Powered by Jasper Roberts - Blog

Weekend Winners Club

Nov 07 2020

Breeders’ Cup Spotlight Saturday: The BC Classic G1 Precap

Published by under Breeders Cup,Free Picks,Graded Stakes,Grids,Keeneland,Long Shot Specials,Precap

.

Saturday, November 7, 2020.  The Breeders’ Cup continues to amaze on Saturday, with 4 new track records set today, a repeat BC Distaff winner, and the Classic yet to come.  The last race of the day, it will be held at about 5:18PM and includes 10 awesome horses running 10 furlongs for $6 million.

.

Previously in this week’s spotlight series, we covered the BC Juvenile Fillies, the BC Juvenile, and the BC Distaff, all with much success.  The Distaff was won by everyone’s top pick Monomoy Girl, followed by our 3rd pick and top long shot special Valiance at 14-1.

.

On Friday, the Juvenile Filly winner was our top LSS Vequist, followed by obvious choices for 2nd thru 4th.  The very competitive 14 horse field in the BC Juvenile produced some fireworks.  Our 4th and 1st picks finished 1st and 4th, but in between was a 94-1 runner up, the 2nd longest shot of the entire day.  .

.

Today:  R12 5:18ET 10f D BCClasic-G1 3 UP 

2 Tiz The Law 3-1 is the top pick.  The top 3yo this year is equipped with 5 G1 victories coming in, including a Belmont and Travers win.  And, a Kentucky Derby runner up finish where he was very wide throughout which cost him the 1 length win.  Fortunately, they didn’t feel obligated to run him in the Preakness and he comes in fresh.  He will repeat his Travers 2 back and win handily.

Authentic and Tiz The Law are set for a Ky Derby rematch in the Breeders' Cup Classic 2020.
Authentic and Tiz The Law are set for a Ky Derby rematch in the Breeders’ Cup Classic 2020.

.

4 Tom’s D’etat 6-1.  It’s a 10f race, so why not go with top LP for the 2nd pick?  His oscillatory pattern looks good, and if he runs like he did two back in the Foster, he’ll close like a champ and be a major factor here.  Check out the Grid snapshot to see what we’re talking about.

Breeders’ Cup Classic Grid Snapshot.

.

8 Improbable 5-2 has won 3 Grade 1 races in a row, even if there were only 16 total horses in those 3, they were still wins.  The Baffert trainee looks strong going in.

.

9 Authentic 6-1.  Another Baffert trainee is also looking strong, following up his Kentucky Derby win with a narrow loss in the Preakness.  There’s not a terrible amount of speed in this race, so he could hold up for purse money again.  

.

10 Maximum Security 7-2.  The third Baffert horse has to also be considered a factor.  You know him best as last year’s Kentucky Derby champion who was DQ’d because a jockey behind him caused trouble.  He’s as good as ever but lost to Improbable last out.

.

1 Tacitus 20-1.  Best known as last year’s 2nd best 3yo, he continues to hit the board every time in Grade 1 after Grade 2 race.  He could definitely hit again here with his good tactical speed.

.

The call is 2 4 8 9 10 1 as Tacitus is the only true LSS but Tom’s D’etat could go off at double digits so would be the primary LSS play.  It would be wise to wheel all at the bottom of the super here.

.

That’s it for today, and for this year’s Breeders’ Cup!

.

You can get the Grid for all the major tracks and races here as usual.

Nov 06 2020

Breeders’ Cup Spotlight Friday: BC Juvenile G1 Precap

Published by under Breeders Cup,Derby Contenders,Derby Prep Series,Free Picks,Futurities,Graded Stakes,Grids,Keeneland,Kentucky Derby,Ky Derby trail,Long Shot Specials,Precap,Road to the Roses,Triple Crown Trail,Two Year Olds

.

Friday, November 6, 2020.  Lexington, KY.  Today’s spotlight race is the Friday feature Breeders’ Cup race, the Grade 1 BC Juvenile.  14 strong young 2yo colts will begin paving their way to a 2021 Triple Crown campaign, racing 8.5f in Keeneland’s last race tody.

.

Listed below are the primary contenders in order of predicted finish, for you wagering convenience.  Remember that the Juvenile-Classic BC Double begins with this race and ends with the BC Classic on Saturday, which is the race we will analyze tomorrow.

.

7 Jackie’s Warrior 7-5.   On paper it looks like a 1 horse race even with 14 entries.  Steve Asmussen has trained this undefeated colt to 4 wins, including 2 G1’s and a G2 in NY. Oh and he broke maiden first out, right down the way at Churchill.  Current Kentucky Derby favorite as well.

Jackie’s Warrior won 2 G1’s at Saratoga in 2020.

.

3 Reinvestment Risk 9-2.  Finished 2nd to JW in the last 2 races for Chad Brown, so he might just be the 2nd best 2yo.  Chad and Irad have both won races today already.  See the Grid snapshot to follow along.

.

8 Classier 12-1.  It doesn’t take a genius to figure out that you always bet a 2yo Baffert trainee, especially at double digit odds. He looked excellent pulling away from the field in his only race.  LSS alert!

.

5 Essential Quality 4-1.  Brad Cox has this Tapit colt primed after winning both outings, last out being the G1 Breeders’ Futurity right here at Keeneland.

.

5 Likeable 15-1.  Todd Pletcher knows a thing or two about training young colts. He lost by a neck first out, but removed all doubt with an 8 length maiden win last out.

.

11 Next 15-1.  He really found his stride in his first dirt race last out, winning an allowance by 11+ lengths. Wesley Ward has a win today already.

.

9 Sittin on Go 12-1 is undefeated in 2 for Dale Romans and finished with a strong late run for a win last out in the Iroquois G3 over at Churchill.

.

1 Camp Hope 30-1, 2 King Fury 15-1, and Dreamer’s Disease 30-1 also have shown the ability that they could find their way into this superfecta.  There are 14 great colts in this field so after the top spot it’s quite open.

.

7-3-5-8-4-11 is the way I see it.  Early speed has been holding up very well on the Keeneland dirt today so that bodes well for the favorite and my other picks.

.

To get the Grid for all the Breeders’ Cup Races and every other big race this weekend, check here.

Good luck!

.

Nov 04 2020

Breeders’ Cup 2020 Spotlight: BC Distaff G1 Precap

Published by under Breeders Cup,Free Picks,Graded Stakes,Grids,Keeneland,Long Shot Specials,Precap

.

Wednesday, November 4, 2020.  Lexington, Kentucky. Today’s Breeders’ Cup spotlight race is the Longines BC Distaff G1, to be held on a sunny Saturday afternoon at approximately 3:54PM ET at the beautiful Keeneland dirt race course. 

.

Saturday Nov.7 R10 3:54ET 9f D BCDistaf-G1 3 UP FM

The Distaff is shaping up to be an awesome and exciting race this year.  To most people, at first glance, it does look like a two horse race, and it just might come down to that. But there are 10 outstanding fillies and mares competing for the crown, and besides that, you need 4 in a superfecta.

.

The talented fillies are listed below in the predicted order of finish, with post numbers and morning lines attached, for your wagering convenience.  We give you 6 to cram into your superfecta. You’re welcome.  

.

10 Monomoy Girl 8-5.  An incredibly deserving favorite and unbeatable when the 5yo mare is at her best.  Her worst career race were two runner-up finishes, and in her past 10 all she’s done is win all 10, which includes 7 Grade 1 races and a couple G2’s andwiched around a year off with colic.  She’s top in Power and speed, and I like her oscillatory pattern coming in.  They were all wins of course, but her best runs were two and four back. 

Monomoy Girl won the 2018 BC Distaff at Churchill Downs
Monomoy Girl won the 2018 BC Distaff at Churchill Downs

.

5 Swiss Skydiver 2-1.  This brave young filly is the primary reason I’m afraid to just single Monomoy Girl.  Last out was her second race taking on the boys, and beating all 10 of them in the Preakness G1, making up for her runner up in the Oaks G1 before that. 2nd in Power, top in LP and Stamina.  The only problem I have is her oscillatory pattern, with the best races coming 1 and 3 back. See the Distaff Grid to see what I’m talking about.

2020 BC Distaff Grid Snapshot
2020 BC Distaff Grid Snapshot

.

8 Valiance 12-1.  Long Shot Special alert!  She may not win, but double digit odds are nice for exotic wagers.  The lightly raced 4yo came out of relative turf obscurity two races back to win the Eatontown which was taken off turf and run on the slop, then followed that up with a Spinster G1 win over Ollie’s Candy and Lady Kate of this field.  That was enough to convince Todd to enter her in this one, and let’s face it: Pletcher at 12-1 is an automatic bet.

.

9 Ollie’s Candy 10-1.  This 5yo mare has more experience than Valiance, but was passed and beaten fair in the Spinster.  In her past 8 races, including 7 G1’s, she’s finished on the board every time, with only one finish worse than 3rd.  2nd in Speed, 3rd in Power ranking, just doesn’t seem to have enough to outfinish the top 2 if they’re on their game, but could definitely take 3rd.  Another LSS alert.

.

2 Harvest Moon 12-1.  The lightest raced filly in the field, we haven’t seen big numbers from her yet, unless you look at the win column, where she’s won all 4 since moving to dirt, and that includes a G3 and G2.   What you also see is the PF’s improving each time, and that applies to 3 sets of speed figures I’m looking at.  She’ll need to do a bit more to win here, but may have the ability to do just that.  Another great LSS that could hit the board.

.

6 Point of Honor 30-1.   Finding fault in this 4yo filly is difficult.  In her past 10, only one finish worse than 3rd, and that includes 5 G1’s and 2 G2’s.  Besides that, 2nd best LP and 3rd in Stamina.  She consistently runs well late, which is why she hits the board every time, which she may well do here.  There’s not an enormous amount of speed in this race but there’s enough quality speed to set up for a solid closer. At 30-1 this is a great super LSS to use at the bottom of the tri and super. 

Of the others, I just don’t see them hitting the board.  Horologist is capable but I don’t like her current oscillatory pattern, or the fact that she’s bombed in every G1.  Ce Ce also has the ability to get purse money, but I think this is bit out of her wheelhouse distance for this high class field.

.

So I’m seeing it as 10-2-8-9-2-7 and hoping Horologist and Ce Ce take a lot of action.  This analysis gives you plenty of ammo for the exotic wagers on this one.

.

Yesterday’s spotlight was the BC Juvenile Fillies, so use that to help complete your Juvenile Fillies-Distaff Double which begins on Friday.  Stay tuned to the Breeders’ Cup link on the top or side of your window for the remaining great free analysis to come this week!

You can get the Grid for all the Breeders’ Cup races this weekend, along with all the other great racing around the country, right here.

.

Remember that no on-site spectators are allowed, so don’t get in your car and drive to Lexington, but you can watch and bet on all the races with TVG, among other gaming apparati. 

.

Get a $25 free bet plus DOUBLE your first deposit when you sign up with TVG!

.

Nov 03 2020

Breeders’ Cup 2020 Spotlight Series: BC Juvenile Fillies G1 Precap

Published by under Breeders Cup,Free Picks,Graded Stakes,Grids,Keeneland,Kentucky Oaks,Long Shot Specials,Precap,Two Year Olds

.

Tuesday, November 3, 2020.  In case you forgot, with all the other news going on especially in the USA, the biggest North American horse racing weekend is coming up at the end of this week!  The Breeders’ Cup begins on Friday and concludes on Saturday with 22 great stakes races.

.

Keeneland hosts this year’s Breeders’ Cup, with 10 races on Friday, 5 of which are Juvenile BC races, and 12 races on Saturday including the 9 G1 BC races for older horses.  Two multi-day BC Doubles are being promoted:  the Juvenile Fillies- Distaff Double, and the Juvenile- Classic Double. 

.

In the spotlight series, we’ll preview and handicap one of those races each day so that we can get through all 4 of them by Friday afternoon in time for you to make some good weekend doubles and some good winning bets in general.  Today’s spotlight race is the BC Juvenile Fillies G1.

.

SIMPLY RAVISHING will take post 1 again in the BC Juvenile Fillies G1, after winning her last race at Keeneland, the Darley Alcibiades G1. Coady Photo.

.

Weather outlook:  Moderate temps reaching perhaps 70 with plentiful sunshine.

.

Friday R8 3:50ET 8.5f D BCJuvFil-G1 2 YO F

7 outstanding fillies will compete for the 2yo female juvy title this year at 8.5f, 6 of which are graded stakes winners and 4 G1 winners.  In reality, it’s hard to not consider 5 of them as a potential winner, but let’s try to narrow it down a bit more if possible.  First let’s take a look at the Grid for this race.

.

BC Juvenile Fillies G1 Grid snapshot.

.

Simply Ravishing at 5-2 looks like she will be a virtual co favorite, and is undefeated in 3.  She won the PG Johnson by 6, giving her the high PF in the field, following that up with a 6 length win over Crazy Beautiful in the Darley Alcibiades G1.  Top in LP, Stamina, and Power bodes well in this race.

Princess Noor 9-5 is the ML favorite. On paper it may look like she regressed last out, but it was an 8 length G2 win against 4 others that couldn’t keep up. She won her others including the G1 Del Mar Debutante giving her that 93 PF.  This is her first trip out east and hasn’t run against anyone in this field, but hasn’t done anything wrong.

.

Dayoutoftheoffice at 5-2 will likely also be a virtual co favorite in this race.  Also a winner of all 3, she had a 6 length score in the Schuylerville G3, following that up with the Frizette G1 for which she got the 2nd best PF in the field beating Vequist by 2 lengths.  Top EP and Speed rating, she’s tough to catch, as evidenced by no losses yet.  

.

Girl Daddy at 6-1 is also undefeated in both her races, including the Pocohontas G3 last out where she beat Crazy Beautiful by 2.  She doesn’t look the best on paper but has every right to improve her 3rd time out and give the G1 winners a run for the money.  After all, most of them improved in their 3rd out. If there’s a long shot special it’s this girl.

.

Vequist at 8-1 is also a G1 winner, impressively taking the Spinaway by 9 lengths her 2nd time out after losing maiden by a nose.  Last out she could not catch Dayoutoftheoffice in the Frizette G1, instead chasing her around the track 2 lengths back.  She could turn the tables here but it’s also stiffer competition. Secondary LSS.

.

Those are the five main contenders in the order in which I see them finishing, 1 7 3 5 2.  The other two haven’t shown the ability to take on the G1 winners in this class, and will have to step up in class to do so.  But these are very young fillies and that can happen, so it will be an exciting race either way.

.

You can get the Grid for all races at Keeneland both days in one package right here.

.

Stay tuned to the Breeders’ Cup link at the top or side of this page for the other Precaps and analysis.

Good luck!

Nov 02 2020

Breeders’ Cup 2020 Week Schedule

Published by under Breeders Cup,Keeneland,Racing News,Racing schedule

Monday, Nov. 2, 2020

7-10 a.m. ET – Breakfast at the Breeders’ Cup (Streaming on Breeders’ Cup social media channels). Show will also air on TVG.

Get the Grid for all Keeneland races this weekend here.

4:30 p.m. ET – Rood and Riddle Breeders’ Cup Post-Position Draw (Streaming on Breeders’ Cup social media channels). Show will also air on TVG.

Tuesday, Nov. 3

7-10 a.m. ET – Breakfast at the Breeders’ Cup (Streaming on Breeders’ Cup social media channels). Show will also air on TVG.

12-1 p.m. ET – ABR Breeders’ Cup Preview Lunchtime Show (Streaming on ABR social media channels)

Wednesday, Nov. 4

7-10 a.m. ET – Breakfast at the Breeders’ Cup (Streaming on Breeders’ Cup social media channels). Show will also air on TVG.

12-1 p.m. ET – ABR Breeders’ Cup Preview Lunchtime Show (Streaming on ABR social media channels)

5-6:30 p.m. ET – Horseplayers Happy Hour (Streaming on Breeders’ Cup social media channels)

7:30-9 p.m. ET – Cocktails & Conversations (Streaming on Breeders’ Cup and ABR social media channels)

9-10 p.m. ET – Betting After Dark Breeders’ Cup Edition (Streaming on ABR social media channels)

Thursday, Nov. 5

7-10 a.m. ET – Breakfast at the Breeders’ Cup (Streaming on Breeders’ Cup social media channels). Show will also air on TVG.

12-1 p.m. ET – ABR Breeders’ Cup Preview Lunchtime Show (Streaming on ABR social media channels)

8-10 p.m. ET – #BCLive en Espanol Breeders’ Cup Preview (Streaming on Breeders’ Cup and ABR social media channels)

Friday, Nov. 6 – Breeders’ Cup Racing Day 1

9-10 a.m. ET – ABR Breeders’ Cup Friday Preview Show (Streaming on Breeders’ Cup and ABR social media channels)

7-8 p.m. ET – La Trifecta with Claudia Spadaro, Darwin Vizcaya and Annise Montplaisir  (Streaming on ABR social media channels)

Saturday, Nov. 7 – Breeders’ Cup Racing Day 2

9-10 a.m. ET – ABR Breeders’ Cup Saturday Preview Show (Streaming on Breeders’ Cup and ABR social media channels)

Information about full TV coverage of the Breeders’ Cup World Championships can be found here.

.

Who will win the Breeders' Cup Classic?

  • Maximum Security (22%)
  • Tiz The Law (22%)
  • Tom's D'etat (22%)
  • Authentic (11%)
  • Improbable (11%)
  • Tacitus (11%)
  • By My Standards (0%)
  • Global Campaign (0%)
  • Higher Power (0%)
  • Title Ready (0%)
Loading ... Loading ...

Nov 02 2020

November 2020 Thoroughbred Stakes Schedule for North America, Ascot, Japan

Published by under Black type stakes,Breeders Cup,Graded Stakes,Keeneland,Listed Stakes,Racing News,Racing schedule

.

November 2020. The latest stakes racing schedule for thoroughbreds in North America, Japan, and Ascot is in the sortable table below. The highlight of course is the first full weekend of the month at Keeneland with the Breeders’ Cup.

.

Breeders’ Cup 2020 is held at Keeneland KY

.

November 2020 Stakes Schedule: North America, Japan, Ascot

RaceTrackDatePurseAge/SexDistSurfFee/Close
Chelsey Flower SBel01-Nov$80k g2yo f8.5fTurfClosed on Oct 17.
Pumpkin Pie SBel01-Nov$80k g3&up f/m7fDirtClosed on Oct 17.
Don Getty HCTM01-Nov$40k g3&up9fDirtClosed on Oct 22.
Let It Ride SDmr01-Nov$75k a3yo8fTurfClosed on Oct 22.
El Dorado Shooter SGG01-Nov$75k g3&up S6fAWClosed on Oct 23.
Tenno Sho Autumn (G1T)JRA01-Nov$3,010k a3&up10fTurfClosed on Sep 15.
Pennsylvania Hunt CupUni01-Nov$25k g5&up32fTurfClosed on Oct 21.
Coronation FuturityWO01-Nov$250k g2yo R9fAWClosed on Oct 14.
Atlantic Beach SAqu06-Nov$80k g2yo6fTurfClosed on Oct 24.
Tempted SAqu06-Nov$100k g2yo f8fDirtClosed on Oct 24.
Golden State Juvenile Fillies SDmr06-Nov$150k g2yo f S7fDirtClosed on Oct 29.
Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies (G1)Kee06-Nov$2,000k g2yo f8.5fDirtClosed on Oct 26.
Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf (G1T)Kee06-Nov$1,000k g2yo f8fTurfClosed on Oct 26.
Breeders' Cup Juvenile Presented by Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance (TVG) (G1)Kee06-Nov$2,000k g2yo c/g8.5fDirtClosed on Oct 26.
Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf (Presented by Coolmore America) (G1T)Kee06-Nov$1,000k g2yo c/g8fTurfClosed on Oct 26.
Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint (G2T)Kee06-Nov$1,000k g2yo5.5fTurfClosed on Oct 26.
Bryan Station SKee06-Nov$150k g3yo9fTurfClosed on Oct 21.
McConnell SpringsKee06-Nov$150k g3&up f/m6fDirtClosed on Oct 21.
NyquistKee06-Nov$125k g2yo6.5fDirtClosed on Oct 21.
SongbirdKee06-Nov$125k g2yo f6.5fDirtClosed on Oct 21.
Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance S (G2)Kee06-Nov$200k g3&up13fDirtClosed on Oct 21.
Shamrock Rose SPen06-Nov$80k g2yo f S6fDirtClosed on Oct 23.
Stewart Manor SAqu07-Nov$80k g2yo f6fTurfClosed on Oct 24.
Turnback the Alarm H (G3)Aqu07-Nov$100k g3&up f/m9fDirtClosed on Oct 24.
A Huevo SCT07-Nov$50k a3&up S9fDirtClosed on Oct 28.
Golden State JuvenileDmr07-Nov$150k g2yo S7fDirtClosed on Oct 29.
Joseph T. GraceGG07-Nov$50k a3&up8.5fTurfClosed on Oct 29.
Cellars Shiraz SGPW07-Nov$60k g3yo f8fTurfClosed on Oct 30.
Showing Up SGPW07-Nov$60k g3yo8fTurfClosed on Oct 30.
Fantasy S (G3T)JRA07-Nov$585k a2yo f7fTurfClosed on Sep 29.
Keio Hai Nisai S (G2T)JRA07-Nov$759k a2yo7fTurfClosed on Sep 29.
Breeders' Cup Classic (Longines) (G1)Kee07-Nov$6,000k g3&up10fDirtClosed on Oct 26.
Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile (Big Ass Fans) (G1)Kee07-Nov$1,000k g3&up8fDirtClosed on Oct 26.
Breeders' Cup Distaff (Longines) (G1)Kee07-Nov$2,000k g3&up f/m9fDirtClosed on Oct 26.
Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint (G1)Kee07-Nov$1,000k g3&up f/m7fDirtClosed on Oct 26.
Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Turf (Maker's Mark) (G1T)Kee07-Nov$2,000k g3&up f/m9.5fTurfClosed on Oct 26.
Breeders' Cup Mile Presented by PDJF (FanDuel) (G1T)Kee07-Nov$2,000k g3&up8fTurfClosed on Oct 26.
Breeders' Cup Sprint (G1)Kee07-Nov$2,000k g3&up6fDirtClosed on Oct 26.
Breeders' Cup Turf (Longines) (G1T)Kee07-Nov$4,000k g3&up12fTurfClosed on Oct 26.
Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint (G1T)Kee07-Nov$1,000k g3&up5.5fTurfClosed on Oct 26.
Lafayette Presented by Keeneland SelectKee07-Nov$150k g3&up7fDirtClosed on Oct 21.
Perryville SKee07-Nov$125k g3yo6fDirtClosed on Oct 21.
Qatar Fort SpringsKee07-Nov$125k g3yo f6fDirtClosed on Oct 21.
Ohio Debutante HMVR07-Nov$75k g3&up f/m S8fDirtClosed on Oct 28.
Autumn S (G2)WO07-Nov$175k g3&up8.5fAWClosed on Oct 21.
Maple Leaf S (G3)WO07-Nov$125k g3&up f/m10fAWClosed on Oct 21.
Nashua S (G3)Aqu08-Nov$100k g2yo8fDirtClosed on Oct 24.
Betty Grable SDmr08-Nov$100k g3&up f/m S7fDirtClosed on Oct 29.
Copa Republica Argentina (G2T)JRA08-Nov$1,140k a3&up12.5fTurfClosed on Sep 29.
Miyako S (G3)JRA08-Nov$759k a3&up9fDirtClosed on Sep 29.
New Mexico Classic Cup DerbyZia11-Nov$50k g3yo c/g S6fDirtClosed on Oct 28.
New Mexico Classic Cup Distaff SprintZia11-Nov$50k g3&up f/m S6fDirtClosed on Oct 28.
New Mexico Classic Cup JuvenileZia11-Nov$50k g2yo c/g S6fDirtClosed on Oct 28.
New Mexico Classic Cup LassieZia11-Nov$50k g2yo f S6fDirtClosed on Oct 28.
New Mexico Classic Cup OaksZia11-Nov$50k g3yo f S6fDirtClosed on Oct 28.
New Mexico Classic Cup Peppers PrideZia11-Nov$50k g3&up f/m S8fDirtClosed on Oct 28.
New Mexico Classic Cup Rocky GulchZia11-Nov$50k g3&up S8fDirtClosed on Oct 28.
New Mexico Classic Cup SprintZia11-Nov$50k g3&up S6fDirtClosed on Oct 28.
Don C. McNeill SRP13-Nov$75k g2yo S8fDirtClosed on Oct 30.
Silver Goblin SRP13-Nov$70k g3&up S6.5fDirtClosed on Oct 30.
Slide Show SRP13-Nov$75k g2yo f S8fDirtClosed on Oct 30.
Artie Schiller SAqu14-Nov$100k g3&up8fTurfClosed on Oct 31.
Notebook SAqu14-Nov$100k g2yo S6fDirtClosed on Oct 31.
Mrs. Revere S (G2T)CD14-Nov$200k g3yo f8.5fTurfClosed on Oct 31.
My Sister Pearl SCT14-Nov$50k a3&up f/m S9fDirt$50/Nov 4
Desi Arnaz SDmr14-Nov$100k g2yo f7fDirt$100/Nov 5
Golden NuggetGG14-Nov$50k a2yo6fAW$0/Nov 5
Juvenile Fillies SprintGPW14-Nov$60k g2yo f S6.5fDirt$0/Nov 6
Juvenile Fillies TurfGPW14-Nov$60k g2yo f S8fTurf$0/Nov 6
Juvenile SprintGPW14-Nov$60k g2yo S6.5fDirt$0/Nov 6
Juvenile TurfGPW14-Nov$60k g2yo S8fTurf$0/Nov 6
Millions Classic PreviewGPW14-Nov$60k g3&up S8fDirt$0/Nov 6
Millions DistaffGPW14-Nov$60k g3&up f/m S7fDirt$0/Nov 6
Millions Filly & Mare Turf PreviewGPW14-Nov$60k g3&up f/m S7.5fTurf$0/Nov 6
Millions Sprint PreviewGPW14-Nov$60k g3&up S6fDirt$0/Nov 6
Millions Turf PreviewGPW14-Nov$60k g3&up S8.5fTurf$0/Nov 6
Daily Hai Nisai S (G2T)JRA14-Nov$759k a2yo8fTurfClosed on Sep 29.
Musashino S (G3)JRA14-Nov$759k a3&up8fDirtClosed on Sep 29.
James LewisLrl14-Nov$100k g2yo6fDirt$0/Nov 5
Smart Halo SLrl14-Nov$100k g2yo f6fDirt$0/Nov 5
South Ocean SWO14-Nov$100k g2yo f S6.5fAWClosed on Oct 28.
Key Cents SAqu15-Nov$100k g2yo f S6fDirtClosed on Oct 31.
Winter Memories SAqu15-Nov$100k g3yo f8.5fTurfClosed on Oct 31.
Bob Hope S (G3)Dmr15-Nov$100k g2yo7fDirt$100/Nov 5
Fukushima Kinen (G3T)JRA15-Nov$815k a3&up10fTurfClosed on Sep 29.
Queen Elizabeth II Cup (G1T)JRA15-Nov$2,100k a3&up f/m11fTurfClosed on Sep 29.
Frost King SWO15-Nov$100k g2yo S6.5fAWClosed on Oct 28.
Indiana FuturityInd17-Nov$75k g2yo S8.32fDirt$100/Nov 4
Miss Indiana SInd17-Nov$75k g2yo f S8.32fDirt$100/Nov 4
Frances Slocum SInd18-Nov$100k g3&up f/m S8.5fDirt$150/Nov 4
Too Much Coffee SInd18-Nov$100k g3&up S8.5fDirt$150/Nov 4
Red Smith (G3T)Aqu21-Nov$100k g3&up11fTurf$100/Nov 7
Chilukki S (G3)CD21-Nov$100k g3&up f/m8fDirt$100/Nov 7
Native Diver S (G3)Dmr21-Nov$100k g3&up9fDirt$100/Nov 12
OaklandGG21-Nov$50k a3&up6fAW$0/Nov 12
Cardinal HMVR21-Nov$75k g3&up S6fDirt$50/Nov 11
First Lady SMVR21-Nov$75k g3yo f S6fDirt$50/Nov 11
Bessarabian S (G2)WO21-Nov$175k g3&up f/m7fAW$175/Nov 4
Kennedy Road S (G2)WO21-Nov$175k g3&up6fAW$175/Nov 4
Ontario Damsel SWO21-Nov$150k g3yo f R8.5fTurf$150/Nov 4
Ontario Derby (G3)WO21-Nov$125k g3yo9fAW$125/Nov 4
New York Stallion Series (Staten Island Div.)Aqu22-Nov$100k g3&up f/m R7fDirt$100/Nov 7
New York Stallion Series (Thunder Rumble Div.)Aqu22-Nov$100k g3&up R7fDirt$100/Nov 7
Cary Grant SDmr22-Nov$100k g3&up S7fDirt$100/Nov 12
Mile Championship (G1T)JRA22-Nov$2,297k a3&up8fTurfClosed on Sep 29.
Grey S (G3)WO22-Nov$125k g2yo8.5fAW$125/Nov 4
Mazarine S (G3)WO22-Nov$125k g2yo f8.5fAW$125/Nov 4
Tokyo Sports Hai Nisai S (G3T)JRA23-Nov$660k a2yo9fTurfClosed on Oct 13.
Steel Valley SprintMVR23-Nov$200k g3yo6fDirt$0/Nov 9
LookoutDeD24-Nov$60k g3&up f/m S7fDirt$0/Nov 10
B-ConnectedDeD25-Nov$60k g3&up S7fDirt$0/Nov 10
Cardinal (G3T)CD26-Nov$100k g3&up f/m9fTurf$100/Nov 14
Falls City (G2)CD26-Nov$200k g3&up f/m9fDirt$200/Nov 14
Red Carpet H (G3T)Dmr26-Nov$100k g3&up f/m11fTurf$100/Nov 19
Thanksgiving ClassicFG26-Nov$125k g3&up6fDirt$125/Nov 14
Comely S (G3)Aqu27-Nov$100k g3yo f9fDirt$100/Nov 14
Forever Together SAqu27-Nov$100k g3&up f/m8.5fTurf$100/Nov 14
Gio Ponti SAqu27-Nov$100k g3yo8.5fTurf$100/Nov 14
Clark H Presented by Norton Healthcare (G1)CD27-Nov$500k g3&up9fDirt$300/Nov 14
River City (G3T)CD27-Nov$100k g3&up9fTurf$100/Nov 14
Treasure ChestDeD27-Nov$100k g3&up f/m8fDirt$0/Nov 10
Hollywood Turf Cup (G2T)Dmr27-Nov$200k g3&up12fTurf$200/Nov 19
Golden Gate DebutanteGG27-Nov$50k a2yo f6fAW$0/Nov 19
Aqueduct Turf Sprint ChampionshipAqu28-Nov$100k g3&up6fTurf$100/Nov 14
Central Park SAqu28-Nov$100k g2yo8.5fTurf$100/Nov 14
Discovery (G3)Aqu28-Nov$100k g3yo9fDirt$100/Nov 14
Long Island (G3T)Aqu28-Nov$100k g3&up f/m11fTurf$100/Nov 14
Golden Rod S (G2)CD28-Nov$200k g2yo f8.5fDirt$200/Nov 14
Kentucky Jockey Club S (G2)CD28-Nov$200k g2yo8.5fDirt$200/Nov 14
Eleanor Casey MemorialCT28-Nov$50k a2yo f S7fDirt$50/Nov 18
Delta Mile SDeD28-Nov$100k g3&up8fDirt$0/Nov 10
Hollywood Derby (G1T)Dmr28-Nov$300k g3yo9fTurf$300/Nov 19
Jimmy Durante S (G3T)Dmr28-Nov$100k g2yo f8fTurf$100/Nov 19
Seabiscuit H (G2T)Dmr28-Nov$200k g3&up8.5fTurf$200/Nov 19
Berkeley H (G3)GG28-Nov$100k g3&up8.5fAW$50/Nov 19
Radio Nikkei Hai Kyoto Nisai S (G3T)JRA28-Nov$660k a2yo10fTurfClosed on Oct 13.
Concern SLrl28-Nov$100k g3yo7fDirt$0/Nov 19
Frank Whiteley Jr. SLrl28-Nov$100k g3&up6fDirt$0/Nov 19
Primonetta SLrl28-Nov$100k g3&up f/m6fDirt$0/Nov 19
Richard W. Small SLrl28-Nov$100k g3&up8.5fDirt$0/Nov 19
Safely Kept SLrl28-Nov$100k g3yo f7fDirt$0/Nov 19
Thirty Eight Go Go SLrl28-Nov$100k g3&up f/m8.5fDirt$0/Nov 19
Glacial Princess SMVR28-Nov$75k g2yo f S6fDirt$50/Nov 18
Ruff/Kirchberg Memorial HMVR28-Nov$75k g3&up S8fDirt$50/Nov 18
Autumn Days SAqu29-Nov$100k g3&up f/m6fTurf$100/Nov 14
Fall Highweight H (G3)Aqu29-Nov$100k g3&up6fDirt$100/Nov 14
Tepin SAqu29-Nov$100k g2yo f8.5fTurf$100/Nov 14
Cecil B. DeMille S (G3T)Dmr29-Nov$100k g2yo8fTurf$100/Nov 19
Matriarch S (G1T)Dmr29-Nov$300k g3&up f/m8fTurf$300/Nov 19
Japan Cup (G1T)JRA29-Nov$6,000k a3&up12fTurfClosed on Oct 13.
Keihan Hai (G3T)JRA29-Nov$785k a3&up6fTurfClosed on Oct 13.
Jean Lafitte SDeD30-Nov$100k g2yo7fDirt$0/Nov 17

Oct 31 2020

Halloween Horse Honors at Mahoning: Best of Ohio Precap

Published by under Black type stakes,Free Grid Day!,Free Picks,Futurities,Grids,Listed Stakes,Long Shot Specials,Mahoning Valley,Precap,Two Year Olds

.

Saturday, October 31.  Halloween is usually low key in the thoroughbred industry, being the week leading up to the Breeders’ Cup.  But Mahoning Valley Racing will have some horse honors today for the Best of Ohio series, which has 5 stakes races worth $500k total.  

.

Mahoning Valley Racing.

.

Racing begins at 12:15PM ET with the undercard, which looks mostly chalky anyway, so this Precap will just cover the stakes racing beginning at 2:34PM.  Get today’s Free Grid here to follow along and make your own picks.

MVR10312020GDownload

.

R6 2:34ET 8.5f D JuvenileB100k 2 YO:  2 3 5 6 4  LSS 3

The open Juvenile race has a potential star in the making in Morestride, who should be the post favorite after winning his debut by 10. Top LP goes to Buckeye Magic at 8-1, the long shot special. ML favorite Uptown has the right experience to win, and the only to race at a mile, but the other 4 listed won’t make it easy.

.

R7 3:02ET 8.5f D JWGlbrthB100k 2 YO F:  5 2 4 6 7            LSS 4 7

The Galbreath for juvenile fillies also has a legit fav in Alexandria, 3rd in the Pocohontas G3 last out and the only to race a mile yet. Happy As You Go has won 3 in a row and improving.  LSS Shez Shacked Up finally broke maiden in her 5th try last out and looks ready.  LSS Lemon Deelite had a great late move in her only race but may have to move faster early.

.

R8 3:30ET 6f D OHSprintB100k 3 UP:  7 11 1 4 6 5              LSS 11 6

In the Best of Ohio Sprint, it’s hard to pick against favorite Altissimo after 2 excellent races by the 7yo gelding.  The other 7yo Gelding Mo Don’t No is an experience stakes racer with good LP. Midnite Thunder won’t go off at the ML of 15-1 but may still have post time value.  He was on the right track after his first 2 including a win over fellow LSS Going With Style, before a disappointing 3rd race where he fell flat in the stretch.  Buckeye Bullet has beaten Mo Don’t No so he’s also dangerous.

.

R9 3:58ET 9f D OhDistafB100k 3 UP FM:  3 9 6 2 1 4         LSS 6 4

In the Distaff, Moonlit Mission is a deserving favorite and a multiple stakes winner at or about this distance, including the Galbreath here last year. She narrowly lost in a sprint last out to Star Mabee, but that one has been somewhat ineffective at over a mile. Top LP is LSS Market Success at 12-1 ML, you always have to look at top LP at 9f, and her last 3 races at a mile were solid. Circus Rings is the only other proven at this distance.

.

R10 4:26ET 10f D OHEndrnceB100k 3 UP:  10 8 6 7 3        LSS 7 3

The Endurance will wind up racing for the afternoon with a 10f contest, which means again we have to pay special attention to top LP, especially here with a good amount of early speed in it.  Favored Forewarned looks very hard to beat here with top LP, but couldn’t catch I Wanna Win, 2nd in LP, in their last match, at this same distance. Wicked Warrior has beaten several in this field but his speed will need to hold up for more than a mile.

.

That’s it for today’s analysis.  It looks like there are some good long shots specials to go along with the chalk today, so take your chances.  Remember, the Breeders’ Cup is coming up next weekend!

.

You can get The Grid for all the major tracks and race days here, including Keeneland the Breeders Cup.

.

Good luck!

Who will win the Breeders' Cup Classic?

  • Maximum Security (22%)
  • Tiz The Law (22%)
  • Tom's D'etat (22%)
  • Authentic (11%)
  • Improbable (11%)
  • Tacitus (11%)
  • By My Standards (0%)
  • Global Campaign (0%)
  • Higher Power (0%)
  • Title Ready (0%)
Loading ... Loading ...

Oct 24 2020

Maryland Millions Saturday at Laurel. Precap, Picks, PP’s

Published by under Black type stakes,Free Grid Day!,Free Picks,Grids,Laurel,Listed Stakes,Long Shot Specials,Precap

.

Saturday, October 24, 2020.  Laurel is hosting the Maryland Millions day, meaning all 12 races are stakes contests and over $1 million in purse money up for grabs.  Racing starts at 11:25AM ET and extends thru 5:36 PM for a full day of great racing action at Maryland’s premier track.

.

Weather today at Laurel is moderate and partly cloudy with a small 15% chance of rain.  The races will most likely stay on turf.  Grab today’s free Grid PP’s here to follow along and make your own picks.

LRL10242020GDownload

.

Here are the initial picks from our perspective.

R1 11:25ET 9f T MdMl TfDSrH50k 3 UP FM:  11 1 2 3 7     LSS 2 7 4 6

R2 11:56ET 7f D MdMiDsStH40k 3 UP FM:  1 6 3

R3 12:28ET 9f T MdMil LdysB100k 3 UP FM:  8 2 6 1 5

R4 1:01ET 6f D MdMilLassB100k 2 YO F:  7 4 8 6 5 9         LSS 6 9

R5 1:34ET 7f D MdMiStrtH40k 3 UP:  7 1 11 10 8                  LSS 1 10 8

R6 2:07ET 5.5f T MdMilTfSpH75k 3 UP:  9 7 8 4

R7 2:39ET 6f D MdMlNrsryB100k 2 YO:  1 4 7 10 13            LSS 1 (4) 10

R8 3:12ET 7f D MdMl DstfHB100k 3 UP FM :  5 7 8 6 9     LSS 7 8 9

R9 3:45ET 9f T MdMllTurfB100k 3 UP:  9 12 4 10 6 11                         LSS 10 11

R10 4:20ET 6f D MdMlSprtHB100k 3 UP:  3 4 10 7 2           LSS 2

R11 4:53ET 9f D MdMilClscB150k 3 UP:  5 4 7 3 6               LSS 6

R12 5:26ET 9f T MdMilTSrtH50k 3 UP:  9 6 7 8 2 14             LSS 9 2 14

.

Angel Cruz smiled for the win photo aboard Harpers First Ride in the Pimlico Special G3 October 2 2020.

Those are the picks for today. Remember racing starts early so get on it.  You can get the Grid for all the big tracks and race days right here.

Oct 16 2020

Remington Park Friday Night: Oklahoma Classics Series with over $1 million in purses

Published by under Black type stakes,Free Grid Day!,Free Picks,Grids,Listed Stakes,Long Shot Specials,Precap,Remington

.

Friday, October 16, 2020.  Remington Park will host the annual Oklahoma Classics series tonight, featuring 10 stakes races worth about$1.12 million in purse money total.  It’s rare that we spotlight this small time track but it’s a million dollar Friday night card that starts at 8:07 Eastern.

.

.

Races are mostly for 3 and up male and female divisions in different distances, including a couple on turf.  But there are also a pair of 2yo races, divided into male and female, with 19 promising juveniles on the card. Get today’s Free Grid here to follow along.

RPX10162020GDownload

.

R1 8:07ET 7f D OKClc FMStr40k 3 UP FM

Tied for the smallest purse of the day, the Filly Mare Starter has 9 entries. The favorite has been good but showed a problem tiring at 6.5f last out. Dave’s Baby also weakened at 6.5f but has top LP and 12-1.  The only 2 that have showed success at longer than 6f are Checkerboard at 15-1 and Lucky Liza Ann at 8-1, both of which have wins at 6.5f.  Race is wide open, focus on the long shot specials.

.

R2 8:35ET 6f D OkCl JuvnlB100k 2 YO C&G

It’s all about Number One Dude at 8-5, winner by 7.5 lengths first time out.  I don’t see the others touching him, but first time starter Winners Luck 10-1 wouldn’t be in here if Scott Young didn’t think he belonged. The others are running for 2nd thru 5th money.

.

R3 9:03ET 6f D Ok ClLssieB100k 2 YO F

This one has some great possibilities. Green Eyed Belle 6-1 has the best PF, 2nd in EP and LP.  Several are tied for the 2nd best PF, including Twilight Curfew, a 2nd time starter who finished strong first time out.  Also tied for the 2nd best PF are Gee Gee at 8-1 and the favorite Gotta See Red.  Another wide pen race.

R4 9:31ET 8.31f D Ok C DistfB145k 3 UP FM

The first route of the day has a solid pair of co-favorites of which Lady Orchid looks like the best, with top LP and returning to dirt where she has the best PF in the field. Maybe wheel all on bottom.

R5 9:59ET 8.5f T OkCl DsfTfB130k 3 UP FM

Looks real chalky for this one.

R6 10:27ET 6f D OkCl DfSprB130k 3 UP FM

Favorite is solid but don’t be surprised if Sprint Steen ends up as the post favorite from 4-1 now which is decent value as does Three Chords at 9-2.  Sweet Mary M had a rough go last out but will be hard to catch if she gets the lead at 8-1.  Lil Footnotes could pick up pieces at 12-1.

R7 10:55ET 6f D OkClSprntB130k 3 UP 

1-2 Welder will be very tough to beat.  However the 4 rules horse is Mesa Moon at 5-1 ML, and also tied for top LP with Daaher’s Success at a ridiculous 15-1 which will never hold up tonight.

R8 11:23ET 8.5f T OKTrfClscB130k 3 UP 

This turf race is a bit more open, with my top pick Cowboy Mischief at 5-1 with top LP.  Combine him with 2nd LP Half Hours at 8-1 and the 2 top ML picks and add Sedaris for a superfecta bet.

R9 11:51ET 8.5f D Ok ClscsCpB175k 3 UP 

Chalky again, with Fast Breakin Cash some value at 5-1 and possibly United Patriot if he can regain past form after two horrid outings.

R10 12:19ET 7f D OKClscStrt40k 3 UP 

The last race of the day also has the smallest purse, but the biggest field with 12 for the male starters.  I don’t see how in blazes my top pick Rockport Kat will go off anywhere near 12-1.  The other top contenders are the top 4 ML choices, so it could get chalky, but I’ll throw in Hoodoo Brown at 10-1 for some added spice.

That’s how I see it. Good luck and may the horse be with you.

You can get the Grid for all the big tracks and races this weekend and every race day, including the Breeders’ Cup, right here.   

.

Get a $25 free bet plus DOUBLE your first deposit when you sign up with TVG!

Oct 09 2020

Belmont Park Saturday: 4 Grade 1 Breeders’ Cup Challenge Races

Published by under Belmont,Breeders Cup,Breeders' Cup Challenge,Free Grid Day!,Free Picks,Graded Stakes,Grids,Long Shot Specials,Pick 6,Precap

.

Saturday, October 10, 2020. It’s another big Breeders’ Cup preview day, this time at Belmont Park, which is hosting 4 Grade 1 Breeders’ Cup Challenge (BCC) Races.  That means the winner of each of these gets an automatic entry to a specific Breeders’ Cup race.

.

Last week the bulk of the action was at Keeneland, which had 10 BCC races with strong fields and great action.  We did a special Keeneland weekend recap of how the Grid had every winner until the last race on Sunday, and we took home almost $8000 just in Pick 4 payouts, along with a couple good trifectas and supers.  So you’ll want to check that out to see the value created by the Grid.

.

Admittedly, Belmont has a bit shorter fields this weekend in the graded races, but most of the other races have full fields of 12.  So there will be plenty of options and bigger handles than usual for a Belmont Saturday.  The Jackpot 6 carryover will likely go over $1 million so that will be fun too.

.

First, get the free Belmont Grid here, just click and download.  The Grid can be viewed on your computer or smart phone with any program that opens spreadsheets.  In addition it is designed to be printed easily, but you can’t view the comments or delete scratches from the print out. 

BEL10102020GTDownload

.

Now you can follow along with what we’re talking about. This is a great way to learn how to use the Grid and then actually use it to make money. For brevity’s sake we’ll only break down the G1 races then you’re on your own. Weather outlook: Awesome with 70s temps and sunniness.

.

The Champagne G1 in race 4 is the first stakes race.  For 2yo’s of all sorts, it will be used as a springboard to not only the BC Juvenile next month but also to launch a Triple Crown campaign next year.

Jackie’s Warrior looks very difficult to beat, undefeated in 3 races with the best PF’s, including G1 and G2 wins, and hence is 3-5 on the ML. 

Reinvestment Risk is at 8-5 after 2 races, closing in but not able to catch the favorite last out at Saratoga. The speed of these two favorites is a few lengths above the rest of the field, but neither has raced at a mile yet.

Midnight Bourbon 6-1 is the only other to give a serious look at, having run all 3 races at this distance and finishing 2nd in a G3 last out.

Save some money and just bet it straight 4 5 6 – all.

.

The Frizette G1 is the counterpart race for 2yo fillies, also going a mile and is worth a berth to the BC Juvenile fillies and a Kentucky Oaks campaign.  Now we have 4 main contenders, but all at short odds.

Don’t use a lot of combinations here either because at least 3 of the 4 will finish ITM. Mix in longshot Cilla at 30-1 because she will likely improve returning to dirt. (long shot special alert)

.

The Flower Bowl G1 is providing an entry into the BC Filly and Mare Turf.  The field of 7 presents some decent possibilities. At 10f you have to give a lot of credit to top LP, even if there’s not much speed.

My Sister Nat 3-1 is the top LP by far, and also has the 2nd best PF at this distance. She lost by a length to Civil Union, also 3-1 last out, but was running too far behind a slow pace set by Beau Belle at 12-1 who also lost by a length.  BB has the top PF at this distance, and because of the questionable pace, has a good shot here.  

To be honest, this race is kind of wide open, so there is value to be had in Beau Belle and La Signare.  But definitely key the bets with the 1 2 and 3.

.

The Jockey Club Gold Cup G1 only has a field of 5 which is embarrassing. But only one will get an automatic berth to the BC Classic.

The favorite Tacitus 1-1 will likely run in the BC Classic either way but will be tough to beat.  He finished 2nd last out in the Woodward at this distance but still ahead of Prioritize at 4-1. 

Happy Saver at 2-1 is supposed to finally run in a graded race after threatening to run in both the Derby and the Preakness.  Only 3 career races, but all wins, and as the only true early runner, could set a comfortable pace and keep it.  Not a good betting race but use those 2 in the rollers.

.

On the undercard, there are several MSW’s with lots of first time starters and possibilities.  For these races, use the Win and ITM figures to make the best picks.

.

Some long shot specials to look out for:

R1:  Cheatham Hill top LP is 10-1. .

R2:  2 Gotta Go Mo 3rd EP, 2nd best PF at 8-1, 1 Kinky Sox top LP at 30-1

R3:  7 M for Magic 2nd best PF 10-1, 1 Alemia 8-1 1st timer Clement.

Any of the first time starters with good trainer Win/ITM percents.

.

OK that’s it for today’s lesson.  It’s a great time to join the WWC! Why? Because just 1 month access of the Grid will get you all the great racing at every major track every day, through the Breeders’ Cup.  You can cancel anytime or pay flat rate. Check out the options here.

« Prev - Next »