challenger G3, Columbia Stakes, and some other assorted MSW’s for 3yo’s.  the Challenger and Hillsborough are for older horses but we’ll focus on the 3yo’s today.

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First, download today’s free Grid for Tampa Bay Downs to follow along, and make your own picks.  Tampa weather is warm and sunny and the first post is at 11:55AM today.

R2 12:25ET 8.18f D MSW 3 YO  37000

The first 3yo race goes off at 12:25PM obviously, and looks to be a close call between two Pletcher trainees and a Shugh horse which is the favorite, called Perform at 9-5.  Kelsey Danner also has an interesting first timer by Street Sense.

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R3 12:57ET 6f D MSW 3 YO  37000

The next 3yo race stars 10 talented colts and geldings on dirt for 6f, and it’s wide open.  For the price, I would lean towards Rainbow’s Pride and King Miano.

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R6 2:27ET 6f D MSW 3 YO F 37000

This field involves 14 fillies on schedule, 2 of which are alternates.  It’s wide open so I like the 1st time starters on the front end wheel.

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R7 3:02ET 8f T ColumbiaB75k 3 YO 

This one has 3yo’s on turf, all of which have raced at least 3 times already. Todd and Shug look to have the upper hand in this one, but Terranova has the favorite, and Maker’s steed is solid.  Super long shot available? Of course.  Smoke Lightening at 30-1.  Lights of Broadway has good value at 6-1 too.

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R10 4:45ET 8.5f T FlaOaks-G3 3 YO F

Dreaming of Snow at 8-1.  Always bet on any horse with the top dirt PF going onto turf.

Ticker Tape Home was doing great until she transferred to dirt.  Back on turf looks great at 15-1.

Shug will again rear his head with Allamericanbeauty at 8-1.

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R11 5:15ET 8.5f D TamDby-G3 3 YO 

Let’s face it, Todd basically owns this race.  I will actually be shocked if Tapit Trice at 8-5 doesn’t win this race.  But it takes 4 to make up a superfecta.  The exacta could well involve Todd’s other steed Shesterkin at 9-2.  Best long shots to figure in:

Prairie Hawk 20-1 SLS

Classic Legacy 6-1

Classic Car Wash 8-1

Groveland 6-1

Freedom Road 15-1

Dreaming of Kona 30-1 super long shot special alert.

Zydeceaux 20-1

There are obviously some good super long shots in this race.  I think Todd goes 1-2 or 1-3 but like I said, it takes 4 to make a super.

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You can get the Grid for all your favorite tracks and races here.

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