Weekend Winners Club

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May 3, 2022.  Performance figures can be used to handicap any race, including the Kentucky Derby, so why not use them this weekend?  No good reason I can think of. Of course, there are many other methods, criteria and qualifications to win The Derby.  Which is why you should get the Derby Grid.

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Get the Full Kentucky Derby Grid here with over 80 historical and critical performance criteria.

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But PF’s are by far the most popular way to cap any race. What if you were to get the average of 4 of the leading speed figures (including the PF’s from the Grid) for each of the past 4 races for each contender?  That would be nice.  Then maybe you could also average those after dropping the lowest of the past 4.

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Well in fact, that’s just what’s done for you here below.  You’re welcome.

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See any major overlays there? I see one glaring one whose name starts with a T and won the Santa Anita Derby. I see another one whose name starts with an M who has very similar criteria coming out of Santa Anita.  Could those two sweep the Derby exacta also?

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The prevailing PF’s all seem to agree that those two have the best pair of PF’s in the last 2 races. They also seem to agree that the Wood performance by Mo Donegal was very solid.  Others with triple digit average PF’s like Epicenter and Zozos appear to be legit.

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Wait, what are all these colors and what does bold mean?  There’s a free Grid learning page here just for those type of questions. http://www.horseracebetwin.com/picks/learning/  Remember, there’s no such thing as a stupid question, just stupid people who ask questions.

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In short for this exercise, Bold means within ½ furlong of the Derby distance, which is 10f, or 1 ¼ mile for those of you who don’t speak horse racing. Blue means artificial / polytrack surface.  For example, I have a hard time making a case for Tiz the Bomb until I see him post that triple digit on dirt.

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And by the way, what’s wrong with a Asmussen/Baffert/Pletcher exacta and trifecta box anyway?  Sounds good to me. Oh, you say Baffert doesn’t have any trainees in the race.  You just proved how ignorant you are.  Don’t tell anyone you said that.

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Stay tuned for all of the free Derby Lesson series this week right here, they even have their own menu entry.

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Get the Grid for all your favorite tracks and races every week right here.

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