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Weekend Winners Club

Apr 28 2022

May 2022 Thoroughbred Stakes Racing Schedule for North America and Japan

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The May 2022 Thoroughbred stakes racing schedule for the USA, Canada, and Japan is updated and ready. The epicenter of racing in the United Stakes of America will be Churchill Downs to begin the first full weekend of racing in May with the Kentucky Oaks and Derby.

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Get the full 2022 Kentucky Derby Grid Here with over 80 different factors including pedigree, performance, and historical criteria! 

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Churchill Downs will be the epicenter of racing in early May with the Kentucky Oaks and Derby weekend.

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May 2022 Thoroughbred Stakes Racing Schedule for North America and JRA

RaceTrackDatePur$eAge/SexDistSurfFee/Close
License Fee SBelMay01$100K4&up f/m6fTurfClsd Apr16
Campanile SGGMay01$75K3yo f S8fTurfClsd Apr22
Silky SullivanGGMay01$75K3yo S8fTurfClsd Apr22
Tenno Sho Spring (G1T)JRAMay01$4,115K4&up16fTurfClsd Mar8
Wilshire S (G3T)SAMay01$100K3&up f/m8fTurfClsd Apr21
Woodstock SWOMay01$125K3yo6fAWClsd Apr13
Wilma Mankiller SWRDMay02$50K3&up f/m6fDirtClsd Apr20
Isaac Murphy Marathon Overnight SCDMay03$160K4&up12fDirtClsd Apr16
Highland Ice SWRDMay03$50K3&up6fDirtClsd Apr21
William WalkerCDMay04$200K3yo5.5fTurfClsd Apr16
St. MatthewsCDMay04$160K4&up R6fDirtClsd Apr16
Kentucky Juvenile SCDMay05$200K2yo5fDirtClsd Apr16
Unbridled Sydney SCDMay05$200K3&up f/m5.5fTurfClsd Apr16
Opening Verse Overnight SCDMay05$160K4&up8fTurfClsd Apr16
Flat OutBelMay06$100K4&up11fDirtClsd Apr23
Daryl E. Parker Memorial/Tall Stack SBTPMay06$75K3yo S6.5fDirtClsd Apr26
Longines Kentucky Oaks (G1)CDMay06$1,250K3yo f9fDirtClsd Apr16
La Troienne S (G1)CDMay06$750K4&up f/m8.5fDirtClsd Apr16
Alysheba S Presented by Sentient Jet (G2)CDMay06$500K4&up8.5fDirtClsd Apr16
Edgewood S Presented by Forcht Bank (G2T)CDMay06$500K3yo f8.5fTurfClsd Apr16
Eight Belles S (G2)CDMay06$500K3yo f7fDirtClsd Apr16
Twin Spires Turf Sprint Presented by Sysco (G2T)CDMay06$500K3&up5.5fTurfClsd Apr16
Modesty S (G3T)CDMay06$250K4&up f/m9fTurfClsd Apr16
Evangeline Downs DistaffEvDMay06$60K4&up f/m S8fDirtClsd Apr22
Natural State Breeders' SOPMay06$150K3&up f/m S8fDirtClsd Apr22
Fort Marcy S (G2T)BelMay07$200K4&up9fTurfClsd Apr23
Sheepshead Bay S (G2T)BelMay07$200K4&up f/m11fTurfClsd Apr23
Westchester S (G3)BelMay07$200K4&up8fDirtClsd Apr23
Kentucky Derby Presented by Woodford Reserve (G1)CDMay07$3,000K3yo10fDirt$200,000/May4
Old Forester Bourbon Turf Classic (G1T)CDMay07$1,000K4&up9fTurfClsd Apr16
Churchill Downs Presented by Ford (G1)CDMay07$750K4&up7fDirtClsd Apr16
Derby City Distaff Presented by Kendall-Jackson Winery (G1)CDMay07$750K4&up f/m7fDirtClsd Apr16
American Turf (G2T)CDMay07$500K3yo8.5fTurfClsd Apr16
Longines Churchill Distaff Turf Mile (G2T)CDMay07$500K4&up f/m8fTurfClsd Apr16
Pat Day Mile Presented by LG&E and KU (G2)CDMay07$500K3yo8fDirtClsd Apr16
Knicks Go Overnight SCDMay07$160K4&up R8fDirtClsd Apr16
Evangeline Downs ClassicEvDMay07$60K4&up S8fDirtClsd Apr22
Al Swihart Memorial SFonMay07$20K3&up f/m6.5fDirt$0/Apr30
Coors StarterFonMay07$10K4&up R9fDirt$0/Apr30
English Channel SGPMay07$75K3yo8fTurfClsd Apr24
Honey Ryder SGPMay07$75K3yo f8fTurfClsd Apr24
Virginia Gold Cup TimberGrMMay07$100K5&up32fTurfClsd Apr25
David Semmes Memorial Hurdle (G2T)GrMMay07$75K4&up17fTurfClsd Apr25
Four-Old Hurdle SGrMMay07$50K4&up17fTurfClsd Apr25
Steeplethon SGrMMay07$30K5&up24fTurfClsd Apr25
Third Chance SHawMay07$75K3&up f/m S6fDirtClsd Apr23
Kyoto Shimbun Hai (G2T)JRAMay07$1,120K3yo11fTurfClsd Mar22
Long Branch SMthMay07$100K3yo8.32fDirtClsd Apr22
Arkansas Breeders' ChampionshipOPMay07$200K3&up S8.5fDirtClsd Apr22
Senorita S (G3T)SAMay07$100K3yo f8fTurf$100/Apr28
Secretariat SSONMay07$20K3&up6fDirtNot Available
Jack Cole SSRPMay07$100K3&up S6.5fDirt$200/Apr29
Michael F. Rowland Memorial HTdnMay07$75K3&up S6fDirtClsd Apr27
Hasta La Vista STuPMay07$60K3&up15fTurfNot Available
Turf Paradise Open Spring FuturityTuPMay07$60K2yo5fDirtNot Available
Ruffian (G2)BelMay08$200K4&up f/m8fDirtClsd Apr23
Monroe SGPMay08$75K3&up f/m8.5fTurfClsd Apr24
NHK Mile Cup (G1T)JRAMay08$2,684K3yo8fTurfClsd Mar22
Niigata Daishoten (G3T)JRAMay08$886K4&up10fTurfClsd Mar22
Serena's Song SMthMay08$100K3&up f/m8.32fDirtClsd Apr22
Lazaro Barrera SSAMay08$100K3yo6.5fDirt$100/Apr28
Angels Flight SSAMay08$75K3yo f7fDirt$0/Apr28
Merry-Go-Round Special SSONMay08$10K3&up7fDirtNot Available
C.O. "Ken" Kendrick Memorial SSRPMay08$100K2yo S4.5fDirt$200/Apr29
Whimsical S (G3)WOMay08$150K4&up f/m6fAWClsd Apr20
J. William Petro Memorial HTdnMay12$75K3&up f/m S8.5fDirt$50/May2
Goldfinch SPrMMay13$50K3yo f6fDirt$0/May3
Man o' War (G1T)BelMay14$700K4&up11fTurf$700/Apr30
Peter Pan S (G3)BelMay14$200K3yo9fDirt$200/Apr30
Beaugay S (G3T)BelMay14$150K4&up f/m8.5fTurf$150/Apr30
Runhappy S (G3)BelMay14$150K4&up6fDirt$150/Apr30
Vagrancy (G3)BelMay14$150K4&up f/m6.5fDirt$150/Apr30
Mamzelle Overnight SCDMay14$160K3yo f5fTurf$0/Apr30
Coin Collector SCTMay14$75K3yo S4.5fDirt$50/May4
Roar SGPMay14$75K3yo5fTurf$0/May1
Robert S. Molaro SHawMay14$75K3&up S6fDirt$0/Apr30
Keio Hai Spring Cup (G2T)JRAMay14$1,221K4&up7fTurfClsd Mar22
Spruce Fir HMthMay14$85K3&up f/m S6fDirt$0/Apr29
Calvin Houghland Iroquois (G1T)PWMay14$150K4&up24fTurf$500/May2
Green Pastures HurdlePWMay14$75K4&up R18fTurf$250/May2
Margaret Currey Henley Hurdle SPWMay14$50K4&up f/m18fTurf$100/May2
Santa Barbara S (G3T)SAMay14$125K3&up f/m12fTurf$100/May5
SunRay Park SSRPMay14$75K3&up4.5fDirt$200/May6
Gold Fever SBelMay15$100K3yo6fDirt$100/Apr30
Victoria Mile (G1T)JRAMay15$2,684K4&up f/m8fTurfClsd Mar22
John J. Reilly HMthMay15$85K3&up S6fDirt$0/Apr29
Jacques Cartier S (G3)WOMay15$150K4&up6fAWClsd Apr27
10,000 Lakes SCbyMay18$50K3&up S6fDirt$0/May4
Lady Slipper SCbyMay18$50K3&up f/m S6fDirt$0/May4
Caesars SIndMay18$150K3yo8fTurf$0/May4
Horseshoe Indianapolis SIndMay18$150K3yo f8fTurf$0/May4
Sagamore Sired SIndMay18$100K3yo S5.5fDirt$0/May4
Swifty Sired Fillies SIndMay18$100K3yo f S5.5fDirt$0/May4
Pimlico Special (G3)PimMay20$300K3&up9.5fDirt$0/May10
George E. Mitchell Black-Eyed Susan S (G2)PimMay20$250K3yo f9fDirt$0/May10
Allaire duPont Distaff S (G3)PimMay20$150K3&up f/m9fDirt$0/May10
Miss Preakness S (G3)PimMay20$150K3yo f6fDirt$0/May10
Hilltop SPimMay20$100K3yo f8fTurf$0/May10
The Very One SPimMay20$100K3&up f/m5fTurf$0/May10
Seek Again SBelMay21$100K4&up8fTurf$100/May7
Louisville (G3T)CDMay21$200K4&up12fTurf$100/May11
It's Binn Too Long SCTMay21$75K3yo f S4.5fDirt$50/May11
PS Services SprintEDMay21$10K3&up5fDirtNot Available
Mr. Steele SGPMay21$75K3&up8.5fTurf$0/May8
Musical Romance SGPMay21$65K3&up f/m S6.5fDirt$0/May8
Heian S (G3)JRAMay21$780K4&up9.5fDirtClsd Apr5
Politely SMthMay21$100K3&up f/m5fTurf$100/May6
Preakness S (G1)PimMay21$1,500K3yo9.5fDirt$150,000/May18
Dinner Party S (G2T)PimMay21$250K3&up8.5fTurf$0/May10
Chick Lang S (G3)PimMay21$200K3yo6fDirt$0/May10
Gallorette S (G3T)PimMay21$150K3&up f/m8.5fTurf$0/May10
Maryland Sprint S (G3)PimMay21$150K3&up6fDirt$0/May10
James W. Murphy SPimMay21$100K3yo8fTurf$0/May10
Jim McKay Turf SprintPimMay21$100K3&up5fTurf$0/May10
Sir Barton S Sponsored by Brandon and Diannah Perry to Benefit TAAPimMay21$100K3yo8.5fDirt$0/May10
Skipat SPimMay21$100K3&up f/m6fDirt$0/May10
Golden Circle SPrMMay21$50K3yo6fDirt$0/May9
National Hunt Cup HurdleRadMay21$30K4&up19fTurfNot Available
Radnor Hunt Cup TimberRadMay21$25K5&up26fTurf$100/May9
Mizdirection SSAMay21$75K4&up f/mabt 6.5fTurf$0/May12
Ruling Angel SWOMay21$100K3yo f7fAW$0/May11
Jack Diamond MaturityHsTMay22$50K3yo c/g S6.5fDirt$100/May14
Sadie Diamond MaturityHsTMay22$50K3yo f S6.5fDirt$100/May14
Yushun Himba (Japanese Oaks) (G1T)JRAMay22$2,880K3yo f12fTurfClsd Apr5
Get Serious SMthMay22$100K3&up5fTurf$100/May6
King Corrie SWOMay22$100K3yo7fAW$0/May11
Tom Ridge SPIDMay23$100K3yo6fAW$0/May10
Cinema SWRDMay23$55K3yo f S8fDirt$0/May11
Electric Fever SAsDMay24$20K3yo f5fDirt$0/May12
Will Rogers SWRDMay24$55K3yo S8fDirt$0/May12
Brooks Fields SCbyMay25$50K3&up8fTurf$0/May11
HBPA Turf DistaffCbyMay25$50K3&up f/m8fTurf$0/May11
Honor the Hero SCbyMay25$50K3&up5fTurf$0/May11
Cherokee Nation Classic CupWRDMay25$55K3&up S8.5fDirt$0/May13
More Than Even SWRDMay25$55K3&up f/m S8.5fDirt$0/May13
Alberta Sire Stakes DebutanteCTMMay27$50K3yo f R6.5fDirt$100/May19
Soaring Softly S (G3T)BelMay28$100K3yo f7fTurf$100/May14
Keertana Overnight SCDMay28$160K4&up f/m12fTurf$0/May14
Albertas Sire Stakes DerbyCTMMay28$50K3yo R6.5fDirt$100/May19
Big Drama SGPMay28$65K3&up S7fDirt$0/May15
Oakbrook SHawMay28$75K3&up f/m S8fTurf$0/May14
Aoi SJRAMay28$823K3yo6fTurfClsd Apr5
Cliff Hanger SMthMay28$100K3&up8.5fTurf$100/May13
Melair SSAMay28$150K3yo f S8.5fDirt$100/May19
Snow Chief SSAMay28$150K3yo S9fTurf$100/May19
Crystal Water SSAMay28$100K3&up S8fTurf$100/May19
Fran's Valentine SSAMay28$100K3&up f/m S8fTurf$100/May19
Thor's Echo SSAMay28$100K3&up S6fDirt$100/May19
Paradise Creek SBelMay29$100K3yo7fTurf$100/May14
Alcatraz SGGMay29$75K3yo8fTurf$50/May19
Black Tie Affair SHawMay29$75K3&up S8fTurf$0/May15
Tokyo Yushun (Japanese Derby) (G1T)JRAMay29$4,115K3yo12fTurfClsd Apr5
Meguro Kinen (G2T)JRAMay29$1,173K4&up12.5fTurfClsd Apr5
Jersey Derby SMthMay29$100K3yo8fTurf$100/May13
Triple Bend S (G2)SAMay29$200K4&up7fDirt$100/May19
Daytona S (G3T)SAMay29$100K4&upabt 6.5fTurf$100/May19
Honeymoon S (G3T)SAMay29$100K3yo f9fTurf$100/May19
Dine SSRPMay29$100K3yo S6.5fDirt$200/May20
San Juan County Commissioners SSRPMay29$75K3&up9fDirt$200/May20
Stella Artois Eclipse S (G2)WOMay29$175K4&up8.5fAW$175/May11
Lord Balcony SAsDMay30$20K3yo5fDirt$0/May19
Commentator HBelMay30$200K3&up S8fDirt$200/May14
Critical Eye HBelMay30$200K3&up f/m S8fDirt$200/May14
Bouwerie SBelMay30$125K3yo f S7fDirt$125/May14
Kingston SBelMay30$125K4&up S8.5fTurf$125/May14
Mike Lee SBelMay30$125K3yo S7fDirt$125/May14
Mount Vernon SBelMay30$125K4&up f/m S8fTurf$125/May14
Winning Colors S (G3)CDMay30$200K4&up f/m6fDirt$100/May14
Memorial SEDMay30$10K3&up7fDirtNot Available
George W. Barker SFLMay30$50K3&up S6fDirt$0/May18
All American SGGMay30$100K3&up8fAW$50/May20
Steve Sexton Mile S (G3)LSMay30$400K3&up8fDirt$0/May19
Texas DerbyLSMay30$300K3yo8.5fDirt$0/May19
Ouija Board DistaffLSMay30$200K3&up f/m8fTurf$0/May19
Chamberlain Bridge SLSMay30$100K3&up5fTurf$0/May19
Memorial Day Sprint SLSMay30$100K3&up f/m6fDirt$0/May19
Speightstown SprintLSMay30$100K3&up6fDirt$0/May19
Miss Liberty SMthMay30$100K3&up f/m8.5fTurf$100/May13
Shoemaker Mile (G1T)SAMay30$500K3&up8fTurf$100/May19
Gamely S (G1T)SAMay30$400K3&up f/m9fTurf$100/May19
Hollywood Gold Cup (G1)SAMay30$400K3&up10fDirt$100/May19
Nifty SAsDMay31$20K3&up5fDirt$0/May19
Sort the above table by any column or search with box at top

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Get the Grid for all your favorite tracks and races including the Kentucky Derby!

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Kentucky Derby Central

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Apr 15 2022

Sat.April 16: Lexington “Last chance at Derby” Stakes Precap. Endless Possibilities!

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Friday, April 15, 2022.  On Saturday, Keeneland will host the Grade 3 Stonestreet Lexington Stakes, the last Derby Prep race and last chance at a Kentucky Derby ticket for 5 of the runners that already have Derby Points and are vying for their chance to run for the roses. Weather will reach the low 60s with not much chance of rain at all.

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The Lexington not only offers a $400k purse, but also 20-8-4-2 points to the top 4 finishers.  If you look at the points chart, Tawny Port is currently dangling precariously at the final #20 position with 40 points and the least earnings of any in the 40 club. All he would have to do is finish top 4 and his slot is assured.

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But that scenario is far from guaranteed, even if he is the Lexington points leader going in and the ML favorite.  His 2 wins and 40-point 2nd in the Ruby were all on poly track.  His only dirt race was a mediocre 5th in the Risen Star.  Here, get the Keeneland Grid here free to follow along. Morning scratches already removed.

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Meanwhile, there are 5 others in the race vying to run for the roses, none of which have a better PF than Tawny’s Ruby Steaks run, but all of which have better dirt PF’s.  So that’s where it gets really interesting.  If Tawny Port doesn’t get into the top 4, it could be over for his Derby aspirations.

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Ethereal Road and In Due Time both have 20 points, and a Lexington win combined with their earnings, both thanks to prior 2nd place G2 finishes, would easily overtake Tawny if he doesn’t hit the board, since they would be tied at 40 points.  Of course, if Tawny sucks on dirt again, their connections should just forget the Derby.

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Major General, Dash Attack, and Call Me Midnight only have 10 points.  Any of those could get 20 for the Lexington win, putting them at 30 total, which with their earnings would easily eclipse Happy Jack who is at #21 with 30 points.

2022 Lexington Stakes snapshot
2022 Lexington Stakes snapshot

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Since the Derby point system began, horses that are in the top 20, three weeks before the big race, never all make the Derby field.  Not seldom, but NEVER.  There are always withdrawals for injuries, unfitness, or whatever reason.  So it’s possible that 2 or 3 from this race will get into the Derby field, and 30 points may be enough.

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So who might those be? On paper, there is virtually no early speed in the race at all, with only one horse with Speed Points over 5. However, 6 of them have been on the lead at first call, once and only one race, of their respective careers.  So the jockeys and trainers are aware of this, and expect at least one of them to try to steal it on the front end.

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In Due Time EP6 3-1. If someone else doesn’t make an early move, he’ll have his way up front, and with the possibility of getting to 40 points and a guaranteed run for the roses on the line, Paco won’t be messing around.  1st in Speed, 2nd Power

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Call Me Midnight S0 6-1 has been running from the back of the pack his last 5 races. He had a brilliant last to first run in the Lecomte G3 to open the year, but flattened out in the La Derby 3 weeks back. 3rd Power, 1st  LP and Stamina.

Call Me Midnight, our Grid Long Shot Special of the day, took down the two favorites in the Lecomte G3 at 28-1 on Jan.22.2022 Fairgrounds.
Call Me Midnight, our Grid Long Shot Special of the day, took down the two favorites in the Lecomte G3 at 28-1 on Jan.22.2022 Fairgrounds.

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Ethereal Road S3 10-1 is running one week back from a disappointing Blue Grass G1, but Lukas is desperate for a Derby horse and confident in his late running ability, with a solid 2nd in the Rebel G2.  2nd in LP and Stam, 4th Power.  Guaranteed slot if he wins.

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Skate to Heaven P3 30-1 looked marginally mediocre in his first 3 races before breaking thru with his maiden win last out going 4w and posting the 2nd best dirt PF in this field, also making him the 4 rules horse.  If he runs like that again he could win, but 20 points won’t be getting him into the Derby. Super long shot special though.

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Dash Attack P1 10-1 was looking strong winning both his first two races including the 10 point Smarty Jones, then ran into graded stakes company and looked quite marginal. He could get a piece but won’t likely win.

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So those are my top five in this race:  2 11 3 6 10. 

Now you’re asking what I did with 4-1 Major General and 5-2 Tawny Port? 

Well, I think there’s a reason why Tawny Port has raced 3 of 4 on poly and sucked in his only dirt race.

As for Major General, last year he was solid and won the first Derby prep of the season, but stumble or not in his only race this year, there’s some reason his first race wasn’t until March.  Either Todd was confident he’d win or a negative reason for the 6-month layoff.

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There you have it. Now you’re armed with the Grid and you can make picks your own picks for the rest of the Keeneland Saturday card, on which there are 10 more interesting races including a couple stakes.

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R10 5:48ET 8.5f T JenyWily-G1 4 UP FM

The other big G1 only has 6 contestants and the favorites are strong, but if you want to box a tri maybe included 4yo filly Scarabea who continues to improve at 20-1.

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R8 4:44ET 5.5f T Gnts CswayL200k 3 UP FM

You have to love 5.5f turf sprint stakes with 13 entries. Unfortunately they’re usually won by the favorite which in this case is the fastest horse Elle Z who has won 3 such stakes races in a row this year.  If you think a speed duel may tire out some favs, check out the top 4 late runners, one is 12-1 and the other three are all 30-1 on the ML.  You can see this info in the Grid.

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Other assorted long shot specials (not predicted order of finish):

R7:  1,3, 9

R6:  5

R5:  11, 12

R4:  1, 4

R3:  4

R2:  2, 3

R1:  no action

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Over at Laurel in the Tesio at 5PM, you can see why Shake Em Loose will be favored after beating ML fav Joe in the Private Terms. Smarten Up looks strong too but again low odds. My top long shot is Secret Alliance at 10-1 first time at 2 turns but only E8 in field.  Vine Jet 6-1 and South Street 8-1 are the top LP runners.

April 2022 Federico Tesio grid
April 2022 Federico Tesio grid

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To get the Grid for Keeneland, Churchill, Aqueduct, Santa Anita, and all your favorite tracks, check out the options right here.  It’s a great time to join the WWC.  The Triple Crown Special includes two months and gets you through the Belmont Stakes in June, or you can just go monthly.

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Remember to vote in the Kentucky Derby winner poll on the left if you’re looking through a normal browser. It doesn’t show up in mobile browsers.

Apr 09 2022

Keeneland April 9 Precap: 5 Graded Stakes including Blue Grass G1, 3 Key Derby Preps

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Saturday, April 9, 2022.  Keeneland continues it’s huge opening spring weekend with 5 graded stakes:  Commonwealth G3, Appalachian G2, Madison G1, Shakertown G2, and finally the Toyota Blue Grass G1 in which at least the top two finishers will stamp their Kentucky Derby ticket.

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Blue Grass G1 2021
Toyota Blue Grass G1

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Also today, the Santa Anita Derby G1 and Wood Memorial G2 and Aqueduct will be issuing at least two tickets each to the Kentucky Derby.  Forbidden Kingdom at SA is already in, but Messier and Taiba are looking to earn their first Derby Points in the SA Derby.  In the Wood, Morello is already in. These are the last 3 big Derby Prep races.

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Racing at Keeneland begins at 12:30PM ET with two MSW 100K’s and an OCM80k, all for 3yo’s, so we can see how they measure up to the big boys in the Blue Grass.  There are 11 races on the exciting card with over 115 horses slated to run, after morning scratches processed.  Stakes racing begins 2:45PM.

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Weather in Lexington is rather cold in the low 40’s and some light rain and light snow in the area.  We’ll break down the Blue Grass Stakes and a couple of other interesting races here. Get today’s Grid here (scratches removed) so you can follow along and make your own picks.  

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R9 5:10ET 9f D BlueGras-G1 3 YO 

A talented field of 11 compete for a $1M purse and 100-40-20-10 Kentucky Derby Points.  5 of them are in Derby Futures Pool 5 which closes today at 4:30PM so get your bets in BEFORE the Derby Prep races today. 6 of them

Smile Happy 9-5:  There’s not much to dislike about this favorite coached by Kenny McPeek. He only has 3 races but won the first two including a G2, then finished a strong closing 2nd to Epicenter, who is the Derby Points leader.  He’s in Futures Pool at 6-1 ML.  It will be interesting to see what the good closer does with a fast pace up front.

Zandon 5-2 has two ITM finishes in G2’s but with only 14 points needs another ITM finish here for Chad Brown.  I think starting in last in the Risen Star didn’t enable him for the win. 20-1 ML in Pool 5.

Rattle N Roll 8-1 is McPeek’s other entry, and hasn’t been great this year so desperately needs some points.  But he returns to the track of his best career race, a win in the Breeders Futurity G1.

Ethereal Road 20-1 comes in after a ½ length loss in the Rebel G2, 1 race after finally breaking maiden on his 4th try.  Can old Wayne Lukas pull some magic again?  50-1 in Pool 5 if you think so.

Commandperformance 12-1 ran in two G1 races last year, finishing well including a 2nd in the Champagne, but is still a maiden after 4 races.  Last out Pletcher tried again in a 40k maiden and lost to Fenweick 20-1 who went gate to wire in his best career effort. 

Volcanic 20-1 is another good long shot special who could hit the board for Mark Casse.  He does nothing particularly great, but can run on or off the lead and continues to improve.

Emmanuel 9-2 is the other Pletcher entry, and I don’t really think he can win this race, but if they let him loose on the lead he could hold on for a piece.  Surprisingly he’s only 20-1 in Pool 5 ML.

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The above is how I see the order of finishing in this race.  You’ll want to consult the latest Double Derby Dozen before making your futures bets today.  Here’s how the Blue Grass contenders stand:

7 Smile Happy

14 Rattle N Roll

15 Zandon

21 Ethereal Road

22 Emmanuel

25 Command Performance

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In the Wood Memorial today, here’s how I like it:

5 Morello 8-5 (Pletcher)

1 Mo Donegal 5-2 (Pletcher)

3 Early Voting 5-2 (Chad Brown)

8 Barese 8-1 (Maker)

Wood Memorial G2 2022 Grid (open in new tab to enlarge). Highlighted = in Pool 5/ Top 25

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Santa Anita Derby picks are as follows:

4 Messier 1-1 (Yakteen/Baffert)

6 Taiba 4-1 (Yakteen/Baffert)

3 Forbidden Kingdom 6-5 (Mandella)

2022 Santa Anita Derby G1 Grid (open in new tab to enlarge). Highlighted= in Derby top Dozen

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You can get the Grid for all your favorite tracks and races, including the Kentucky Derby. Check it out.

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Good luck!

Apr 08 2022

Down and Dirty Double Derby Dozen/ Futures Pool 5 / Big 3 Weekend / Keeneland Open

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Friday April 8, 2022.  Kentucky Derby Futures Pool 5 opened yesterday and will run through Saturday, rather than Fri-Sun as usual.  This constitutes a good time for the next Doug’s Double Derby Dozen +1 Top 25 to help you make your futures bets.  If you like any of tomorrow’s runners you may want to bet them today.  We are providing the Pool 5 Grid and the Top 25 on this page.

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Keeneland opened today with the Ashland and Transylvania stakes, and on Saturday  will host the Toyota Blue Grass G1, in which 4 from Pool 5 and 6 from today’s Top 25 list, with one in the top 10

Aqueduct on Saturday will run the Wood Memorial G2 with 3 of the racers both in Pool 5 and one in the top 10.

Santa Anita’s Saturday card includes the Santa Anita Derby which is still a Grade 1 despite only 6 runners.  But they include the top two in our DDD list and another in the top 10.

These are the last 3 big races in the Kentucky Derby Championship series, each of which is worth 100 points to the winner. The only remaining race will be the Lexington Stakes next weekend, but it’s only worth 20.

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For today’s list we’ll give you a snapshot so you can see some color codes.  Note than in bold are trainers that have won Triple Crown races.  We include Tim Yakteen because he’s running Baffert trainees.

Green:  Santa Anita Derby runners

Blue:  Blue Grass racers

Red:  Wood Memorial competitors

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April 8 2022 Derby Double Dozen and One
April 8 2022 Derby Double Dozen and One

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The figures to the right are the best Brisnet, Beyer, and Equibase speed figures (all public information posted on their sites) and the average of such.

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I would love to go into explanation into all of the thought processes that went into this ranking but that would take two hours to write and at least half an hour to read. So you get the concise chart.

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Here is the sortable table of the Double Dozen and one:

Down and Dirty Derby Double Dozen and 1 as of April 8 2022

DDHorseFP5STSireTrainer
1Messier8EP7Empire MakerYakteen(Baffert)
2Forbidden Kingdom8E8American PharoahMandella Richard E
3White Abarrio8EP6Race DayJoseph Saffie A Jr
4Epicenter5EP8Not This TimeAsmussen Steven M
5Charge It12EP6TapitPletcher Todd A
6Morello20EP7Classic EmpireAsmussen Steven M
7Smile Happy6P3RunhappyMcpeek Kenneth G
8Cyberknife12EP4Gun RunnerCox Brad H
9Tiz The Bomb12P2Hit It A BombMcpeek Kenneth G
10Taiba50EP8Gun RunnerYakteen(Baffert)
11Barber Road30S1Race DayOrtiz John Alexander
12Simplification15EP4Not This TimeSano Antonio
13Slow Down Andy50EP5NyquistO'neill Doug
14Rattle N Roll30P3ConnectMcpeek Kenneth G
15Zandon20P5UpstartBrown Chad C
16Classic Causeway12EP6Giant's CausewayLynch Brian A
17Call Me Midnight30S0Midnight LuteDesormeaux Keith
18Un Ojo12P4LaobanCourville Ricky
19Mo Donegal20P3Uncle MoPletcher Todd A
20In Due Time50EP6Not This TimeBreen Kelly J
21Ethereal Road50S2Quality RoadLukas D Wayne
22Emmanuel20E6More Than ReadyPletcher Todd A
23Early Voting20EP6Gun RunnerBrown Chad C
24Zozos30EP7MunningsCox Brad H
25Commandperformance12EP5Union RagsPletcher Todd A

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Note that in this top 25 list we omitted two of the top 3yo’s:  Corniche and Newgrange, both of which have accrued any Kentucky Derby points because they were trained by Bob Baffert.  It will simply be just about impossible for either to qualify for the Kentucky Derby because they’re not running in one of the big 3 races listed above, this weekend.   

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Now for one of today’s free Grids (we also provided one for Keeneland).  The Futures Pool 5 Grid will give you some insight as to how the horses stack up numerically against each other.

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After this weekend’s big 3 races, things could change to some degree.  It’s possible that a horse like Barese for example, could take another step up in class and take the Wood.  Rattle N Roll returns to the track where he had his best career race, a win in the Breeders Futurity G1.  

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It shall be interesting, and we’ll see what happens along the way on this exciting Saturday of racing.  The next Derby Double Dozen will be issued the week after the Lexington Stakes to include all of the Championship Series races.  

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Good luck in your futures betting and stay tuned for tomorrow’s free Grid!

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You can get the Grid for all your favorite tracks and races here, so check it out.

Apr 08 2022

Keeneland Opening Day Precap: Ashland G1 and Transylvania G3 Grid

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Friday, April 8, 2022.  Keeneland launches its short but sweet spring meet with a blast this weekend, starting today with 6 3yo races highlighted by the Ashland G1 on dirt and Transylvania G3 on turf, both for 3yo fillies.  The Lafayette $400k is the only race for 3yo males / open.

Keeneland Race Course in Lexington opens April 8
Keeneland opens with a bang the weekend of April 8

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On Saturday, a slew of 5 graded stakes races will ensue, featuring the Toyota Blue Grass G1, a key Kentucky Derby championship series race.  The top 2 finishers and possibly others, will stamp their ticket to Run for the Roses.

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Today, racing begins at 1PM ET with a MSW for unraced 2yos. There are 10 races on the card with over 100 horses slated to run, after morning scratches.  Stakes racing will begin at 4:12PM with the Lafayette stakes.  Download today’s free Grid here, no questions asked.

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R7 4:12ET 7f D LafayetteB400k 3 YO 

This race has a nice competitive field of 12

8 My Prankster is set as the 2-1 ML favorite for Todd Pletcher

2 Money Supply 9-5 coached by Chad Brown will have something to say in his 2nd career race

12 Tejano Twist 7-2 will be closing late for a piece of the action

3 Old Homestead 20-1 would like to go 3 for 3 with another frontrunning victory

10 Magnolia Midnight and 1 Osbourne  and 6 American Xperiment could get a piece of the action

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R8 4:44ET 8.5f T Trnylvna-G3 3 YO 

This short field of 6 is not worth betting on, but the 4 virtual co-favorites should put on a great show.

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R9 5:16ET 8.5f D Ashland-G1 3 YO F

The field of 8 provides some more competitive nature but it appears to be a 5 filly race at best.

4 Nest 2-1 has won two stakes in a row for Todd including a 9f G2

6 Happy Soul 5-2 has won 3 in a row including 2 stakes for Wesley Ward, now first time 2 turns

3 Insterstatedaydream 5-2 was runner up in a G2 last year, won her debut easily this year

2 Awake at Midnyte 4-1 faltered in the G2 last out but showed tremendous speed at 1 turn

7 Cocktail Moments 12-1 was 3rd in 2 stakes in a row last while closing quite well

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OK that’s it for now. You got the Grid so make the rest of the picks on your own.

You can get the Grid for all your favorite tracks and races right here, check out the options.

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Good luck!

Apr 02 2022

April 2022 Thoroughbred Stakes Schedule for North America and Japan

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The April 2022 Thoroughbred stakes schedule for the United States of America, its top hat Canada, and the Japan Racing Association has been updated. Keeneland wins this month with 19 stakes races, most of which are graded, highlighted by the Grade 1 Toyota Blue Grass Stakes

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Essential Quality remained undefeated, earning his 3rd Grade 1 Victory in the 2021 Blue Grass Stakes over Highly Motivated
Essential Quality over Highly Motivated in the exciting 2021 Blue Grass Stakes

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April 2022 Thoroughbred Stakes Schedule for USA, Canada, Japan

RaceTrackDatePurseAge/SexDist.SurfaceFee, Due Date
Excelsior SAqu02-Apr$150k g4&up9fDirtClosed on Mar 19.
Carolina CupCam02-Apr$50k g4&up R17fTurfClosed on Mar 21.
Pepsi SFon02-Apr$15k a3yo f6fDirtClosed on Mar 26.
Curlin Florida Derby Presented by Hill 'n' Dale Farms at Xalapa (G1)GP02-Apr$1,000k g3yo9fDirtClosed on Mar 20.
Cutler Bay SGP02-Apr$100k g3yo8.5fTurfClosed on Mar 20.
Ghostzapper S (G3)GP02-Apr$100k g4&up9fDirtClosed on Mar 20.
Gulfstream Park Oaks (G2)GP02-Apr$250k g3yo f8.5fDirtClosed on Mar 20.
Kitten's Joy Appleton S (G3T)GP02-Apr$100k g4&up8fTurfClosed on Mar 20.
Orchid S (G3T)GP02-Apr$150k g4&up f/m12fTurfClosed on Mar 20.
Pan American S (G2T)GP02-Apr$200k g4&up12fTurfClosed on Mar 20.
Sand Springs S Presented by Thoroughbred Aftercare AllianceGP02-Apr$100k g4&up f/m8.5fTurfClosed on Mar 20.
Sanibel IslandGP02-Apr$100k g3yo f8.5fTurfClosed on Mar 20.
Sir Shackleton SGP02-Apr$100k g4&up7fDirtClosed on Mar 20.
Lord Derby Challenge Trophy (G3T)JRA02-Apr$838k a4&up8fTurfClosed on Feb 8.
Arkansas Derby (G1)OP02-Apr$1,250k g3yo9fDirtClosed on Mar 18.
CarouselOP02-Apr$200k g4&up f/m6fDirtClosed on Mar 18.
Fantasy S (G3)OP02-Apr$600k g3yo f8.5fDirtClosed on Mar 18.
Oaklawn Mile (G3)OP02-Apr$400k g4&up8fDirtClosed on Mar 18.
Temperence Hill SOP02-Apr$150k g4&up12fDirtClosed on Mar 18.
Singletary SSA02-Apr$100k g3yo8fTurfClosed on Mar 24.
Sunland Park HSun02-Apr$100k g3&up9fDirtClosed on Mar 25.
Animal Kingdom STP02-Apr#$200k g3yo6fAWClosed on Mar 19.
Bourbonette OaksTP02-Apr#$250k g3yo f8.5fAWClosed on Mar 19.
Jeff Ruby Steaks (G3)TP02-Apr#$600k g3yo9fAWClosed on Mar 19.
Latonia STP02-Apr#$200k g4&up f/m8.5fAWClosed on Mar 19.
Rushaway STP02-Apr#$200k g3yo8.5fAWClosed on Mar 19.
TwinSpires Kentucky Cup ClassicTP02-Apr#$250k g4&up9fAWClosed on Mar 19.
Osaka Hai (G1T)JRA03-Apr$4,115k a4&up10fTurfClosed on Feb 8.
Central Bank Ashland S (G1)Kee08-Apr#$600k g3yo f8.5fDirtClosed on Feb 19.
Kentucky Utilities Transylvania S (G3T)Kee08-Apr#$400k g3yo8.5fTurfClosed on Mar 23.
Lafayette SKee08-Apr#$400k g3yo7fDirtClosed on Mar 23.
Bay Shore S (G3)Aqu09-Apr$200k g3yo7fDirtClosed on Mar 26.
Carter H (G1)Aqu09-Apr$300k g4&up7fDirtClosed on Mar 26.
Danger's Hour SAqu09-Apr$100k g4&up8fTurfClosed on Mar 26.
Distaff H (G3)Aqu09-Apr$150k g4&up f/m7fDirtClosed on Mar 26.
Gazelle S (G3)Aqu09-Apr$250k g3yo f9fDirtClosed on Mar 26.
Wood Memorial Presented by Resorts World Casino (G2)Aqu09-Apr$750k g3yo9fDirtClosed on Mar 26.
Dowd Mile SFon09-Apr$20k a3&up8fDirt$0/Apr 2
Hanshin Himba S (G2T)JRA09-Apr$1,135k a4&up f/m8fTurfClosed on Feb 22.
New Zealand Trophy (G2T)JRA09-Apr$1,120k a3yo8fTurfClosed on Feb 22.
Appalachian S Presented by Japan Racing Association (G2T)Kee09-Apr#$400k g3yo f8fTurfClosed on Mar 23.
Commonwealth S (G3)Kee09-Apr#$300k g4&up7fDirtClosed on Mar 23.
Madison S (G1)Kee09-Apr#$500k g4&up f/m7fDirtClosed on Mar 23.
Shakertown S (G2T)Kee09-Apr#$350k g3&up5.5fTurfClosed on Mar 23.
Toyota Blue Grass S (G1)Kee09-Apr#$1,000k g3yo9fDirtClosed on Feb 19.
Howard B. Noonan SMVR09-Apr$75k g3yo S6fDirtClosed on Mar 30.
Rainbow Miss SOP09-Apr$150k g3yo f S6fDirtClosed on Mar 25.
Rainbow SOP09-Apr$150k g3yo S6fDirtClosed on Mar 25.
Echo Eddie SSA09-Apr$150k g3yo S6.5fDirtClosed on Mar 31.
Evening Jewel SSA09-Apr$150k g3yo f S6.5fDirtClosed on Mar 31.
Monrovia S (G2T)SA09-Apr$200k g4&up f/mabt 6.5fTurfClosed on Mar 31.
Providencia S (G3T)SA09-Apr$100k g3yo f9fTurfClosed on Mar 31.
Royal Heroine S (G2T)SA09-Apr$200k g4&up f/m8fTurfClosed on Mar 31.
Runhappy Santa Anita Derby (G1)SA09-Apr$750k g3yo9fDirtClosed on Mar 31.
Santa Anita Oaks (G2)SA09-Apr$400k g3yo f8.5fDirtClosed on Mar 31.
Top Flight InvitationalAqu10-Apr$100k g4&up f/m9fDirtNot Available
Oka Sho (Japanese One Thousand Guineas) (G1T)JRA10-Apr$2,684k a3yo f8fTurfClosed on Feb 22.
Beaumont Presented by Keeneland Select (G3)Kee10-Apr#$400k g3yo fabt 7fDirtClosed on Mar 23.
Palisades SKee10-Apr#$200k g3yo5.5fTurfClosed on Mar 23.
John Shear Mile SSA10-Apr$75k a4&up8fDirtClosed on Mar 31.
Siren Lure SSA10-Apr$75k a3&up6.5fTurfClosed on Mar 31.
Miranda Diane SWRD11-Apr$55k g3&up f/m S6fDirtClosed on Mar 30.
TRAO Classic Sprint SWRD12-Apr$55k g3&up S6fDirtClosed on Mar 31.
Acadiana SEvD15-Apr$60k g3yo f6fDirtClosed on Apr 1.
Maker's Mark Mile (G1T)Kee15-Apr#$600k g4&up8fTurfClosed on Mar 30.
TVG Limestone SKee15-Apr#$200k g3yo f5.5fTurfClosed on Mar 30.
Wildcat STuP15-Apr$60k g3&up11fTurfNot Available
Plenty of Grace SAqu16-Apr$100k g4&up f/m8fTurf$100/Apr 2
Lafayette SEvD16-Apr$60k g3yo6fDirtClosed on Apr 1.
Runza SFon16-Apr$15k a3&up f/m6fDirt$0/Apr 9
Arlington Cup (G3T)JRA16-Apr$823k a3yo8fTurfClosed on Feb 22.
Giant's Causeway SKee16-Apr#$200k g3&up f/m5.5fTurfClosed on Mar 30.
Jenny Wiley S (G1T)Kee16-Apr#$500k g4&up f/m8.5fTurfClosed on Mar 30.
Stonestreet Lexington S (G3)Kee16-Apr#$400k g3yo8.5fDirtClosed on Mar 30.
Federico Tesio SLrl16-Apr$125k g3yo9fDirt$0/Apr 2
Frank Y. Whiteley SLrl16-Apr$100k g3&up7fDirt$0/Apr 2
Heavenly Cause SLrl16-Apr$100k g3&up f/m8fDirt$0/Apr 2
Weber City Miss SLrl16-Apr$125k g3yo f8.5fDirt$0/Apr 2
My Lady's Manor Timber SMon16-Apr$50k g5&up24fTurf$100/Apr 4
Cheryl C. White Memorial SMVR16-Apr$75k g3yo f6fDirt$0/Apr 4
Count Fleet Sprint H (G3)OP16-Apr$500k g4&up6fDirtClosed on Apr 1.
Long Branch SWO16-Apr$100k g4&up f/m5.5fAW$0/Apr 6
Antares S (G3)JRA17-Apr$780k a4&up9fDirtClosed on Feb 22.
Satsuki Sho (Japanese Two Thousand Guineas) (G1T)JRA17-Apr$3,096k a3yo10fTurfClosed on Feb 22.
Thorncliffe SWO17-Apr$100k g4&up5.5fAW$0/Apr 6
Baird Doubledogdare S (G3)Kee22-Apr#$300k g4&up f/m8.5fDirt$100/Apr 6
Dr. O.G. Fischer Memorial SSRP22-Apr$50k g3&up f/m7fDirt$200/May 3
Inaugural SSRP22-Apr$75k g3&up6.5fDirtClosed on Apr 1.
SunRay Park & CasinoSRP22-Apr$50k g3&up8fDirt$200/May 3
Ann Owens Distaff STuP22-Apr$60k g3&up f/m S6fDirtNot Available
Dwight D. Patterson STuP22-Apr$60k g3&up S8.5fTurfNot Available
Gene Fleming Breeders' DerbyTuP22-Apr$60k g3yo S8.5fDirtNot Available
Joanne Dye Breeders' OaksTuP22-Apr$60k a3yo f S6fDirtNot Available
Lyman and Bradley Rollins STuP22-Apr$60k g3&up S6fDirtNot Available
New York Stallion S (Times Square Div.)Aqu23-Apr$200k g3yo R6.5fDirt$200/Apr 9
Woodhaven SAqu23-Apr$100k g3yo8.5fTurf$100/Apr 9
Grand National TimberBut23-Apr$30k g5&up26fTurf$100/Apr 11
Confucius Say SCT23-Apr$75k g3&up S7fDirt$50/Apr 13
Original Gold SCT23-Apr$75k g3&up f/m S7fDirt$50/Apr 13
Baxter SFon23-Apr$15k a3yo6fDirt$0/Apr 15
Fukushima Himba S (G3T)JRA23-Apr$823k a4&up f/m9fTurfClosed on Mar 8.
Ben Ali S (G3)Kee23-Apr#$300k g4&up9fDirt$100/Apr 6
Elkhorn S (G2T)Kee23-Apr#$350k g4&up12fTurf$100/Apr 6
Dahlia SLrl23-Apr$100k g3&up f/m8fTurf$0/Apr 9
Henry S. Clark SLrl23-Apr$100k g3&up8fTurf$0/Apr 9
King T. Leatherbury SLrl23-Apr$100k g3&up5.5fTurf$0/Apr 9
Native Dancer SLrl23-Apr$100k g3&up9fDirt$0/Apr 9
Primonetta SLrl23-Apr$100k g3&up f/m6fDirt$0/Apr 9
Middleburg Hunt CupMid23-Apr$25k g5&up26fTurf$100/Apr 11
Temple Gwathmey Steeplechase (G2T)Mid23-Apr$75k g4&up20fTurf$250/Apr 11
Apple Blossom H (G1)OP23-Apr$1,000k g4&up f/m8.5fDirt$100/Apr 8
Oaklawn H (G2)OP23-Apr$1,000k g4&up9fDirt$100/Apr 8
Oaklawn SOP23-Apr$150k g3yo9fDirt$0/Apr 8
Russell & Helen Foutz DistaffSRP23-Apr$100k g3&up f/m S6.5fDirtClosed on Apr 1.
Memories of Silver SAqu24-Apr$100k g3yo f8.5fTurf$100/Apr 9
New York Stallion S (Park Avenue Div.)Aqu24-Apr$200k g3yo f R6.5fDirt$200/Apr 9
Fonner Park Special SFon24-Apr$20k a3yo c/g S6fDirt$0/Apr 15
Fonner Park Special SFon24-Apr$20k a3yo f S6fDirt$0/Apr 15
Flora S (G2T)JRA24-Apr$1,072k a3yo f10fTurfClosed on Mar 8.
Yomiuri Milers Cup (G2T)JRA24-Apr$1,221k a4&up8fTurfClosed on Mar 8.
Page McKenney HPRX25-Apr$100k g3&up S7fDirt$100/Apr 4
Unique Bella SPRX25-Apr$100k g3&up f/m S7fDirt$100/Apr 4
Bluebonnet SLS28-Apr$75k a3&up f/m S6.5fDirt$0/Apr 18
Dr. T.F. Classen Memorial STdn28-Apr$75k g3&up f/m S6fDirt$50/Apr 18
Affirmed Success SBel29-Apr$100k g4&up S6fDirt$100/Apr 16
Bewitch S (G3T)Kee29-Apr#$300k g4&up f/m12fTurf$100/Apr 13
Elusive Quality SBel30-Apr$100k g4&up7fTurf$100/Apr 16
Roxelana Overnight SCD30-Apr#$160k a4&up f/m6fDirt$0/Apr 16
Bosselman Pump and Pantry/Gus Fonner SFon30-Apr$75k a3&up8.5fDirt$0/Apr 13
California DerbyGG30-Apr$100k g3yo8.5fAW$50/Apr 21
California OaksGG30-Apr$75k g3yo f8.5fAW$50/Apr 21
Camilla UrsoGG30-Apr$75k g3&up f/m5fTurf$50/Apr 21
Golden PoppyGG30-Apr$75k g3&up f/m8.5fTurf$50/Apr 21
Lost in the FogGG30-Apr$75k g3&up6fAW$50/Apr 21
San Francisco Mile (G3T)GG30-Apr$250k g3&up8fTurf$50/Apr 21
Maryland Hunt Cup TimberGln30-Apr$100k g5&up32fTurfClosed on Mar 14.
Aoba Sho (G2T)JRA30-Apr$1,120k a3yo12fTurfClosed on Mar 8.
Bachelor SOP30-Apr$150k g3yo6fDirt$0/Apr 15
Californian S (G2)SA30-Apr$200k g4&up9fDirt$100/Apr 21
Charles Whittingham S (G2T)SA30-Apr$225k g3&up10fTurf$100/Apr 21
Kona Gold S (G3)SA30-Apr$100k g3&up6.5fDirt$100/Apr 21
Santa Margarita S (G2)SA30-Apr$200k g4&up f/m9fDirt$100/Apr 21
Star Shoot SWO30-Apr$125k g3yo f6fAW$125/Apr 13
The above stakes schedule is sortable and filterable by any column.

Apr 02 2022

Gulfstream and Oaklawn Precap: Fla Derby & Arkansas Derby highlight 15 stakes races; Grid

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April 2, 2022. Gulfstream Park has its biggest race day of the year with 10 stakes races, 6 graded, highlighted by the Grade 1 $1M Curlin Florida Derby featuring 11 top east coast three year olds.  Oaklawn Park will run 5 stakes races, 3 graded including the G1 $1.25 Arkansas Derby with 9 of the top 3yos in the southeast.

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Curlin Florida Derby Presented by Hill ‘n’ Dale Farms at Xalapa (G1) GP
Cutler Bay S GP
Ghostzapper S (G3) GP
Gulfstream Park Oaks (G2) GP
Kitten’s Joy Appleton S (G3T) GP
Orchid S (G3T) GP
Pan American S (G2T) GP
Sand Springs S Presented by Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance GP
Sanibel Island GP
Sir Shackleton S GP
Arkansas Derby (G1) OP
Carousel OP
Fantasy S (G3) OP
Oaklawn Mile (G3) OP
Temperence Hill S OP

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It’s a very exciting day for the Road to the Roses, as both of these races offer Kentucky Derby points of 100-40-20-10 to the top 4 finishers, basically guaranteeing a run for the roses to the top two in each race, with 3rd and 4th getting a chance if they gain some points in other races.

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Oh I almost forgot, Turfway Park will run the Jeff Ruby Steaks G3. Yes it’s spelled that way for its sponsor, Jeff Ruby’s which is an excellent steakhouse that you should visit whenever in the area. The race is only worth 20 points to the winner but the $600k purse is nothing to scoff at.

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The weather at Gulfstream Park is warm and partly cloudy with the possibility of a little rain developing late in the day, which is when the Derby will be run. To add excitement, Gulfstream has a Jackpot Pick 6 carryover of 483k. Oaklawn weather will be in the 60s with no chance of rain. 

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For the sake of brevity, we won’t break down all 15 stakes races, much less 27 races on both cards.  But we shall break down both of the Derbies and provide some good long shot specials to use on a few other races.  Today’s Gulfstream Grid is free so download here to follow along. Morning scratches out.

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R14 6:38ET 9f D FlaDerby-G1 3 YO 

THE CHALK:  There are 4 current virtual favorites here, the only 4 with single digit morning lines.

2 Classic Causeway 7-2 comes off two front running wins in the Tampa Derby G2 and Sam Davis G3, after showing good form last year with two ITM graded stakes efforts. Tops in Power and EP in the Grid

3 Simplification 5-2 has the highest PF overall in his maiden win at GP and last out had a great come from behind Fountain of Youth G2 win after finishing 2nd to White Abarrio in the Holy Bull G3. Virtual tie for top power.

Simplification in March 2022 Fountain of Youth win.
Simplification drew away in the March 2022 Fountain of Youth G2 at Gulfstream.

6 Charge It 7-2 has a total of two races under his belt, breaking his maiden last out after losing by a neck.  But both races were at a mile this and his PF’s are comparable to tops in the field. Plus, Pletcher.

7 White Abarrio 3-1 won the Holy Bull G3 in his only race this year, drawing away from Simplification.  He showed promise last year breaking maiden first out at GP and 3rd in a G2 at CD. Just behind top 3 in power.

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So you can just box the top 4 and get a super low paying trifecta, right? That’s not a great idea, but in fact, seldom happens in this race anyway.  Normally, a long shot with good speed finishes 2nd to break that up.  Let’s look at the top candidates.

8 Cajun’s Magic 30-1 has the highest PF at over a mile in this field, and is tied for high EP. The high PF was achieved in a 400k stakes, one of 2 state restricted races in which he finished 2nd to Octane.  Last out he faded to 5th in the Holy Bull, but it was his first race since September.

5 Pappacap 10-1 isn’t a super LSS but you can’t discount a horse that was 2nd in the BC Juvenile and 3rd in the Lecomte, despite his horrific fade to 8th in the Risen Star last out.  But he may end up single digits.

1 Strike Hard 20-1 doesn’t have the greatest PF’s, but is a good come from behind runner.  Unfortunately starting 11 lengths behind in the Sam Davis last out didn’t give him a chance, but he got a strong 2nd to Simplification in a stakes race before that.

9 O Captain 20-1 broke his maiden first out by 9 lengths at GP.  In his first trip over a mile, he went from 11th to 3rd in the FOY G2 last month.

10 Clapton 30-1 will be discounted because he finished a distant 5th in his only route race, to Cajun’s Magic in the 400k FSNR.  But he has steadily improved and could be ready for 2 turns again. He can run from on or off the pace.

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So you can see there are plenty of options to choose from here.  I expect that at least 2 and probably 3 of the favorites will be part of the superfecta, but one of the above long shots will likely break up the chalk fest.  My top pick is Cajun’s Magic which at 30-1 is a super long shot special.

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Scattered long shot specials:

Race 7:  6 at 30-1, 8 at 12-1

Race 8:  any filly that hasn’t raced yet.

Race 9:  2 at 12-1.

Race 10:  4 at 10-1, 6 at 12-1, 7 at 10-1

Race 11:  4 at 12-1

Race 12:  1 at 12-1, 4 at 12-1

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The Arkansas Derby field of 9 has a lot of parity and possibilities, with the favorites not nearly as clear cut as the Florida Derby.  Let’s take a look.

The chalk:

6 Secret Oath 5-2 is the actual morning line favorite coming off a pair of 7 length stakes victories and an 8 length $120k ALW win before that. The last win was in the Honeybee G3, which means, yes she’s a filly on fire for Wayne Lukas, whose latest great accomplishment was the great filly Azeri.

4 Doppelganger 3-1 hasn’t won this year since breaking maiden last year. Last out he got a semi-distant 2nd to Forbidden Kingdom in the San Felipe G2.  Since then he’s been transferred from Baffert to Tim Yakteen as we predicted, in order to actually achieve Kentucky Derby points this month.

9 We The People won both his career races this year by 5 lengths, and no stakes racing so far, but his PF’s are very competitive with the field.

Next up:

5 Un Ojo 6-1 had a couple 2nd place stakes runs in NY and old one-eye wasted no time in his trip back south in Courville’s barn by winning the Rebel G2 last out.  Normally that winner is favored here.

3 Barber Road 8-1 had a string of close 2nd place stakes finishes before an even closer 3rd last out, coming up a half length short to Un Ojo in the Rebel.  His closing moves will improve at 9f especially if the pace gets hot.

8 Cyberknife 8-1 faded badly in his only stakes race but has been excellent in his other 4.

1 Kavod 15-1 has a string of 3 stakes races in which he faded to 4th, which he hopes to do again for 10 more Derby points.

7 Ben Diesel 15-1 has been up and down for no apparent reason and could run big

2 Chasing Time 12-1 didn’t do great in the Rebel but is usually competitive.

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So there’s the entire field for you.  Of them, the top 5 are the only horses with real stakes cred, except for We The People who only has speed figure credentials.  It’s still kind of wide open, but the great late running of Barber Road and Secret Oath will be tough to beat.

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Good luck!

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You can get the Grid for all your favorite tracks and races right here so check out the options.

Mar 10 2022

March 2022 Thoroughbred Stakes Schedule for North America and Japan.

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March 2022

. The updated thoroughbred stakes racing schedule for North America and the JRA is provided here. Aqueduct seems to be the epicenter of American racing this month.

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March 2022 Thoroughbred Stakes Schedule for North America and Japan

RaceTrackDatePurseAge/SexDist.SurfaceFee, Due Date
Owner Appreciation DistaffDeD03-04-22$75k g4&up f/m R7.5fDirtClosed on Feb 17.
Cactus Flower STuP03-04-22$30k g4&up f/m6.5fDirtNot Available
Cactus Wren STuP03-04-22$30k g4&up c/g6.5fDirtNot Available
Gotham S (G3)Aqu03-05-22$300k g3yo8fDirtClosed on Feb 19.
Busher InvitationalAqu03-05-22$250k g3yo f8fDirtNot Available
Tom Fool H (G3)Aqu03-05-22$200k g4&up6fDirtClosed on Feb 19.
Heavenly Prize InvitationalAqu03-05-22$125k g4&up f/m8fDirtNot Available
Owner Appreciation CupDeD03-05-22$75k g4&up R7.5fDirtClosed on Feb 17.
Black Gold SFG03-05-22$75k g3yoabt 8.5fTurfClosed on Feb 19.
Edward J. Johnston Memorial SFG03-05-22$60k g4&upabt 8fTurfClosed on Feb 19.
Red Camelia SFG03-05-22$60k g4&up f/m Sabt 8fTurfClosed on Feb 19.
Bold Accent SFon03-05-22$15k a3&up f/m4fDirtClosed on Feb 26.
Fasig-Tipton Fountain of Youth S (G2)GP03-05-22$400k g3yo8.5fDirtClosed on Feb 20.
Davona Dale S (G2)GP03-05-22$200k g3yo f8fDirtClosed on Feb 20.
Mac Diarmida S (G2T)GP03-05-22$200k g4&up11fTurfClosed on Feb 20.
WinStar Gulfstream Park Mile (G2)GP03-05-22$200k g4&up8fDirtClosed on Feb 20.
Canadian Turf S (G3T)GP03-05-22$150k g4&up8.5fTurfClosed on Feb 20.
Honey Fox S (G3T)GP03-05-22$150k g4&up f/m8fTurfClosed on Feb 20.
The Very One S (G3T)GP03-05-22$150k g4&up f/m11fTurfClosed on Feb 20.
Herecomesthebride S (G3T)GP03-05-22$125k g3yo f8fTurfClosed on Feb 20.
Palm Beach SGP03-05-22$125k g3yo8fTurfClosed on Feb 20.
Ocean S (G3T)JRA03-05-22$886k a4&up6fTurfClosed on Jan 11.
Tulip Sho (G2T)JRA03-05-22$1,072k a3yo f8fTurfClosed on Jan 11.
Downthedustyroad SOP03-05-22$150k g4&up f/m S6fDirtClosed on Feb 18.
Nodouble SOP03-05-22$150k g3&up S6fDirtClosed on Feb 18.
Santa Anita H (G1)SA03-05-22$650k g4&up10fDirtClosed on Feb 24.
Beholder Mile (G1)SA03-05-22$500k g4&up f/m8fDirtClosed on Feb 24.
Frank E. Kilroe Mile (G1T)SA03-05-22$500k g4&up8fTurfClosed on Feb 24.
San Felipe S (G2)SA03-05-22$400k g3yo8.5fDirtClosed on Feb 24.
Buena Vista S (G2T)SA03-05-22$200k g4&up f/m8fTurfClosed on Feb 24.
San Carlos S (G2)SA03-05-22$200k g4&up7fDirtClosed on Feb 24.
Curribot HSun03-05-22$75k g4&up8.5fDirtClosed on Feb 25.
Cincinnati Trophy STP03-05-22#$125k g3yo f8fAWClosed on Feb 24.
John Battaglia Memorial STP03-05-22#$125k g3yo8.5fAWClosed on Feb 24.
Biogio's Rose SAqu03-06-22$100k g4&up f/m S8fDirtClosed on Feb 19.
Yayoi Sho (G2T)JRA03-06-22$1,120k a3yo10fTurfClosed on Jan 11.
China Doll SSA03-06-22$100k g3yo f8fTurfClosed on Feb 24.
Santa Ysabel S (G3)SA03-06-22$100k g3yo f8.5fDirtClosed on Feb 24.
Peppers Pride HSun03-06-22$100k g3&up f/m S8fDirtClosed on Feb 25.
Fishtown SPRX03-07-22$100k g4&up6fDirtClosed on Feb 16.
Penn's Landing SPRX03-07-22$100k g4&up f/m6.5fDirtClosed on Feb 16.
Washington Crossing SPRX03-07-22$100k g4&up8.32fDirtClosed on Feb 16.
City of Brotherly Love SPRX03-08-22$100k g3yo8.5fDirtClosed on Feb 16.
Main Line SPRX03-08-22$100k g3yo f8.32fDirtClosed on Feb 16.
Rittenhouse Square SPRX03-08-22$100k g3yo6fDirtClosed on Feb 16.
Society Hill SPRX03-08-22$100k g3yo f6fDirtClosed on Feb 16.
LaSalle Starter HPRX03-09-22$65k g3&up f/m8.32fDirtClosed on Feb 16.
St. Joe's Starter HPRX03-09-22$65k g3&up6.5fDirtClosed on Feb 16.
Temple Starter HPRX03-09-22$65k g3&up f/m6fDirtClosed on Feb 16.
Villanova Starter HPRX03-09-22$65k g3&up8.5fDirtClosed on Feb 16.
Drexel Starter HPRX03-09-22$55k g3&up f/m5.5fDirtClosed on Feb 16.
Penn State Starter HPRX03-09-22$55k g3&up5.5fDirtClosed on Feb 16.
U Penn Starter HPRX03-09-22$55k g3&up8.5fDirtClosed on Feb 16.
West Chester Starter HPRX03-09-22$55k g3&up f/m8.32fDirtClosed on Feb 16.
Arizona OaksTuP03-11-22$75k g3yo f8fDirtNot Available
Turf Paradise DerbyTuP03-11-22$75k g3yo8.5fDirtNot Available
Cotton Fitzsimmons MileTuP03-11-22$100k g3&up8fTurfClosed on Mar 2.
Phoenix Gold CupTuP03-11-22$100k g4&up6fDirtClosed on Mar 2.
Correction SAqu03-12-22$100k g4&up f/m6fDirtClosed on Feb 26.
Allen "Black Cat" Lacombe Memorial SFG03-12-22$75k g3yo fabt 8fTurfClosed on Feb 26.
Ogataul SFon03-12-22$15k a3&up S6fDirt$0/Mar 5
Captiva IslandGP03-12-22$100k g4&up f/m5fTurfClosed on Feb 27.
Hurricane Bertie S (G3)GP03-12-22$100k g4&up f/m6.5fDirtClosed on Feb 27.
Nakayama Himba S (G3T)JRA03-12-22$780k a4&up f/m9fTurfClosed on Jan 25.
Azeri S (G2)OP03-12-22$350k g4&up f/m8.5fDirtClosed on Feb 25.
San Luis Rey S (G3T)SA03-12-22$125k g4&up12fTurf$100/Mar 3
Columbia STam03-12-22$75k g3yo8fTurfClosed on Feb 26.
Michelob Ultra Challenger S (G3)Tam03-12-22$100k g4&up8.5fDirtClosed on Feb 26.
Lambholm South Tampa Bay Derby (G2)Tam03-12-22#$400k g3yo8.5fDirtClosed on Feb 26.
Hillsborough S (G2T)Tam03-12-22#$225k g4&up f/m9fTurfClosed on Feb 26.
Florida Oaks (G3T)Tam03-12-22#$200k g3yo f8.5fTurfClosed on Feb 26.
Big Daddy STP03-12-22#$100k g4&up6fAW$0/Mar 3
Damon Runyon SAqu03-13-22$100k g3yo S7fDirtClosed on Feb 26.
Kinko Sho (G2T)JRA03-13-22$1,383k a4&up10fTurfClosed on Jan 25.
Fillies' Revue (G2T)JRA03-13-22$1,072k a3yo f7fTurfClosed on Jan 25.
Las Flores S (G3)SA03-13-22$100k g4&up f/m6fDirt$100/Mar 3
Cicada SAqu03-19-22$100k g3yo f6fDirt$100/Mar 5
Orphan Kist SFon03-19-22$15k a3&up f/m S6fDirt$0/Mar 12
Any Limit SGP03-19-22$100k g3yo f6fDirt$0/Mar 6
Hutcheson SGP03-19-22$100k g3yo6fDirt$0/Mar 6
Silks Run SGP03-19-22$100k g4&up5fTurf$0/Mar 6
Falcon S (G3T)JRA03-19-22$823k a3yo7fTurfClosed on Jan 25.
Conniver SLrl03-19-22$75k g4&up f/m S7fDirt$0/Mar 5
Not For Love SLrl03-19-22$75k g4&up S6fDirt$0/Mar 5
Beyond the Wire SLrl03-19-22$100k g3yo f8fDirt$0/Mar 5
Harrison E. Johnson Memorial SLrl03-19-22$100k g4&up8fDirt$0/Mar 5
Private Terms SLrl03-19-22$100k g3yo8.5fDirt$0/Mar 5
Essex H (G3)OP03-19-22$500k g4&up8.5fDirt$0/Mar 4
Whitmore S (G3)OP03-19-22$200k g4&up6fDirt$0/Mar 4
Irish O'Brien SSA03-19-22$100k g4&up f/m Sabt 6.5fTurf$100/Mar 10
Mt. Cristo Rey HSun03-19-22$100k g3&up S5.5fDirt$0/Mar 11
Queen STP03-19-22#$100k g4&up f/m6fAW$0/Mar 10
Haynesfield SAqu03-20-22$100k g4&up S8fDirt$100/Mar 5
Hanshin Daishoten (G2T)JRA03-20-22$1,383k a4&up15fTurfClosed on Jan 25.
Spring S (G2T)JRA03-20-22$1,120k a3yo9fTurfClosed on Jan 25.
Sensational Star SSA03-20-22$100k g4&up Sabt 6.5fTurf$100/Mar 10
Flower Cup (G3T)JRA03-21-22$764k a3yo f9fTurfClosed on Jan 25.
Arizona Stallion STuP03-25-22$30k a3yo S8fDirtNot Available
Caixa EletronicaAqu03-26-22$80k g4&up R7fDirt$50/Mar 19
Stud MuffinAqu03-26-22$75k g4&up R11fDirt$50/Mar 19
Xtra Heat SAqu03-26-22$75k g4&up f/m R6.5fDirt$50/Mar 19
Peeping Tom SAqu03-26-22$70k g4&up R6.5fDirt$50/Mar 19
More to Tell SAqu03-26-22$60k g4&up R8fDirt$50/Mar 19
Sis City SAqu03-26-22$60k g4&up f/m R8fDirt$50/Mar 19
Kelly Kip SAqu03-26-22$55k g4&up R6fDirt$50/Mar 19
Videogenic SAqu03-26-22$55k g4&up f/m R6fDirt$50/Mar 19
Belle GallanteyAqu03-26-22$45k g4&up f/m R7fDirt$50/Mar 19
Dads CapsAqu03-26-22$45k g4&up R7fDirt$50/Mar 19
Costa Rising SFG03-26-22$75k g3&up S5.5fTurf$0/Mar 12
Crescent City DerbyFG03-26-22$75k g3yo S8.5fDirt$0/Mar 12
Crescent City OaksFG03-26-22$75k g3yo f S8.32fDirt$0/Mar 12
New Orleans Classic (G2)FG03-26-22$500k g4&up9fDirt$500/Mar 12
TwinSpires.com Fair Grounds Oaks (G2)FG03-26-22$400k g3yo f8.5fDirt$400/Mar 12
Muniz Memorial Classic (G2T)FG03-26-22$300k g4&up9fTurf$300/Mar 12
Tom Benson Memorial SFG03-26-22$100k g4&up f/m8.5fTurf$100/Mar 12
TwinSpires.com Louisiana Derby (G2)FG03-26-22$1,000k g3yo9.5fDirt$1,000/Mar 12
Budweiser-Tondi SFon03-26-22$20k a3&up6fDirt$0/Mar 19
Melody of ColorsGP03-26-22$75k g3yo f5fTurf$0/Mar 13
Texas Glitter SGP03-26-22$75k g3yo5fTurf$0/Mar 13
Bara Lass SHou03-26-22$100k g3yo f S6fDirt$0/Mar 16
Groovy SHou03-26-22$100k g3yo S6fDirt$0/Mar 16
Richard King Turf SHou03-26-22$100k g4&up S9fTurf$0/Mar 16
San Jacinto Turf SHou03-26-22$100k g4&up f/m S8.5fTurf$0/Mar 16
Spirit of Texas SHou03-26-22$100k g4&up S6fDirt$0/Mar 16
Star of Texas SHou03-26-22$100k g4&up S8fDirt$0/Mar 16
Yellow Rose SHou03-26-22$100k g4&up f/m S6fDirt$0/Mar 16
Mainichi Hai (G3T)JRA03-26-22$823k a3yo9fTurfClosed on Feb 8.
Nikkei Sho (G2T)JRA03-26-22$1,383k a4&up12.5fTurfClosed on Feb 8.
Southern Park SMVR03-26-22$75k g3yo f S6fDirt$50/Mar 16
Purple Martin SOP03-26-22$150k g3yo f6fDirt$0/Mar 11
Santa Ana S (G3T)SA03-26-22$125k g4&up f/m10fTurf$100/Mar 17
Serena's Song STP03-26-22#$100k g3yo f6fAW$0/Mar 17
East View SAqu03-27-22$100k g3yo f S7fDirt$100/Mar 12
Page Cortez SFG03-27-22$75k g3&up f/m Sabt 5.5fTurf$0/Mar 12
Shantel Lanerie Memorial SFG03-27-22$75k g4&up f/m S8.32fDirt$0/Mar 12
Star Guitar SFG03-27-22$75k g4&up S8.5fDirt$0/Mar 12
March S (G3)JRA03-27-22$780k a4&up9fDirtClosed on Feb 8.
Takamatsunomiya Kinen (G1T)JRA03-27-22$3,507k a4&up6fTurfClosed on Feb 8.
Sunland Park Derby (G3)Sun03-27-22$500k g3yo9fDirtClosed on Feb 14.
Sunland Park OaksSun03-27-22$300k g3yo f8.5fDirt$0/Mar 18
New Mexico Breeders' DerbySun03-27-22$250k g3yo S8.5fDirt$0/Mar 18
New Mexico Breeders' OaksSun03-27-22$250k g3yo f S8.5fDirt$0/Mar 18
New Mexico State University SSun03-27-22$120k g4&up S8.32fDirt$0/Mar 18
Bill Thomas Memorial SSun03-27-22$100k g3&up6.5fDirt$0/Mar 18
Harry Henson HSun03-27-22$100k g3&up f/m8fDirt$0/Mar 18
Equistaff Sophomore TurfTam03-27-22$110k g3yo8.5fTurf$0/Mar 13
Grey Goose Turf ClassicTam03-27-22$110k g4&up9fTurf$0/Mar 13
NYRABETS Sprint STam03-27-22$110k g4&up6fDirt$0/Mar 13
Ocala Breeders' Sales SophomoreTam03-27-22$110k g3yo7fDirt$0/Mar 13
Pleasant Acres Stallions Distaff TurfTam03-27-22$110k g3&up f/m8.5fTurf$0/Mar 13
Stonehedge Farm South Sophomore FilliesTam03-27-22$110k g3yo f7fDirt$0/Mar 13
This thoroughbred stakes schedule can be sorted by any column.

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Aqueduct Racing in NY
Aqueduct Racing in NY

Feb 12 2022

Ky Derby Prep Alert! Sam F Davis G3 Tampa Bay Downs Precap + Bonus Coverage…

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Saturday, February 12, 2022.  Tampa Bay Downs jumps into the Kentucky Derby prep series with the Sam Davis G3 today, a prep worth $250k and 17 Kentucky Derby points (10-4-2-1).  12 horses are entered after the morning scratch of Howling Time, one of 23 individual Derby Futures Pool entries.

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11 races are scheduled with over 111 runners to compete, including 2 other stakes races which we’ll break down as well.  First you’ll want to download today’s FREE Tampa Bay Grid to follow along.  Just click the link, no need to enter email or anything, no strings attached.  Watch out for those long shot specials (LSS)!

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R10 4:54ET 8.5f D SFDavis-G3 3 YO 

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Shipsational (6-1) is my top pick, one of two in the field with 2 stakes wins and 3 wins.  He’s 3 of 4 for Ed Barker with the 2 stakes victories coming in NY state restricted races last fall.  Not an LSS because he’ll likely be 4-1 or less by post time.  He has the top two PF’s in the field, both on dirt, one on slop, and currently ranked 7th in the Derby Double Dozen.

Shipsational with his 2nd stakes winning the Sleepy Hollow at Belmont in Oct.2021.

Classic Causeway (3-1) headlines the field after two strong ITM graded stakes Keeneland finishes last year at Keeneland following a debut maiden win.  This will be his first start of the year for Brian Lynch.

Strike Hard (6-1) is looking good after breaking maiden then coming in 2nd in the Mucho Macho Man stakes in January. Not much is known about trainer Matt Williams.

Unpredictable Bay (20-1) qualifies as a Super LSS! And he’s my 3rd choice.  He comes off 3 strong maiden runs at Churchill, finally breaking the win at 6f last out for Ali Alnaz.  He has top EP and 2nd best dirt PF’s.

Make it Big (9-2) is the other one with 3 wins and two stakes wins, coming off a Springboard Mile win in December for his first Derby points.  His PF’s aren’t great but he’s 3 for 3 and should step up for Saffie.

God of Love (10-1) will not go off at more than 6-1, coming off a Grey G3 win on poly at Woodbine last year.  It will be his first try on dirt for Mark Casse, but he has top LP in a race chalk full of speed, and everyone knows it.

Wild Cards:

There are several long shots that can complete the superfecta should one of the above falter, but they will need to step up in class: Trademark, Volcanic, Kitten Mischief, Little Vic.

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R8 3:49ET 8.18f D SuncoastL150k 3 YO F

The filly version of the Sam Davis is run at 8.2f for $150k in purse.

Nest (3-5) At first glance, it looks like Nest is the only possible winner after winning the Demoiselle G2 in December for Todd Pletcher.  That may be true but there are a couple other contestants.

Princess Elm (12-1) is my 2nd pick and top LSS, coming off a first out maiden win last month right here at Tampa for Ali Alnaz, achieving the 2nd best dirt PF in the field behind the favorite, at 6f.

Alittleloveandluck (5-1) will be the public second choice, after notching two straight wins, one on poly and a stakes win on turf.  The elusive dirt victory looms.

Peaceful Surprise (10-1) LSS also won at first ask right here at Tampa last month at this distance.

Ha Penny (8-1) will round out the super if one of the above doesn’t.

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R7 3:18ET 6f D PelicanL100k 4 UP 

This one looks very chalky and shouldn’t go further than the top 3 betting choices for the win, and the next two to round out the super.  Not a good betting race.

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For the rest of the races , use whoever has the best numbers in the Grid, and your brain, and try to get some good action to bankroll your Superbowl bets tomorrow.

Check out all the Weekend Winner Winter Wonderland options here to get the Grid for all your favorite tracks and races.

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BONUS! El Camino Real Derby at 7:30PM ET Golden Gate.

11 runners will go 9f on the San Fran polytrack course for $100k and 17 Kentucky Derby points up for grabs (10-4-2-1), same as the Sam Davis G3.  The race is favored Mackinnon’s to lose but there are some other possible contenders.

Mackinnon (8-5) is tops in every category except EP, which is expected for a midpack runner.  First time on poly but no reason to think he won’t handle it after excellent turf and dirt races.  Doug-O also brings 10-1 Del Mo into the fray as a deep closer but the pace doesn’t look to set up for him.

Blackadder (7-2) gives Baffert a solid contender after breaking his maiden last out.  A solid midpack runner that should step up in class.

Stormy Samurai (8-1) has the best polytrack figure, achieved last out in a Golden Gate win. First time at two turns.  LSS alert!

Il Bellator (20-1) Super LSS alert! Got the 2nd best poly PF last out in a GG win.

Boise (9-5) may have trouble with his late running style in a race without a lot of early speed.

Nuestro Engreido (20-1) Super LSS!  The lack of early speed could make the EP8 tough to run down.

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Good luck!

Feb 11 2022

Kentucky Derby: Doug’s Down and Dirty Derby Double Dozen +1 Feb.11/ Futures Pool 3 Grid

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Friday February 11, 2022.  Kentucky Derby Futures Pool 3 opened today, so it’s a good time to release the next Derby Dozen and One Top 25 rankings for male 3yo’s.  It’s been 3 weeks since the Future Pool 2 and the last Top 25 but a few things have changed.

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Since then, Messier blasted out a 15 length win in his 3yo debut for Baffert in a huge big Bob Lewis G3 win, earning him the highest Beyer of any 3yo.  In fact, he also got the highest Brisnet and Equibase figure for that effort as well, making last year’s Los Al Futurity loss seem like ancient history.

Messier found himself all alone at the goal line by 15 in the Bob Lewis G3 Feb.5.2022 at Santa Anita. AP Sports photo

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It should be no surprise then that the field, “All Other 3yo’s” is now the heavily bet favorite in Pool 3, since it does not include any horses trained by Baffert, which is ridiculous because Baffert doesn’t own the horses.  4 Baffert trainees occupy our top 5 in the DDDDDD.  Maybe we should just call it 6D.

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Rocket Mortgage FREE Superbowl Squares!
Rocket Mortgage FREE Superbowl Squares!

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It gets kind of shaky after the top 14 since many of them have not competed yet this year, and it is unknown when they will resume racing.  Generally speaking, at least 3 of the top 4 Ky Derby finishers are found in the top 12 of this list year after year.  Without further ado, here it is.

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Doug's Down and Dirty Derby Double Dozen Feb.11 2022

DDHorseFriSTSireTrainer
1Corniche0.4E8Quality RoadBaffert Bob
2Messier0.4EP7MessierBaffert Bob
3Jack Christopher0.4EP6MunningsBrown Chad C
4Smile Happy13P4RunhappyMcpeek Kenneth G
5Newgrange0.4EP6ViolenceBaffert Bob
6Slow Down Andy36EP6NyquistO'neill Doug
7Shipsational0.4EP7MidshipmanBarker Edward
8Call Me Midnight67S0Midnight LuteDesormeaux Keith
9Emmanuel50E6More Than ReadyPletcher Todd A
10Epicenter39E8Not This TimeAsmussen Steven M
11White Abarrio18EP7Race DayJoseph Saffie A Jr
12Rattle N Roll37P2ConnectMcpeek Kenneth G
13Pappacap42EP6Gun RunnerCasse Mark
14Mo Donegal12P4Uncle MoPletcher Todd A
15Giant Game0.4E5Giant's CausewayRomans Dale
16Commandperformance68S3Union RagsPletcher Todd A
17Simplification87E8Not This TimeSano Antonio
18Varatti0.4E6Into MischiefPletcher Todd A
19Major General82EP4ConstitutionPletcher Todd A
20Barber Road96P3Race DayOrtiz John Alexander
21Zandon61P6UpstartBrown Chad C
22Classic Causeway49E6Giant's CausewayLynch Brian A
23Make It Big99EP6NeolithicJoseph Saffie A Jr
24Tiz The Bomb0.4P1Hit It A BombMcpeek Kenneth G
25High Oak0.4P6GormleyMott William I
26Dash Attack0.4EP2MunningsMcpeek Kenneth G
27Chasing Time32EP7Not This TimeAsmussen Steven M
28Trafalgar0.4EP4Lord NelsonStall Albert M Jr
29Courvoisier0.4EP8TapitBreen Kelly J
Sort table by any column.

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You can see now that the Dozen is very Baffert top-heavy, and that they all have Friday evening odds of 4-5 since they’re part of the field.  Pletcher brings up the second half of the Top 25 with several high potential runners.

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Next we’ll take a look at the Futures Pool 3 action with the morning line odds as seen at pool opening.  Remember the pool closes at the end of Friday and Saturday, and the last call is 6pm on Sunday. Odds are locked in at the end of each day. 

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Note that the horses highlighted in red are running in the Sam Davis G3 stakes at Tampa tomorrow, Saturday the 12th.  As luck would have it, my top pick for that race is Shipsational, who does not appear as an entry in the Pool.  We’ll see if his rank of #7 in the dozen has merit. Stay tuned for Saturday’s Sam Davis precap.

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Kentucky Derby Central has all the Ky Derby point standings and prep race schedule with results.

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Check out our Winter Wonderland options for subscribing to the WWC here, where you can get the Grid for all your favorite tracks and races.

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